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Items: 1 to 50 of 69

1.

Pest demography critically determines the viability of synthetic gene drives for population control.

Wilkins KE, Prowse TAA, Cassey P, Thomas PQ, Ross JV.

Math Biosci. 2018 Sep 13. pii: S0025-5564(18)30117-2. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.09.005. [Epub ahead of print]

PMID:
30219282
2.

Characterising seasonal influenza epidemiology using primary care surveillance data.

Cope RC, Ross JV, Chilver M, Stocks NP, Mitchell L.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Aug 16;14(8):e1006377. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006377. eCollection 2018 Aug.

3.

The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities.

Yan AWC, Black AJ, McCaw JM, Rebuli N, Ross JV, Swan AJ, Hickson RI.

Math Biosci. 2018 Sep;303:139-147. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.07.004. Epub 2018 Jul 7.

PMID:
30089576
4.

Designing group dose-response studies in the presence of transmission.

Price DJ, Bean NG, Ross JV, Tuke J.

Math Biosci. 2018 Oct;304:62-78. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.07.007. Epub 2018 Jul 25.

PMID:
30055213
5.

The role of antimalarial quality in the emergence and transmission of resistance.

Brock AR, Ross JV, Parikh S, Esterman A.

Med Hypotheses. 2018 Feb;111:49-54. doi: 10.1016/j.mehy.2017.12.018. Epub 2017 Dec 14.

PMID:
29406996
6.

Estimating the basic reproductive number during the early stages of an emerging epidemic.

Rebuli NP, Bean NG, Ross JV.

Theor Popul Biol. 2018 Feb;119:26-36. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2017.10.004. Epub 2017 Nov 2.

PMID:
29102543
7.

Inference of epidemiological parameters from household stratified data.

Walker JN, Ross JV, Black AJ.

PLoS One. 2017 Oct 18;12(10):e0185910. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0185910. eCollection 2017.

8.

Intervention to maximise the probability of epidemic fade-out.

Ballard PG, Bean NG, Ross JV.

Math Biosci. 2017 Nov;293:1-10. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2017.08.003. Epub 2017 Aug 10.

PMID:
28804021
9.

Predicting the Risk of Biological Invasions Using Environmental Similarity and Transport Network Connectedness.

Cope RC, Ross JV, Wittmann TA, Watts MJ, Cassey P.

Risk Anal. 2017 Aug 10. doi: 10.1111/risa.12870. [Epub ahead of print]

PMID:
28796311
10.

Dodging silver bullets: good CRISPR gene-drive design is critical for eradicating exotic vertebrates.

Prowse TAA, Cassey P, Ross JV, Pfitzner C, Wittmann TA, Thomas P.

Proc Biol Sci. 2017 Aug 16;284(1860). pii: 20170799. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2017.0799.

11.

Modelling the impact of antimalarial quality on the transmission of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance in Plasmodium falciparum.

Brock AR, Ross JV, Greenhalgh S, Durham DP, Galvani A, Parikh S, Esterman A.

Infect Dis Model. 2017 Apr 15;2(2):161-187. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2017.04.001. eCollection 2017 May.

12.

Characterising pandemic severity and transmissibility from data collected during first few hundred studies.

Black AJ, Geard N, McCaw JM, McVernon J, Ross JV.

Epidemics. 2017 Jun;19:61-73. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.004. Epub 2017 Jan 19.

13.

Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics.

Rebuli NP, Bean NG, Ross JV.

J Math Biol. 2017 Sep;75(3):521-541. doi: 10.1007/s00285-016-1085-2. Epub 2016 Dec 24.

PMID:
28013336
14.

A data-driven model for influenza transmission incorporating media effects.

Mitchell L, Ross JV.

R Soc Open Sci. 2016 Oct 26;3(10):160481. eCollection 2016 Oct.

15.

Quantifying the effect of experimental design choices for in vitro scratch assays.

Johnston ST, Ross JV, Binder BJ, Sean McElwain DL, Haridas P, Simpson MJ.

J Theor Biol. 2016 Jul 7;400:19-31. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.04.012. Epub 2016 Apr 13.

