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Preventing type 2 diabetes mellitus in Qatar by reducing obesity, smoking, and physical inactivity: mathematical modeling analyses.

Awad SF, O'Flaherty M, El-Nahas KG, Al-Hamaq AO, Critchley JA, Abu-Raddad LJ.

Popul Health Metr. 2019 Dec 30;17(1):20. doi: 10.1186/s12963-019-0200-1.


Revisiting the Dynamic Risks of Incident Atrial Fibrillation: Does the Use of Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs Contribute to Risk?

Harrison SL, O'Flaherty M, Lip GYH.

QJM. 2019 Nov 26. pii: hcz310. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcz310. [Epub ahead of print] No abstract available.


Premature mortality attributable to smoking among Tunisian men in 2009.

Saidi O, Hajjem S, Zoghlami N, Aounallah-Skhiri H, Ben Mansour N, Hsairi M, Romdhane HB, Critchley JA, Mallouche D, O'Flaherty M, Fakhfakh R.

Tob Induc Dis. 2019 Nov 4;17:77. doi: 10.18332/tid/112666. eCollection 2019.


Potential impact of diabetes prevention on mortality and future burden of dementia and disability: a modelling study.

Bandosz P, Ahmadi-Abhari S, Guzman-Castillo M, Pearson-Stuttard J, Collins B, Whittaker H, Shipley MJ, Capewell S, Brunner EJ, O'Flaherty M.

Diabetologia. 2020 Jan;63(1):104-115. doi: 10.1007/s00125-019-05015-4. Epub 2019 Nov 15.


Explaining income-related inequalities in cardiovascular risk factors in Tunisian adults during the last decade: comparison of sensitivity analysis of logistic regression and Wagstaff decomposition analysis.

Saidi O, Zoghlami N, Bennett KE, Mosquera PA, Malouche D, Capewell S, Romdhane HB, O'Flaherty M.

Int J Equity Health. 2019 Nov 15;18(1):177. doi: 10.1186/s12939-019-1047-6.


Universal or targeted cardiovascular screening? Modelling study using a sector-specific distributional cost effectiveness analysis.

Collins B, Kypridemos C, Cookson R, Parvulescu P, McHale P, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Bromley H, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

Prev Med. 2020 Jan;130:105879. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2019.105879. Epub 2019 Oct 31.


Trends in Cardiometabolic Mortality in the United States, 1999-2017.

Shah NS, Lloyd-Jones DM, O'Flaherty M, Capewell S, Kershaw KN, Carnethon M, Khan SS.

JAMA. 2019 Aug 27;322(8):780-782. doi: 10.1001/jama.2019.9161. No abstract available. Erratum in: JAMA. 2019 Oct 1;322(13):1316.


FDA Sodium Reduction Targets and the Food Industry: Are There Incentives to Reformulate? Microsimulation Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

Collins B, Kypridemos C, Pearson-Stuttard J, Huang Y, Bandosz P, Wilde P, Kersh R, Capewell S, Mozaffarian D, Whitsel LP, Micha R, O'Flaherty M; Food-PRICE Investigators.

Milbank Q. 2019 Sep;97(3):858-880. doi: 10.1111/1468-0009.12402. Epub 2019 Jul 22.


Quantifying the impact of the Public Health Responsibility Deal on salt intake, cardiovascular disease and gastric cancer burdens: interrupted time series and microsimulation study.

Laverty AA, Kypridemos C, Seferidi P, Vamos EP, Pearson-Stuttard J, Collins B, Capewell S, Mwatsama M, Cairney P, Fleming K, O'Flaherty M, Millett C.

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2019 Sep;73(9):881-887. doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-211749. Epub 2019 Jul 18.


Analysis of the decrease in deaths due to coronary disease between 1995 and 2010. IMPACT CHD Argentina Study.

Vicens J, Perman G, Aliperti V, Masson W, Schargrodsky H, Pramparo P, Ferrante D, Figar S, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

Rev Fac Cien Med Univ Nac Cordoba. 2019 Jun 19;76(2):92-100. doi: 10.31053/1853.0605.v76.n2.22915. Spanish.


