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Items: 1 to 50 of 158

1.

The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application.

Lauer SA, Grantz KH, Bi Q, Jones FK, Zheng Q, Meredith HR, Azman AS, Reich NG, Lessler J.

Ann Intern Med. 2020 Mar 10. doi: 10.7326/M20-0504. [Epub ahead of print]

2.

Migration, hotspots, and dispersal of HIV infection in Rakai, Uganda.

Kate Grabowski M, Lessler J, Bazaale J, Nabukalu D, Nankinga J, Nantume B, Ssekasanvu J, Reynolds SJ, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Santelli JS, Kennedy C, Wawer MJ, Serwadda D, Chang LW, Gray RH.

Nat Commun. 2020 Feb 20;11(1):976. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-14636-y.

3.

Quantifying HIV transmission flow between high-prevalence hotspots and surrounding communities: a population-based study in Rakai, Uganda.

Ratmann O, Kagaayi J, Hall M, Golubchick T, Kigozi G, Xi X, Wymant C, Nakigozi G, Abeler-Dörner L, Bonsall D, Gall A, Hoppe A, Kellam P, Bazaale J, Kalibbala S, Laeyendecker O, Lessler J, Nalugoda F, Chang LW, de Oliveira T, Pillay D, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Spencer SEF, Ssekubugu R, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ, Gray RH, Fraser C, Grabowski MK; Rakai Health Sciences Program and the Pangea HIV Consortium.

Lancet HIV. 2020 Mar;7(3):e173-e183. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(19)30378-9. Epub 2020 Jan 14. Erratum in: Lancet HIV. 2020 Feb 6;:.

4.

Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission.

Borchering RK, Huang AT, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Rojas DP, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Martinez SD, King GD, Cinkovich SC, Lessler J, Cummings DAT.

Nat Commun. 2019 Dec 16;10(1):5730. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-13628-x.

5.

Performance and Priorities: A Cross-sectional Study of Local Health Department Approaches to Essential Public Health Services.

Wallace M, Sharfstein J, Lessler J.

Public Health Rep. 2020 Jan;135(1):97-106. doi: 10.1177/0033354919890862.

PMID:
31835008
6.

The projected impact of geographic targeting of oral cholera vaccination in sub-Saharan Africa: A modeling study.

Lee EC, Azman AS, Kaminsky J, Moore SM, McKay HS, Lessler J.

PLoS Med. 2019 Dec 11;16(12):e1003003. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003003. eCollection 2019 Dec.

7.

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.

Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 26;116(48):24268-24274. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1909865116. Epub 2019 Nov 11. Erratum in: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Dec 17;116(51):26087-26088.

8.

The Many Faces of Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Disease.

Lessler J, Orenstein WA.

Epidemiol Rev. 2019 Nov 4. pii: mxz011. doi: 10.1093/epirev/mxz011. [Epub ahead of print]

PMID:
31680167
9.

Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks.

Thompson RN, Stockwin JE, van Gaalen RD, Polonsky JA, Kamvar ZN, Demarsh PA, Dahlqwist E, Li S, Miguel E, Jombart T, Lessler J, Cauchemez S, Cori A.

Epidemics. 2019 Dec;29:100356. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100356. Epub 2019 Aug 26.

10.

What is Machine Learning? A Primer for the Epidemiologist.

Bi Q, Goodman KE, Kaminsky J, Lessler J.

Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Dec 31;188(12):2222-2239. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwz189.

PMID:
31509183
11.

The use of GPS data loggers to describe the impact of spatio-temporal movement patterns on malaria control in a high-transmission area of northern Zambia.

Hast M, Searle KM, Chaponda M, Lupiya J, Lubinda J, Sikalima J, Kobayashi T, Shields T, Mulenga M, Lessler J, Moss WJ; Southern and Central Africa International Centers of Excellence for Malaria Research.

Int J Health Geogr. 2019 Aug 19;18(1):19. doi: 10.1186/s12942-019-0183-y.

12.

Clinical and Epidemiological Aspects of Diphtheria:A Systematic Review and Pooled Analysis.

Truelove SA, Keegan LT, Moss WJ, Chaisson LH, Macher E, Azman AS, Lessler J.

Clin Infect Dis. 2019 Aug 19. pii: ciz808. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciz808. [Epub ahead of print]

PMID:
31425581
13.

Surveillance and the global fight against cholera: Setting priorities and tracking progress.

