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Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study.

Zhang J, Litvinova M, Wang W, Wang Y, Deng X, Chen X, Li M, Zheng W, Yi L, Chen X, Wu Q, Liang Y, Wang X, Yang J, Sun K, Longini IM Jr, Halloran ME, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Merler S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Ajelli M, Yu H.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 Apr 2. pii: S1473-3099(20)30230-9. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30230-9. [Epub ahead of print]


Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19.

Buckee CO, Balsari S, Chan J, Crosas M, Dominici F, Gasser U, Grad YH, Grenfell B, Halloran ME, Kraemer MUG, Lipsitch M, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Perkins TA, Santillana M, Scarpino SV, Viboud C, Wesolowski A, Schroeder A.

Science. 2020 Mar 23. pii: eabb8021. doi: 10.1126/science.abb8021. [Epub ahead of print] No abstract available.


Symbolic transfer entropy reveals the age structure of pandemic influenza transmission from high-volume influenza-like illness data.

Kissler SM, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Gog JR.

J R Soc Interface. 2020 Mar;17(164):20190628. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2019.0628. Epub 2020 Mar 18.


The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak.

Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Ajelli M, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, Pastore Y Piontti A, Mu K, Rossi L, Sun K, Viboud C, Xiong X, Yu H, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr, Vespignani A.

Science. 2020 Mar 6. pii: eaba9757. doi: 10.1126/science.aba9757. [Epub ahead of print]


Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning.

Biggerstaff M, Dahlgren FS, Fitzner J, George D, Hammond A, Hall I, Haw D, Imai N, Johansson MA, Kramer S, McCaw JM, Moss R, Pebody R, Read JM, Reed C, Reich NG, Riley S, Vandemaele K, Viboud C, Wu JT.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2020 Mar;14(2):105-110. doi: 10.1111/irv.12705. Epub 2019 Dec 3.


Real-time forecasting of epidemic trajectories using computational dynamic ensembles.

Chowell G, Luo R, Sun K, Roosa K, Tariq A, Viboud C.

Epidemics. 2019 Dec 21;30:100379. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100379. [Epub ahead of print]


Childhood immune imprinting to influenza A shapes birth year-specific risk during seasonal H1N1 and H3N2 epidemics.

Gostic KM, Bridge R, Brady S, Viboud C, Worobey M, Lloyd-Smith JO.

PLoS Pathog. 2019 Dec 19;15(12):e1008109. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1008109. eCollection 2019 Dec.


Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates.

Baker RE, Mahmud AS, Wagner CE, Yang W, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Vecchi GA, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT.

Nat Commun. 2019 Dec 4;10(1):5512. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-13562-y.


Global mortality associated with seasonal influenza epidemics: New burden estimates and predictors from the GLaMOR Project.

Paget J, Spreeuwenberg P, Charu V, Taylor RJ, Iuliano AD, Bresee J, Simonsen L, Viboud C; Global Seasonal Influenza-associated Mortality Collaborator Network and GLaMOR Collaborating Teams*.

J Glob Health. 2019 Dec;9(2):020421. doi: 10.7189/jogh.09.020421.


A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern.

Kobres PY, Chretien JP, Johansson MA, Morgan JJ, Whung PY, Mukundan H, Del Valle SY, Forshey BM, Quandelacy TM, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Pollett S.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2019 Oct 4;13(10):e0007451. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007451. eCollection 2019 Oct.


Hospitalizations Associated with Respiratory Syncytial Virus and Influenza in Children, Including Children Diagnosed with Asthma.

Goldstein E, Finelli L, O'Halloran A, Liu P, Karaca Z, Steiner CA, Viboud C, Lipsitch M.

Epidemiology. 2019 Nov;30(6):918-926. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001092.


Levels of outpatient prescribing for four major antibiotic classes and rates of septicemia hospitalization in adults in different US states - a statistical analysis.

Goldstein E, Olesen SW, Karaca Z, Steiner CA, Viboud C, Lipsitch M.

BMC Public Health. 2019 Aug 19;19(1):1138. doi: 10.1186/s12889-019-7431-8.


Global circulation of respiratory viruses: from local observations to global predictions.

Heraud JM, Razanajatovo NH, Viboud C.