Sexual Orientation and Adolescent Time Use: How Sexual Minority Youth Spend Their Time.

Perales F, Campbell A, O'Flaherty M.

Child Dev. 2019 May 7. doi: 10.1111/cdev.13245. [Epub ahead of print]


Adverse risk factor trends limit gains in coronary heart disease mortality in Barbados: 1990-2012.

Sobers NP, Unwin N, Samuels TA, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Critchley JA.

PLoS One. 2019 Apr 17;14(4):e0215392. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215392. eCollection 2019.


Cost-Effectiveness of the US Food and Drug Administration Added Sugar Labeling Policy for Improving Diet and Health.

Huang Y, Kypridemos C, Liu J, Lee Y, Pearson-Stuttard J, Collins B, Bandosz P, Capewell S, Whitsel L, Wilde P, Mozaffarian D, O'Flaherty M, Micha R; Food-PRICE (Policy Review and Intervention Cost-Effectiveness) Project.

Circulation. 2019 Jun 4;139(23):2613-2624. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.118.036751. Epub 2019 Apr 15.


Comparing Strategies to Prevent Stroke and Ischemic Heart Disease in the Tunisian Population: Markov Modeling Approach Using a Comprehensive Sensitivity Analysis Algorithm.

Saidi O, O'Flaherty M, Zoghlami N, Malouche D, Capewell S, Critchley JA, Bandosz P, Ben Romdhane H, Guzman Castillo M.

Comput Math Methods Med. 2019 Jan 29;2019:2123079. doi: 10.1155/2019/2123079. eCollection 2019.


Explaining the decline in coronary heart disease mortality rates in Japan: Contributions of changes in risk factors and evidence-based treatments between 1980 and 2012.

Ogata S, Nishimura K, Guzman-Castillo M, Sumita Y, Nakai M, Nakao YM, Nishi N, Noguchi T, Sekikawa A, Saito Y, Watanabe T, Kobayashi Y, Okamura T, Ogawa H, Yasuda S, Miyamoto Y, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

Int J Cardiol. 2019 Sep 15;291:183-188. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2019.02.022. Epub 2019 Feb 14.


The scars of the past? Childhood health and health differentials in later life.

Lam J, O'Flaherty M, Baxter J.

SSM Popul Health. 2019 Jan 15;7:100354. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2019.100354. eCollection 2019 Apr.


Context-led capacity building in time of crisis: fostering non-communicable diseases (NCD) research skills in the Mediterranean Middle East and North Africa.

Phillimore P, Sibai AM, Rizk A, Maziak W, Unal B, Abu Rmeileh N, Ben Romdhane H, Fouad FM, Khader Y, Bennett K, Zaman S, Mataria A, Ghandour R, Kılıç B, Ben Mansour N, Fadhil I, O'Flaherty M, Capewell S, Critchley JA.

Glob Health Action. 2019;12(1):1569838. doi: 10.1080/16549716.2019.1569838.


Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2019 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.

Benjamin EJ, Muntner P, Alonso A, Bittencourt MS, Callaway CW, Carson AP, Chamberlain AM, Chang AR, Cheng S, Das SR, Delling FN, Djousse L, Elkind MSV, Ferguson JF, Fornage M, Jordan LC, Khan SS, Kissela BM, Knutson KL, Kwan TW, Lackland DT, Lewis TT, Lichtman JH, Longenecker CT, Loop MS, Lutsey PL, Martin SS, Matsushita K, Moran AE, Mussolino ME, O'Flaherty M, Pandey A, Perak AM, Rosamond WD, Roth GA, Sampson UKA, Satou GM, Schroeder EB, Shah SH, Spartano NL, Stokes A, Tirschwell DL, Tsao CW, Turakhia MP, VanWagner LB, Wilkins JT, Wong SS, Virani SS; American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee.

Circulation. 2019 Mar 5;139(10):e56-e528. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000659. No abstract available. Erratum in: Circulation. 2020 Jan 14;141(2):e33.


Impacts of Brexit on fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease in England: a modelling study.

Seferidi P, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Bandosz P, Collins B, Guzman-Castillo M, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett C.

BMJ Open. 2019 Jan 28;9(1):e026966. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-026966.