PMID:
27086040
16.

Integrative Analysis of the Physical Transport Network into Australia.

Cope RC, Ross JV, Wittmann TA, Prowse TA, Cassey P.

PLoS One. 2016 Feb 16;11(2):e0148831. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0148831. eCollection 2016.

17.

Choice of Antiviral Allocation Scheme for Pandemic Influenza Depends on Strain Transmissibility, Delivery Delay and Stockpile Size.

Lydeamore M, Bean N, Black AJ, Ross JV.

Bull Math Biol. 2016 Feb;78(2):293-321. doi: 10.1007/s11538-016-0144-6. Epub 2016 Feb 3.

PMID:
26846916
18.

The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography.

Ballard PG, Bean NG, Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2016 Mar 21;393:170-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.01.012. Epub 2016 Jan 18.

PMID:
26796227
19.

Temporal modelling of ballast water discharge and ship-mediated invasion risk to Australia.

Cope RC, Prowse TA, Ross JV, Wittmann TA, Cassey P.

R Soc Open Sci. 2015 Apr 22;2(4):150039. doi: 10.1098/rsos.150039. eCollection 2015 Apr.

20.

Incomplete penetrance: The role of stochasticity in developmental cell colonization.

Binder BJ, Landman KA, Newgreen DF, Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2015 Sep 7;380:309-14. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.05.028. Epub 2015 Jun 3.

PMID:
26047851
21.

Optimal prophylactic vaccination in segregated populations: When can we improve on the equalising strategy?

Keeling MJ, Ross JV.

Epidemics. 2015 Jun;11:7-13. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.01.002. Epub 2015 Jan 24. Review.

22.

Assessment of the risk of ebola importation to australia.

Cope RC, Cassey P, Hugo GJ, Ross JV.

PLoS Curr. 2014 Dec 10;6. pii: ecurrents.outbreaks.aa0375fd48a92c7c9422aa543a88711f. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.aa0375fd48a92c7c9422aa543a88711f.

23.

Computation of epidemic final size distributions.

Black AJ, Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2015 Feb 21;367:159-165. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.11.029. Epub 2014 Dec 8.

PMID:
25497476
24.

Understanding the biological invasion risk posed by the global wildlife trade: propagule pressure drives the introduction and establishment of Nearctic turtles.

García-Díaz P, Ross JV, Ayres C, Cassey P.

Glob Chang Biol. 2015 Mar;21(3):1078-91. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12790. Epub 2014 Dec 23.

PMID:
25363272
25.

Approximating spatially exclusive invasion processes.

Ross JV, Binder BJ.

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2014 May;89(5):052709. Epub 2014 May 15.

PMID:
25353831
26.

Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreak.

Ross JV, Black AJ.

Math Med Biol. 2015 Sep;32(3):331-43. doi: 10.1093/imammb/dqu014. Epub 2014 Sep 16.

PMID:
25228290
27.

Interpreting scratch assays using pair density dynamics and approximate Bayesian computation.

Johnston ST, Simpson MJ, McElwain DL, Binder BJ, Ross JV.

Open Biol. 2014 Sep;4(9):140097. doi: 10.1098/rsob.140097.

28.

The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics.

Black AJ, House T, Keeling MJ, Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2014 Oct 21;359:45-53. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.05.042. Epub 2014 Jun 6.

PMID:
24911778
29.

On the derivation of approximations to cellular automata models and the assumption of independence.

Davies KJ, Green JE, Bean NG, Binder BJ, Ross JV.

Math Biosci. 2014 Jul;253:63-71. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2014.04.004. Epub 2014 Apr 24.

PMID:
24769324
30.

Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemic.

Black AJ, Ross JV.

PLoS One. 2013 Aug 30;8(8):e73420. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0073420. eCollection 2013.

31.

Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza.

Black AJ, House T, Keeling MJ, Ross JV.

J R Soc Interface. 2013 Feb 6;10(81):20121019. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2012.1019. Print 2013 Apr 6.

32.

Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households.

House T, Inglis N, Ross JV, Wilson F, Suleman S, Edeghere O, Smith G, Olowokure B, Keeling MJ.