Lancet Glob Health. 2019 Aug;7(8):e982-e983. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30277-3. No abstract available.


Population-level mathematical modeling of antimicrobial resistance: a systematic review.

Niewiadomska AM, Jayabalasingham B, Seidman JC, Willem L, Grenfell B, Spiro D, Viboud C.

BMC Med. 2019 Apr 24;17(1):81. doi: 10.1186/s12916-019-1314-9.


Antimicrobial resistance prevalence, rates of hospitalization with septicemia and rates of mortality with sepsis in adults in different US states.

Goldstein E, MacFadden DR, Karaca Z, Steiner CA, Viboud C, Lipsitch M.

Int J Antimicrob Agents. 2019 Jul;54(1):23-34. doi: 10.1016/j.ijantimicag.2019.03.004. Epub 2019 Mar 6.


The future of influenza forecasts.

Viboud C, Vespignani A.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):2802-2804. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1822167116. Epub 2019 Feb 8. No abstract available.


Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States.

Dahal S, Mizumoto K, Bolin B, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2577-2584. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy146.


Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: Lessons learnt in research and capacity building.

Nelson MI, Lloyd-Smith JO, Simonsen L, Rambaut A, Holmes EC, Chowell G, Miller MA, Spiro DJ, Grenfell B, Viboud C.

Epidemics. 2019 Mar;26:116-127. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.10.004. Epub 2018 Oct 23. Review.


The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward.

Viboud C, Lessler J.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2493-2497. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy207.


Geographic transmission hubs of the 2009 influenza pandemic in the United States.

Kissler SM, Gog JR, Viboud C, Charu V, Bjørnstad ON, Simonsen L, Grenfell BT.

Epidemics. 2019 Mar;26:86-94. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.10.002. Epub 2018 Oct 10.


Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities.

Dalziel BD, Kissler S, Gog JR, Viboud C, Bjørnstad ON, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT.

Science. 2018 Oct 5;362(6410):75-79. doi: 10.1126/science.aat6030.


Spatiotemporal Patterns and Diffusion of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in British India.

Reyes O, Lee EC, Sah P, Viboud C, Chandra S, Bansal S.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2550-2560. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy209.


Analysis of multi-level spatial data reveals strong synchrony in seasonal influenza epidemics across Norway, Sweden, and Denmark.

Morris SE, Freiesleben de Blasio B, Viboud C, Wesolowski A, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT.

PLoS One. 2018 May 17;13(5):e0197519. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0197519. eCollection 2018.


A review of the 1918 herald pandemic wave: importance for contemporary pandemic response strategies.

Simonsen L, Chowell G, Andreasen V, Gaffey R, Barry J, Olson D, Viboud C.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):281-288. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2018.02.013. Epub 2018 Mar 2.


Deploying digital health data to optimize influenza surveillance at national and local scales.

Lee EC, Arab A, Goldlust SM, Viboud C, Grenfell BT, Bansal S.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Mar 7;14(3):e1006020. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006020. eCollection 2018 Mar.


Excess mortality patterns during 1918-1921 influenza pandemic in the state of Arizona, USA.

Dahal S, Jenner M, Dinh L, Mizumoto K, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):273-280. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.12.005. Epub 2017 Dec 21.


Multinational patterns of seasonal asymmetry in human movement influence infectious disease dynamics.

Wesolowski A, Zu Erbach-Schoenberg E, Tatem AJ, Lourenço C, Viboud C, Charu V, Eagle N, Engø-Monsen K, Qureshi T, Buckee CO, Metcalf CJE.

Nat Commun. 2017 Dec 12;8(1):2069. doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-02064-4.


The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge special issue: Preface.

Viboud C, Simonsen L, Chowell G, Vespignani A.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:1-2. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.10.003. Epub 2017 Oct 24. No abstract available.


On the Relative Role of Different Age Groups During Epidemics Associated With Respiratory Syncytial Virus.

Goldstein E, Nguyen HH, Liu P, Viboud C, Steiner CA, Worby CJ, Lipsitch M.

J Infect Dis. 2018 Jan 4;217(2):238-244. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jix575.


The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt.