Evaluating effects of recent changes in NHS resource allocation policy on inequalities in amenable mortality in England, 2007-2014: time-series analysis.

Currie J, Guzman Castillo M, Adekanmbi V, Barr B, O'Flaherty M.

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2019 Feb;73(2):162-167. doi: 10.1136/jech-2018-211141. Epub 2018 Nov 23.


Decline in Regional Trends in Mortality of Stroke Subtypes in Germany From 1998 to 2015.

Rücker V, Wiedmann S, O'Flaherty M, Busch MA, Heuschmann PU.

Stroke. 2018 Nov;49(11):2577-2583. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.023193.


Implications of Brexit on the effectiveness of the UK soft drinks industry levy upon CHD in England: a modelling study.

Seferidi P, Laverty AA, Pearson-Stuttard J, Guzman-Castillo M, Collins B, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Millett C.

Public Health Nutr. 2018 Dec;21(18):3431-3439. doi: 10.1017/S1368980018002367. Epub 2018 Oct 9.


Comparative risk assessment of school food environment policies and childhood diets, childhood obesity, and future cardiometabolic mortality in the United States.

Rosettie KL, Micha R, Cudhea F, Peñalvo JL, O'Flaherty M, Pearson-Stuttard J, Economos CD, Whitsel LP, Mozaffarian D.

PLoS One. 2018 Jul 6;13(7):e0200378. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0200378. eCollection 2018.


Future cost-effectiveness and equity of the NHS Health Check cardiovascular disease prevention programme: Microsimulation modelling using data from Liverpool, UK.

Kypridemos C, Collins B, McHale P, Bromley H, Parvulescu P, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

PLoS Med. 2018 May 29;15(5):e1002573. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002573. eCollection 2018 May.


Reductions in national cardiometabolic mortality achievable by food price changes according to Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) eligibility and participation.

Wilde PE, Conrad Z, Rehm CD, Pomeranz JL, Penalvo JL, Cudhea F, Pearson-Stuttard J, O'Flaherty M, Micha R, Mozaffarian D.

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2018 Sep;72(9):817-824. doi: 10.1136/jech-2017-210381. Epub 2018 May 10.


Explaining trends in coronary heart disease mortality in different socioeconomic groups in Denmark 1991-2007 using the IMPACTSEC model.

Joensen AM, Joergensen T, Lundbye-Christensen S, Johansen MB, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Hallas J, Prescott EIB, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

PLoS One. 2018 Apr 19;13(4):e0194793. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194793. eCollection 2018.


Adoption and Design of Emerging Dietary Policies to Improve Cardiometabolic Health in the US.

Huang Y, Pomeranz J, Wilde P, Capewell S, Gaziano T, O'Flaherty M, Kersh R, Whitsel L, Mozaffarian D, Micha R.

Curr Atheroscler Rep. 2018 Apr 14;20(5):25. doi: 10.1007/s11883-018-0726-x. Review.


Estimating the health and economic effects of the proposed US Food and Drug Administration voluntary sodium reformulation: Microsimulation cost-effectiveness analysis.

Pearson-Stuttard J, Kypridemos C, Collins B, Mozaffarian D, Huang Y, Bandosz P, Capewell S, Whitsel L, Wilde P, O'Flaherty M, Micha R.

PLoS Med. 2018 Apr 10;15(4):e1002551. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002551. eCollection 2018 Apr.


Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2018 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.

Benjamin EJ, Virani SS, Callaway CW, Chamberlain AM, Chang AR, Cheng S, Chiuve SE, Cushman M, Delling FN, Deo R, de Ferranti SD, Ferguson JF, Fornage M, Gillespie C, Isasi CR, Jiménez MC, Jordan LC, Judd SE, Lackland D, Lichtman JH, Lisabeth L, Liu S, Longenecker CT, Lutsey PL, Mackey JS, Matchar DB, Matsushita K, Mussolino ME, Nasir K, O'Flaherty M, Palaniappan LP, Pandey A, Pandey DK, Reeves MJ, Ritchey MD, Rodriguez CJ, Roth GA, Rosamond WD, Sampson UKA, Satou GM, Shah SH, Spartano NL, Tirschwell DL, Tsao CW, Voeks JH, Willey JZ, Wilkins JT, Wu JH, Alger HM, Wong SS, Muntner P; American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee.