BMC Med. 2012 Oct 9;10:117. doi: 10.1186/1741-7015-10-117.

33.

On parameter estimation in population models III: time-inhomogeneous processes and observation error.

Ross JV.

Theor Popul Biol. 2012 Aug;82(1):1-17. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2012.03.001. Epub 2012 Mar 23.

PMID:
22459805
34.

Invasion of infectious diseases in finite homogeneous populations.

Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2011 Nov 21;289:83-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.08.035. Epub 2011 Sep 3.

PMID:
21903101
35.

Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease.

Danon L, Ford AP, House T, Jewell CP, Keeling MJ, Roberts GO, Ross JV, Vernon MC.

Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis. 2011;2011:284909. doi: 10.1155/2011/284909. Epub 2011 Mar 16.

36.

Measuring social networks in British primary schools through scientific engagement.

Conlan AJ, Eames KT, Gage JA, von Kirchbach JC, Ross JV, Saenz RA, Gog JR.

Proc Biol Sci. 2011 May 22;278(1711):1467-75. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.1807. Epub 2010 Nov 3.

37.

Disturbance affects short-term facilitation, but not long-term saturation, of exotic plant invasion in New Zealand forest.

Spence LA, Ross JV, Wiser SK, Allen RB, Coomes DA.

Proc Biol Sci. 2011 May 22;278(1711):1457-66. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.1738. Epub 2010 Oct 27.

38.

Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households.

Ross JV, House T, Keeling MJ.

PLoS One. 2010 Mar 18;5(3):e9666. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0009666.

39.

Modelling population processes with random initial conditions.

Pollett PK, Dooley AH, Ross JV.

Math Biosci. 2010 Feb;223(2):142-50. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2009.11.008. Epub 2009 Nov 20.

PMID:
19932121
40.

Computationally exact methods for stochastic periodic dynamics: Spatiotemporal dispersal and temporally forced transmission.

Ross JV.

J Theor Biol. 2010 Jan 7;262(1):14-22. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.09.014. Epub 2009 Sep 18.

PMID:
19766661
41.

Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics.

Keeling MJ, Ross JV.

Theor Popul Biol. 2009 Mar-May;75(2-3):133-41. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2009.01.003. Epub 2009 Jan 21.

PMID:
19344628
42.

On parameter estimation in population models II: multi-dimensional processes and transient dynamics.

Ross JV, Pagendam DE, Pollett PK.

Theor Popul Biol. 2009 Mar-May;75(2-3):123-32. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2008.12.002. Epub 2009 Jan 3.

PMID:
19136021
43.

Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model.

Dangerfield CE, Ross JV, Keeling MJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2009 Sep 6;6(38):761-74. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2008.0410. Epub 2008 Oct 30.

44.

Metapopulation persistence in a dynamic landscape: more habitat or better stewardship?

Ross JV, Sirl DJ, Pollett PK, Possingham HP.

Ecol Appl. 2008 Apr;18(3):590-8.

PMID:
18488619
45.

On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics.

Keeling MJ, Ross JV.

J R Soc Interface. 2008 Feb 6;5(19):171-81.

46.

On parameter estimation in population models.

Ross JV, Taimre T, Pollett PK.

Theor Popul Biol. 2006 Dec;70(4):498-510. Epub 2006 Aug 12.

PMID:
16984803
47.

Stochastic models for mainland-island metapopulations in static and dynamic landscapes.

Ross JV.

Bull Math Biol. 2006 Feb;68(2):417-49. Epub 2006 Apr 4.

PMID:
16794938
48.

Extinction times for a birth-death process with two phases.

Ross JV, Pollett PK.

Math Biosci. 2006 Aug;202(2):310-22. Epub 2006 Apr 19.

PMID:
16624337
49.

A stochastic metapopulation model accounting for habitat dynamics.

Ross JV.

J Math Biol. 2006 Jun;52(6):788-806. Epub 2006 Mar 6.

PMID:
16521025
50.

Comment on "On the regulation of populations of mammals, birds, fish, and insects" II.

Ross JV.

Science. 2006 Feb 24;311(5764):1100; author reply 1100.

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