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Items: 32

1.

From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science: Producing better probability estimates for policy makers.

Mellers BA, Tetlock PE.

Am Psychol. 2019 Apr;74(3):290-300. doi: 10.1037/amp0000429.

PMID:
30945892
2.

Correcting Judgment Correctives in National Security Intelligence.

Mandel DR, Tetlock PE.

Front Psychol. 2018 Dec 21;9:2640. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2018.02640. eCollection 2018.

3.

Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments.

Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Scoblic JP.

Science. 2017 Feb 3;355(6324):481-483. doi: 10.1126/science.aal3147. Epub 2017 Feb 2. Review.

PMID:
28154049
4.

Debunking the Myth of Value-Neutral Virginity: Toward Truth in Scientific Advertising.

Mandel DR, Tetlock PE.

Front Psychol. 2016 Mar 30;7:451. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2016.00451. eCollection 2016.

5.

Perceptual dehumanization of faces is activated by norm violations and facilitates norm enforcement.

Fincher KM, Tetlock PE.

J Exp Psychol Gen. 2016 Feb;145(2):131-46. doi: 10.1037/xge0000132.

PMID:
27045281
6.

It may be harder than we thought, but political diversity will (still) improve social psychological science.

Crawford JT, Duarte JL, Haidt J, Jussim L, Stern C, Tetlock PE.

Behav Brain Sci. 2015;38:e164. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X15000035.

PMID:
26816000
7.

Balancing Fairness and Efficiency: The Impact of Identity-Blind and Identity-Conscious Accountability on Applicant Screening.

Self WT, Mitchell G, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE, Hildreth JA.

PLoS One. 2015 Dec 14;10(12):e0145208. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0145208. eCollection 2015.

8.

Improving Intelligence Analysis With Decision Science.

Dhami MK, Mandel DR, Mellers BA, Tetlock PE.

Perspect Psychol Sci. 2015 Nov;10(6):753-7. doi: 10.1177/1745691615598511. Review.

PMID:
26581731
9.

Using the IAT to predict ethnic and racial discrimination: small effect sizes of unknown societal significance.

Oswald FL, Mitchell G, Blanton H, Jaccard J, Tetlock PE.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2015 Apr;108(4):562-71. doi: 10.1037/pspa0000023.

PMID:
25844574
10.

Brutality under cover of ambiguity: activating, perpetuating, and deactivating covert retributivism.

Fincher KM, Tetlock PE.

Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2015 May;41(5):629-42. doi: 10.1177/0146167215571090. Epub 2015 Mar 10.

PMID:
25758706
11.

Toward a meaningful metric of implicit prejudice.

Blanton H, Jaccard J, Strauts E, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE.

J Appl Psychol. 2015 Sep;100(5):1468-81. doi: 10.1037/a0038379. Epub 2015 Jan 19. Erratum in: J Appl Psychol. 2015 Sep;100(5):1482.

PMID:
25602125
12.

Political diversity will improve social psychological science.

Duarte JL, Crawford JT, Stern C, Haidt J, Jussim L, Tetlock PE.

Behav Brain Sci. 2015;38:e130. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X14000430. Epub 2014 Jul 18. Review.

PMID:
25036715
13.

Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament.

Mellers B, Ungar L, Baron J, Ramos J, Gurcay B, Fincher K, Scott SE, Moore D, Atanasov P, Swift SA, Murray T, Stone E, Tetlock PE.

Psychol Sci. 2014 May 1;25(5):1106-15. doi: 10.1177/0956797614524255. Epub 2014 Mar 21.

14.

Predicting ethnic and racial discrimination: a meta-analysis of IAT criterion studies.

Oswald FL, Mitchell G, Blanton H, Jaccard J, Tetlock PE.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2013 Aug;105(2):171-92. doi: 10.1037/a0032734. Epub 2013 Jun 17.

PMID:
23773046
15.

Rational Versus Irrational Prejudices: How Problematic Is the Ideological Lopsidedness of Social Psychology?

Tetlock PE.

Perspect Psychol Sci. 2012 Sep;7(5):519-21. doi: 10.1177/1745691612454305.

PMID:
26168511
16.

Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: beyond accountability ping-pong.

Tetlock PE, Mellers BA.

Am Psychol. 2011 Sep;66(6):542-54. doi: 10.1037/a0024285.

PMID:
21823782
17.

Predicting behavior in economic games by looking through the eyes of the players.

Mellers BA, Haselhuhn MP, Tetlock PE, Silva JC, Isen AM.

J Exp Psychol Gen. 2010 Nov;139(4):743-55. doi: 10.1037/a0020280.

PMID:
20853991
18.

Situated Social Identities Constrain Morally Defensible Choices: Commentary on Bennis, Medin, & Bartels (2010).

Tetlock PE, Mitchell G.

Perspect Psychol Sci. 2010 Mar;5(2):206-8. doi: 10.1177/1745691610362359. Epub 2010 Mar 30.

PMID:
26162127
19.

From what might have been to what must have been: counterfactual thinking creates meaning.

Kray LJ, George LG, Liljenquist KA, Galinsky AD, Tetlock PE, Roese NJ.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2010 Jan;98(1):106-18. doi: 10.1037/a0017905.

PMID:
20053036
20.

Strong claims and weak evidence: reassessing the predictive validity of the IAT.

Blanton H, Jaccard J, Klick J, Mellers B, Mitchell G, Tetlock PE.

J Appl Psychol. 2009 May;94(3):567-82; discussion 583-603. doi: 10.1037/a0014665.

PMID:
19449998
21.

Economics. The promise of prediction markets.

Arrow KJ, Forsythe R, Gorham M, Hahn R, Hanson R, Ledyard JO, Levmore S, Litan R, Milgrom P, Nelson FD, Neumann GR, Ottaviani M, Schelling TC, Shiller RJ, Smith VL, Snowberg E, Sunstein CR, Tetlock PC, Tetlock PE, Varian HR, Wolfers J, Zitzewitz E.

Science. 2008 May 16;320(5878):877-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1157679. No abstract available.

PMID:
18487176
22.

On the assignment of punishment: the impact of general-societal threat and the moderating role of severity.

Rucker DD, Polifroni M, Tetlock PE, Scott AL.

Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2004 Jun;30(6):673-84.

PMID:
15155032
23.

Thinking the unthinkable: sacred values and taboo cognitions.

Tetlock PE.

Trends Cogn Sci. 2003 Jul;7(7):320-324.

PMID:
12860191
24.
25.

'I couldn't have known': accountability, foreseeability and counterfactual denials of responsibility.

Markman KD, Tetlock PE.

Br J Soc Psychol. 2000 Sep;39 ( Pt 3):313-25.

PMID:
11041004
26.

Thinking about Russia: plausible pasts and probable futures.

Tetlock PE, Visser PS.

Br J Soc Psychol. 2000 Jun;39 ( Pt 2):173-96.

PMID:
10907094
27.

The psychology of the unthinkable: taboo trade-offs, forbidden base rates, and heretical counterfactuals.

Tetlock PE, Kristel OV, Elson SB, Green MC, Lerner JS.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2000 May;78(5):853-70.

PMID:
10821194
28.

Accounting for the effects of accountability.

Lerner JS, Tetlock PE.

Psychol Bull. 1999 Mar;125(2):255-75.

PMID:
10087938
29.

Group Dynamics in Top Management Teams: Groupthink, Vigilance, and Alternative Models of Organizational Failure and Success.

Peterson RS, Owens PD, Tetlock PE, Fan ET, Martorana P.

Organ Behav Hum Decis Process. 1998 Feb;73(2/3):272-305.

PMID:
9705805
30.

Social and cognitive strategies for coping with accountability: conformity, complexity, and bolstering.

Tetlock PE, Skitka L, Boettger R.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 1989 Oct;57(4):632-40.

PMID:
2795435
31.

Accountability: a social magnifier of the dilution effect.

Tetlock PE, Boettger R.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 1989 Sep;57(3):388-98.

PMID:
2778629
32.

Accountability and judgment processes in a personality prediction task.

Tetlock PE, Kim JI.

J Pers Soc Psychol. 1987 Apr;52(4):700-9.

PMID:
3572733

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