Circulation. 2018 Mar 20;137(12):e67-e492. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000558. Epub 2018 Jan 31. Review. No abstract available. Erratum in: Circulation. 2018 Mar 20;137(12 ):e493.


Explaining the decline in coronary heart disease mortality rates in the Slovak Republic between 1993-2008.

Psota M, Bandosz P, Gonçalvesová E, Avdičová M, Bucek Pšenková M, Studenčan M, Pekarčíková J, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

PLoS One. 2018 Jan 10;13(1):e0190090. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190090. eCollection 2018.


Systematic review of dietary trans-fat reduction interventions.

Hyseni L, Bromley H, Kypridemos C, O'Flaherty M, Lloyd-Williams F, Guzman-Castillo M, Pearson-Stuttard J, Capewell S.

Bull World Health Organ. 2017 Dec 1;95(12):821-830G. doi: 10.2471/BLT.16.189795. Epub 2017 Oct 19. Review.


The potential impact of food taxes and subsidies on cardiovascular disease and diabetes burden and disparities in the United States.

Peñalvo JL, Cudhea F, Micha R, Rehm CD, Afshin A, Whitsel L, Wilde P, Gaziano T, Pearson-Stuttard J, O'Flaherty M, Capewell S, Mozaffarian D.

BMC Med. 2017 Nov 27;15(1):208. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0971-9.


Forecasting the burden of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Qatar to 2050: A novel modeling approach.

Awad SF, O'Flaherty M, Critchley J, Abu-Raddad LJ.

Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2018 Mar;137:100-108. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2017.11.015. Epub 2017 Nov 22.


Effects of reducing processed culinary ingredients and ultra-processed foods in the Brazilian diet: a cardiovascular modelling study.

Moreira PV, Hyseni L, Moubarac JC, Martins APB, Baraldi LG, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Guzman-Castillo M.

Public Health Nutr. 2018 Jan;21(1):181-188. doi: 10.1017/S1368980017002063. Epub 2017 Sep 8.


Forecasted trends in disability and life expectancy in England and Wales up to 2025: a modelling study.

Guzman-Castillo M, Ahmadi-Abhari S, Bandosz P, Capewell S, Steptoe A, Singh-Manoux A, Kivimaki M, Shipley MJ, Brunner EJ, O'Flaherty M.

Lancet Public Health. 2017 May 23;2(7):e307-e313. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30091-9. eCollection 2017 Jul.


Temporal trend in dementia incidence since 2002 and projections for prevalence in England and Wales to 2040: modelling study.

Ahmadi-Abhari S, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Shipley MJ, Muniz-Terrera G, Singh-Manoux A, Kivimäki M, Steptoe A, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M, Brunner EJ.

BMJ. 2017 Jul 5;358:j2856. doi: 10.1136/bmj.j2856.


Reducing US cardiovascular disease burden and disparities through national and targeted dietary policies: A modelling study.

Pearson-Stuttard J, Bandosz P, Rehm CD, Penalvo J, Whitsel L, Gaziano T, Conrad Z, Wilde P, Micha R, Lloyd-Williams F, Capewell S, Mozaffarian D, O'Flaherty M.

PLoS Med. 2017 Jun 6;14(6):e1002311. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002311. eCollection 2017 Jun.


Comparing effectiveness of mass media campaigns with price reductions targeting fruit and vegetable intake on US cardiovascular disease mortality and race disparities.

Pearson-Stuttard J, Bandosz P, Rehm CD, Afshin A, Peñalvo JL, Whitsel L, Danaei G, Micha R, Gaziano T, Lloyd-Williams F, Capewell S, Mozaffarian D, O'Flaherty M.

Am J Clin Nutr. 2017 Jul;106(1):199-206. doi: 10.3945/ajcn.116.143925. Epub 2017 May 31.


Systematic review of dietary salt reduction policies: Evidence for an effectiveness hierarchy?

