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Ebola virus outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri provinces, Democratic Republic of Congo, and the potential for further transmission through commercial air travel.

Tuite AR, Watts AG, Khan K, Bogoch II.

J Travel Med. 2019 Aug 15. pii: taz063. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taz063. [Epub ahead of print]


Measles and the 2019 Hajj: Risk of International Transmission.

Shetty S, Murmann M, Tuite AR, Watts AG, Bogoch I, Khan K.

J Travel Med. 2019 Aug 13. pii: taz058. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taz058. [Epub ahead of print] No abstract available.


Effects of large-scale oceanic phenomena on non-cholera vibriosis incidence in the United States: implications for climate change.

Logar-Henderson C, Ling R, Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

Epidemiol Infect. 2019 Jan;147:e243. doi: 10.1017/S0950268819001316.


Association between air travel and importation of chikungunya into the United States.

Nasserie T, Brent SE, Tuite AR, Moineddin R, Yong JHE, Miniota J, Bogoch II, Watts AG, Khan K.

J Travel Med. 2019 Apr 23. pii: taz028. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taz028. [Epub ahead of print]


Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment (IDEA) model, "Farr's law" and SIR compartmental difference equation models.

Santillana M, Tuite A, Nasserie T, Fine P, Champredon D, Chindelevitch L, Dushoff J, Fisman D.

Infect Dis Model. 2018 Mar 9;3:1-12. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2018.03.001. eCollection 2018.


Potential for Seasonal Lassa Fever Case Exportation from Nigeria.

Tuite AR, Watts AG, Kraemer MUG, Khan K, Bogoch II.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2019 Mar;100(3):647-651. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.18-0753.


The Epidemiology of Sexual Partnerships-It's Complicated.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Rönn MM.

JAMA Netw Open. 2018 Dec 7;1(8):e185997. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2018.5997. No abstract available.


The Impact of Screening and Partner Notification on Chlamydia Prevalence and Numbers of Infections Averted in the United States, 2000-2015: Evaluation of Epidemiologic Trends Using a Pair-Formation Transmission Model.

Rönn MM, Tuite AR, Menzies NA, Wolf EE, Gift TL, Chesson HW, Torrone E, Berruti A, Mazzola E, Galer K, Hsu K, Salomon JA.

Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Mar 1;188(3):545-554. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy272.


Infectious disease implications of large-scale migration of Venezuelan nationals.

Tuite AR, Thomas-Bachli A, Acosta H, Bhatia D, Huber C, Petrasek K, Watts A, Yong JHE, Bogoch II, Khan K.

J Travel Med. 2018 Jan 1;25(1). doi: 10.1093/jtm/tay077.


Decision making and support available to individuals considering and undertaking electroconvulsive therapy (ECT): a qualitative, consumer-led study.

Wells K, Scanlan JN, Gomez L, Rutter S, Hancock N, Tuite A, Ho J, Jacek S, Jones A, Mehdi H, Still M, Halliday G.

BMC Psychiatry. 2018 Jul 24;18(1):236. doi: 10.1186/s12888-018-1813-9.


Estimated Impact of Screening on Gonorrhea Epidemiology in the United States: Insights From a Mathematical Model.

Tuite AR, Rönn MM, Wolf EE, Gift TL, Chesson HW, Berruti A, Galer K, Menzies NA, Hsu K, Salomon JA.

Sex Transm Dis. 2018 Nov;45(11):713-722. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0000000000000876.


Seasonal Influenza Forecasting in Real Time Using the Incidence Decay With Exponential Adjustment Model.

Nasserie T, Tuite AR, Whitmore L, Hatchette T, Drews SJ, Peci A, Kwong JC, Friedman D, Garber G, Gubbay J, Fisman DN.

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2017 Sep 27;4(3):ofx166. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofx166. eCollection 2017 Summer.


Impact of Rapid Susceptibility Testing and Antibiotic Selection Strategy on the Emergence and Spread of Antibiotic Resistance in Gonorrhea.

Tuite AR, Gift TL, Chesson HW, Hsu K, Salomon JA, Grad YH.

J Infect Dis. 2017 Nov 27;216(9):1141-1149. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jix450.


Can enhanced screening of men with a history of prior syphilis infection stem the epidemic in men who have sex with men? A mathematical modelling study.

Tuite AR, Shaw S, Reimer JN, Ross CP, Fisman DN, Mishra S.

Sex Transm Infect. 2018 Mar;94(2):105-110. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2017-053201. Epub 2017 Jul 13.


The Effect of Changes in Cervical Cancer Screening Guidelines on Chlamydia Testing.

Naimer MS, Kwong JC, Bhatia D, Moineddin R, Whelan M, Campitelli MA, Macdonald L, Lofters A, Tuite A, Bogler T, Permaul JA, McIsaac WJ.

Ann Fam Med. 2017 Jul;15(4):329-334. doi: 10.1370/afm.2097.


