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Items: 10

1.

Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.

Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, Tushar A, Ray EL, Osthus D, Kandula S, Brooks LC, Crawford-Crudell W, Gibson GC, Moore E, Silva R, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Nov 22;15(11):e1007486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486. eCollection 2019 Nov.

2.

Estimating influenza incidence using search query deceptiveness and generalized ridge regression.

Priedhorsky R, Daughton AR, Barnard M, O'Connell F, Osthus D.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Oct 1;15(10):e1007165. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007165. eCollection 2019 Oct.

3.

Reply to Bracher: Scoring probabilistic forecasts to maximize public health interpretability.

Reich NG, Osthus D, Ray EL, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Oct 15;116(42):20811-20812. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1912694116. Epub 2019 Sep 26. No abstract available.

4.

Even a good influenza forecasting model can benefit from internet-based nowcasts, but those benefits are limited.

Osthus D, Daughton AR, Priedhorsky R.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Feb 1;15(2):e1006599. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006599. eCollection 2019 Feb.

5.

A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States.

Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116. Epub 2019 Jan 15.

6.

Quantifying Topological Uncertainty in Fractured Systems using Graph Theory and Machine Learning.

Srinivasan G, Hyman JD, Osthus DA, Moore BA, O'Malley D, Karra S, Rougier E, Hagberg AA, Hunter A, Viswanathan HS.

Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 3;8(1):11665. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30117-1.

7.

Forecasting seasonal influenza with a state-space SIR model.

Osthus D, Hickmann KS, Caragea PC, Higdon D, Del Valle SY.

Ann Appl Stat. 2017 Mar;11(1):202-224. doi: 10.1214/16-AOAS1000. Epub 2017 Apr 8.

8.

Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast.

Moran KR, Fairchild G, Generous N, Hickmann K, Osthus D, Priedhorsky R, Hyman J, Del Valle SY.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S404-S408. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw375. Review.

9.

Measuring Global Disease with Wikipedia: Success, Failure, and a Research Agenda.

Priedhorsky R, Osthus D, Daughton AR, Moran KR, Generous N, Fairchild G, Deshpande A, Del Valle SY.

CSCW Conf Comput Support Coop Work. 2017 Feb-Mar;2017:1812-1834. doi: 10.1145/2998181.2998183.

10.

Validity of 24-h physical activity recall: physical activity measurement survey.

Welk GJ, Kim Y, Stanfill B, Osthus DA, Calabro MA, Nusser SM, Carriquiry A.

Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2014 Oct;46(10):2014-24. doi: 10.1249/MSS.0000000000000314.

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