Hyseni L, Elliot-Green A, Lloyd-Williams F, Kypridemos C, O'Flaherty M, McGill R, Orton L, Bromley H, Cappuccio FP, Capewell S.

PLoS One. 2017 May 18;12(5):e0177535. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177535. eCollection 2017. Review.


The prospective impact of food pricing on improving dietary consumption: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Afshin A, Peñalvo JL, Del Gobbo L, Silva J, Michaelson M, O'Flaherty M, Capewell S, Spiegelman D, Danaei G, Mozaffarian D.

PLoS One. 2017 Mar 1;12(3):e0172277. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0172277. eCollection 2017. Review.


Estimated reductions in cardiovascular and gastric cancer disease burden through salt policies in England: an IMPACTNCD microsimulation study.

Kypridemos C, Guzman-Castillo M, Hyseni L, Hickey GL, Bandosz P, Buchan I, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

BMJ Open. 2017 Jan 24;7(1):e013791. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013791.


Explaining the Decline in Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in the Netherlands between 1997 and 2007.

Koopman C, Vaartjes I, van Dis I, Verschuren WM, Engelfriet P, Heintjes EM, Blokstra A, Deeg DJ, Visser M, Bots ML, O'Flaherty M, Capewell S.

PLoS One. 2016 Dec 1;11(12):e0166139. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0166139. eCollection 2016.


Assessment of cardiovascular risk in Tunisia: applying the Framingham risk score to national survey data.

Saidi O, Malouche D, O'Flaherty M, Ben Mansour N, A Skhiri H, Ben Romdhane H, Bezdah L.

BMJ Open. 2016 Nov 30;6(11):e009195. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009195.


Cost-effectiveness analysis of eliminating industrial and all trans fats in England and Wales: modelling study.

Pearson-Stuttard J, Hooton W, Critchley J, Capewell S, Collins M, Mason H, Guzman-Castillo M, O'Flaherty M.

J Public Health (Oxf). 2017 Sep 1;39(3):574-582. doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdw095.


Changes in Dietary Fat Intake and Projections for Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in Sweden: A Simulation Study.

Björck L, Rosengren A, Winkvist A, Capewell S, Adiels M, Bandosz P, Critchley J, Boman K, Guzman-Castillo M, O'Flaherty M, Johansson I.

PLoS One. 2016 Aug 4;11(8):e0160474. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0160474. eCollection 2016.


Potential benefits of healthy food and lifestyle policies for reducing coronary heart disease mortality in Turkish adults by 2025: a modelling study.

Sahan C, Sozmen K, Unal B, O'Flaherty M, Critchley J.

BMJ Open. 2016 Jul 7;6(7):e011217. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011217.


Cardiovascular screening to reduce the burden from cardiovascular disease: microsimulation study to quantify policy options.

Kypridemos C, Allen K, Hickey GL, Guzman-Castillo M, Bandosz P, Buchan I, Capewell S, O'Flaherty M.

BMJ. 2016 Jun 8;353:i2793. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i2793.


The Family Life Course and Health: Partnership, Fertility Histories, and Later-Life Physical Health Trajectories in Australia.

O'Flaherty M, Baxter J, Haynes M, Turrell G.

Demography. 2016 Jun;53(3):777-804. doi: 10.1007/s13524-016-0478-6.


Erratum to "Exploring potential mortality reductions in 9 European countries by improving diet and lifestyle: A modelling approach" [Int. J. Cardiol. 207 (2016) 286-291].

O'Flaherty M, Bandosz P, Critchley J, Capewell S, Guzman-Castillo M, Aspelund T, Bennett K, Kabir Z, Björck L, Bruthans J, Hotchkiss JW, Hughes J, Laatikainen T, Palmieri L, Zdrojewski T; Euroheart II Steering Group.

Int J Cardiol. 2016 Jul 1;214:536. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2016.04.121. Epub 2016 Apr 23. No abstract available.


Keeping Public Health Clean: Food Policy Barriers and Opportunities in the Era of the Industrial Epidemics.

O'Flaherty M, Guzman M.

AIMS Public Health. 2016 Apr 20;3(2):228-234. doi: 10.3934/publichealth.2016.2.228. eCollection 2016.

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