US-Railway

Derivation of prognostic modelThorsen et al. 1979115
Location & dateNorth Western USA
Population characteristicsAge 40–59
N=2451
100% male
Work-site cohort
5 year follow up
Inclusion, co-morbidityFree of manifest CHD
Risk factorsAge
Serum cholesterol
Diastolic blood pressure
Cigarette smoking (number smoked per day)
OutcomeFatal or non-fatal MI
Prediction period5 and 20 years
Statistical methodsMultiple logistic regression
PracticalEquation
Slide rule risk disk
Computer program
Authors notesMen only
Modifications, tools or guidelines
External validation
Convergent validationRegression coefficients compared with Framingham Gordon 1971
Trials of health outcomes

From: Appendix 3, Prognostic models or risk scoring methods for use in targeting primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases (part completed)

Cover of A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement)
A Systematic Review of Risk Scoring Methods and Clinical Decision Aids Used in the Primary Prevention of Coronary Heart Disease (Supplement) [Internet].
NICE Clinical Guidelines, No. 67S.
Beswick AD, Brindle P, Fahey T, et al.
Copyright © 2008, Royal College of General Practitioners.

PubMed Health. A service of the National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.