Viboud C, Sun K, Gaffey R, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Merler S, Zhang Q, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Vespignani A; RAPIDD Ebola Forecasting Challenge group.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:13-21. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.08.002. Epub 2017 Aug 26.


The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation.

Ajelli M, Zhang Q, Sun K, Merler S, Fumanelli L, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Viboud C, Vespignani A.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:3-12. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.09.001. Epub 2017 Sep 20.


Big Data for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Modeling.

Bansal S, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Vespignani A, Viboud C.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S375-S379. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw400.


Infectious Disease Surveillance in the Big Data Era: Towards Faster and Locally Relevant Systems.

Simonsen L, Gog JR, Olson D, Viboud C.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S380-S385. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw376. Review.


Elucidating Transmission Patterns From Internet Reports: Ebola and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome as Case Studies.

Chowell G, Cleaton JM, Viboud C.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S421-S426. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw356. Review.


Pandemics, Severity, and Context-Some Loose Ends.

Simonsen L, Viboud C.

Health Secur. 2017 Jul/Aug;15(4):343-344. doi: 10.1089/hs.2017.0055. Epub 2017 Jul 25. No abstract available.


Surveillance Study of Influenza Occurrence and Immunity in a Wisconsin Cohort During the 2009 Pandemic.

Lo CY, Strobl SL, Dunham K, Wang W, Stewart L, Misplon JA, Garcia M, Gao J, Ozawa T, Price GE, Navidad J, Gradus S, Bhattacharyya S, Viboud C, Eichelberger MC, Weiss CD, Gorski J, Epstein SL.

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2017 Feb 12;4(2):ofx023. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofx023. eCollection 2017 Spring.


Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection.

Moghadas SM, Shoukat A, Espindola AL, Pereira RS, Abdirizak F, Laskowski M, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Sci Rep. 2017 Jul 19;7(1):5829. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-05013-9.


Application of the CDC EbolaResponse Modeling tool to disease predictions.

Gaffey RH, Viboud C.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:22-28. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.03.001. Epub 2017 Mar 10.


Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward.

Chowell G, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Merler S, Vespignani A.

BMC Med. 2017 Mar 1;15(1):42. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0811-y.


Human mobility and the spatial transmission of influenza in the United States.

Charu V, Zeger S, Gog J, Bjørnstad ON, Kissler S, Simonsen L, Grenfell BT, Viboud C.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2017 Feb 10;13(2):e1005382. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005382. eCollection 2017 Feb.


Contact, Travel, and Transmission: The Impact of Winter Holidays on Influenza Dynamics in the United States.

Ewing A, Lee EC, Viboud C, Bansal S.

J Infect Dis. 2017 Mar 1;215(5):732-739. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw642.


Quantifying the fitness of antiviral-resistant influenza strains.

Chowell G, Viboud C.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Mar;17(3):250-251. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30522-9. Epub 2016 Dec 1. No abstract available.


Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge.

Pell B, Kuang Y, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:62-70. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.002. Epub 2016 Nov 19.


Pandemic influenza and socioeconomic disparities: Lessons from 1918 Chicago.

Chowell G, Viboud C.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Nov 29;113(48):13557-13559. Epub 2016 Nov 22. No abstract available.


Severe mortality impact of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Chile.

Chowell G, Simonsen L, Fuentes R, Flores J, Miller MA, Viboud C.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2017 May;11(3):230-239. doi: 10.1111/irv.12439. Epub 2017 Mar 31.


First flu is forever.

Viboud C, Epstein SL.

Science. 2016 Nov 11;354(6313):706-707. No abstract available.


Timing and periodicity of influenza epidemics.

Bjørnstad ON, Viboud C.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Nov 15;113(46):12899-12901. Epub 2016 Nov 3. No abstract available.


Evaluating Google Flu Trends in Latin America: Important Lessons for the Next Phase of Digital Disease Detection.

Pollett S, Boscardin WJ, Azziz-Baumgartner E, Tinoco YO, Soto G, Romero C, Kok J, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Rutherford GW.

Clin Infect Dis. 2017 Jan 1;64(1):34-41. Epub 2016 Sep 26.


Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics.

Chowell G, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Moghadas SM.

J R Soc Interface. 2016 Oct;13(123). pii: 20160659.

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