Stochastic agent-based modeling of tuberculosis in Canadian Indigenous communities.

Tuite AR, Gallant V, Randell E, Bourgeois AC, Greer AL.

BMC Public Health. 2017 Jan 13;17(1):73. doi: 10.1186/s12889-016-3996-7.


Impact of El Niño Southern Oscillation on infectious disease hospitalization risk in the United States.

Fisman DN, Tuite AR, Brown KA.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Dec 20;113(51):14589-14594. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1604980113. Epub 2016 Oct 24.


The IDEA model: A single equation approach to the Ebola forecasting challenge.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:71-77. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.09.001. Epub 2016 Sep 28.


Go big or go home: impact of screening coverage on syphilis infection dynamics.

Tuite A, Fisman D.

Sex Transm Infect. 2016 Feb;92(1):49-54. doi: 10.1136/sextrans-2014-052001. Epub 2015 May 7.


Projected impact of vaccination timing and dose availability on the course of the 2014 west african ebola epidemic.

Fisman D, Tuite A.

PLoS Curr. 2014 Nov 21;6. pii: ecurrents.outbreaks.06e00d0546ad426fed83ff24a1d4c4cc. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.06e00d0546ad426fed83ff24a1d4c4cc.


Early epidemic dynamics of the west african 2014 ebola outbreak: estimates derived with a simple two-parameter model.

Fisman D, Khoo E, Tuite A.

PLoS Curr. 2014 Sep 8;6. pii: ecurrents.outbreaks.89c0d3783f36958d96ebbae97348d571. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.89c0d3783f36958d96ebbae97348d571.


Geographical variability in the likelihood of bloodstream infections due to gram-negative bacteria: correlation with proximity to the equator and health care expenditure.

Fisman D, Patrozou E, Carmeli Y, Perencevich E, Tuite AR, Mermel LA; Geographical Variability of Bacteremia Study Group.

PLoS One. 2014 Dec 18;9(12):e114548. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0114548. eCollection 2014. Erratum in: PLoS One. 2015 Mar 23;10(3):e0122435. Multiple investigator names added. PLoS One. 2015;10(3):e0122435.


Ebola: no time to waste.

Fisman D, Tuite AR.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2014 Dec;14(12):1164-5. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)70851-5. Epub 2014 Oct 23. No abstract available.


Cost-effectiveness of enhanced syphilis screening among HIV-positive men who have sex with men: a microsimulation model.

Tuite AR, Burchell AN, Fisman DN.

PLoS One. 2014 Jul 1;9(7):e101240. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0101240. eCollection 2014.


An IDEA for short term outbreak projection: nearcasting using the basic reproduction number.

Fisman DN, Hauck TS, Tuite AR, Greer AL.

PLoS One. 2013 Dec 31;8(12):e83622. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083622. eCollection 2013.


Estimation of the underlying burden of pertussis in adolescents and adults in Southern Ontario, Canada.

McGirr AA, Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

PLoS One. 2013 Dec 23;8(12):e83850. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083850. eCollection 2013.


Examining rainfall and cholera dynamics in Haiti using statistical and dynamic modeling approaches.

Eisenberg MC, Kujbida G, Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Tien JH.

Epidemics. 2013 Dec;5(4):197-207. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2013.09.004. Epub 2013 Oct 21.


The epidemiology of MERS-CoV.

Fisman DN, Tuite AR.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2014 Jan;14(1):6-7. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(13)70283-4. Epub 2013 Nov 13. No abstract available.


Epidemiological evaluation of spatiotemporal and genotypic clustering of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Ontario, Canada.

Tuite AR, Guthrie JL, Alexander DC, Whelan MS, Lee B, Lam K, Ma J, Fisman DN, Jamieson FB.

Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2013 Oct;17(10):1322-7. doi: 10.5588/ijtld.13.0145.


Historical epidemiology of the second cholera pandemic: relevance to present day disease dynamics.

Chan CH, Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

PLoS One. 2013 Aug 22;8(8):e72498. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0072498. eCollection 2013.


Screen more or screen more often? Using mathematical models to inform syphilis control strategies.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Mishra S.

BMC Public Health. 2013 Jun 24;13:606. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-606.


A conserved spiral structure for highly diverged phage tail assembly chaperones.

Pell LG, Cumby N, Clark TE, Tuite A, Battaile KP, Edwards AM, Chirgadze NY, Davidson AR, Maxwell KL.

J Mol Biol. 2013 Jul 24;425(14):2436-49. doi: 10.1016/j.jmb.2013.03.035. Epub 2013 Mar 28.


Effect of latitude on the rate of change in incidence of Lyme disease in the United States.

Tuite AR, Greer AL, Fisman DN.

CMAJ Open. 2013 Apr 16;1(1):E43-7. doi: 10.9778/cmajo.20120002. eCollection 2013 Jan.


Number-needed-to-vaccinate calculations: fallacies associated with exclusion of transmission.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

Vaccine. 2013 Jan 30;31(6):973-8. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2012.11.097. Epub 2012 Dec 13.


Estimation of the burden of disease and costs of genital Chlamydia trachomatis infection in Canada.

Tuite AR, Jayaraman GC, Allen VG, Fisman DN.

Sex Transm Dis. 2012 Apr;39(4):260-7. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e31824717ae.


Vaccination against 2009 pandemic H1N1 in a population dynamical model of Vancouver, Canada: timing is everything.

Conway JM, Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Hupert N, Meza R, Davoudi B, English K, van den Driessche P, Brauer F, Ma J, Meyers LA, Smieja M, Greer A, Skowronski DM, Buckeridge DL, Kwong JC, Wu J, Moghadas SM, Coombs D, Brunham RC, Pourbohloul B.

BMC Public Health. 2011 Dec 14;11:932. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-11-932.


Estimation of the health impact and cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination with enhanced effectiveness in Canada.

Fisman DN, Tuite AR.

PLoS One. 2011;6(11):e27420. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0027420. Epub 2011 Nov 14.


Evaluation of coseasonality of influenza and invasive pneumococcal disease: results from prospective surveillance.

Kuster SP, Tuite AR, Kwong JC, McGeer A; Toronto Invasive Bacterial Diseases Network Investigators, Fisman DN.

PLoS Med. 2011 Jun;8(6):e1001042. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001042. Epub 2011 Jun 7.


Cholera, canals, and contagion: Rediscovering Dr. Beck's report.

Tuite AR, Chan CH, Fisman DN.

J Public Health Policy. 2011 Aug;32(3):320-33. doi: 10.1057/jphp.2011.20. Epub 2011 May 5.


Cholera epidemic in Haiti, 2010: using a transmission model to explain spatial spread of disease and identify optimal control interventions.

Tuite AR, Tien J, Eisenberg M, Earn DJ, Ma J, Fisman DN.

Ann Intern Med. 2011 May 3;154(9):593-601. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-154-9-201105030-00334. Epub 2011 Mar 7.


Pandemic influenza: Modelling and public health perspectives.

Arino J, Bauch C, Brauer F, Driedger SM, Greer AL, Moghadas SM, Pizzi NJ, Sander B, Tuite A, van den Driessche P, Watmough J, Wu J, Yan P.

Math Biosci Eng. 2011 Jan;8(1):1-20. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2011.8.1.


Respiratory virus infection and risk of invasive meningococcal disease in central Ontario, Canada.

Tuite AR, Kinlin LM, Kuster SP, Jamieson F, Kwong JC, McGeer A, Fisman DN.

PLoS One. 2010 Nov 17;5(11):e15493. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0015493.


Projected cost-savings with herpes simplex virus screening in pregnancy: towards a new screening paradigm.

Tuite AR, McCabe CJ, Ku J, Fisman DN.

Sex Transm Infect. 2011 Mar;87(2):141-8. doi: 10.1136/sti.2010.045559. Epub 2010 Nov 20.


The factor XII -4C>T variant and risk of common thrombotic disorders: A HuGE review and meta-analysis of evidence from observational studies.

Johnson CY, Tuite A, Morange PE, Tregouet DA, Gagnon F.

Am J Epidemiol. 2011 Jan 15;173(2):136-44. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwq349. Epub 2010 Nov 11. Review.


Spectrum bias and loss of statistical power in discordant couple studies of sexually transmitted infections.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN.

Sex Transm Dis. 2011 Jan;38(1):50-6. doi: 10.1097/OLQ.0b013e3181ec19f1.


Optimal pandemic influenza vaccine allocation strategies for the Canadian population.

Tuite AR, Fisman DN, Kwong JC, Greer AL.

PLoS One. 2010 May 6;5(5):e10520. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0010520.


Age, influenza pandemics and disease dynamics.

Greer AL, Tuite A, Fisman DN.

Epidemiol Infect. 2010 Nov;138(11):1542-9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268810000579. Epub 2010 Mar 22.


Optimal pandemic influenza vaccine allocation strategies for the canadian population.

Tuite A, Fisman DN, Kwong JC, Greer A.

PLoS Curr. 2010 Jan 4;2:RRN1144.


Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Allocation in the Canadian Population during a Pandemic.

Tuite A, Fisman DN, Kwong JC, Greer A.

PLoS Curr. 2009 Dec 11;1:RRN1143.


Estimated epidemiologic parameters and morbidity associated with pandemic H1N1 influenza.

Tuite AR, Greer AL, Whelan M, Winter AL, Lee B, Yan P, Wu J, Moghadas S, Buckeridge D, Pourbohloul B, Fisman DN.

CMAJ. 2010 Feb 9;182(2):131-6. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.091807. Epub 2009 Dec 3.

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