Azman AS, Moore SM, Lessler J.

Vaccine. 2020 Feb 29;38 Suppl 1:A28-A30. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.037. Epub 2019 Jun 29. No abstract available.

14.

Cholera prevention and control in refugee settings: Successes and continued challenges.

Shannon K, Hast M, Azman AS, Legros D, McKay H, Lessler J.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2019 Jun 20;13(6):e0007347. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007347. eCollection 2019 Jun. Review. No abstract available.

15.

Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations.

Kaminsky J, Keegan LT, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180279. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0279.

PMID:
31104612
16.

Risk Factors for Household Vector Abundance Using Indoor CDC Light Traps in a High Malaria Transmission Area of Northern Zambia.

Hast MA, Stevenson JC, Muleba M, Chaponda M, Kabuya JB, Mulenga M, Lessler J, Shields T, Moss WJ, Norris DE, For The Southern And Central Africa International Centers Of Excellence In Malaria Research.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2019 Jul;101(1):126-136. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.18-0875.

PMID:
31074411
17.

Measles and the canonical path to elimination.

Graham M, Winter AK, Ferrari M, Grenfell B, Moss WJ, Azman AS, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J.

Science. 2019 May 10;364(6440):584-587. doi: 10.1126/science.aau6299.

PMID:
31073065
18.

The Impact of 3 Years of Targeted Indoor Residual Spraying With Pirimiphos-Methyl on Malaria Parasite Prevalence in a High-Transmission Area of Northern Zambia.

Hast MA, Chaponda M, Muleba M, Kabuya JB, Lupiya J, Kobayashi T, Shields T, Lessler J, Mulenga M, Stevenson JC, Norris DE, Moss WJ.

Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Dec 31;188(12):2120-2130. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwz107.

PMID:
31062839
19.

Mapping vaccination coverage to explore the effects of delivery mechanisms and inform vaccination strategies.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J, Cutts FT, Tatem AJ.

Nat Commun. 2019 Apr 9;10(1):1633. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09611-1.

20.

A methodological comparison of risk scores versus decision trees for predicting drug-resistant infections: A case study using extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL) bacteremia.

Goodman KE, Lessler J, Harris AD, Milstone AM, Tamma PD.

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2019 Apr;40(4):400-407. doi: 10.1017/ice.2019.17. Epub 2019 Mar 4.

PMID:
30827286
21.

Estimating cholera incidence with cross-sectional serology.

Azman AS, Lessler J, Luquero FJ, Bhuiyan TR, Khan AI, Chowdhury F, Kabir A, Gurwith M, Weil AA, Harris JB, Calderwood SB, Ryan ET, Qadri F, Leung DT.

Sci Transl Med. 2019 Feb 20;11(480). pii: eaau6242. doi: 10.1126/scitranslmed.aau6242.

22.

Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate.

Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Jan 22;15(1):e1006600. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600. eCollection 2019 Jan.

23.
24.

Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination.

Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J.

Vaccine. 2019 Jan 29;37(5):732-741. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.12.012. Epub 2018 Dec 19.

25.

The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward.

Viboud C, Lessler J.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2493-2497. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy207.

26.

The Epidemiology of Cholera in Zanzibar: Implications for the Zanzibar Comprehensive Cholera Elimination Plan.

Bi Q, Abdalla FM, Masauni S, Reyburn R, Msambazi M, Deglise C, von Seidlein L, Deen J, Jiddawi MS, Olson D, Nemes I, Taib JA, Lessler J, Andemichael GR, Azman AS.

J Infect Dis. 2018 Oct 15;218(suppl_3):S173-S180. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiy500.

27.

A spatial regression model for the disaggregation of areal unit based data to high-resolution grids with application to vaccination coverage mapping.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Nilsen K, Takahashi S, Metcalf C, Lessler J, Tatem AJ.

Stat Methods Med Res. 2019 Oct-Nov;28(10-11):3226-3241. doi: 10.1177/0962280218797362. Epub 2018 Sep 19.

28.

Contact tracing performance during the Ebola epidemic in Liberia, 2014-2015.

Swanson KC, Altare C, Wesseh CS, Nyenswah T, Ahmed T, Eyal N, Hamblion EL, Lessler J, Peters DH, Altmann M.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018 Sep 12;12(9):e0006762. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006762. eCollection 2018 Sep.

29.

Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics.

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S.

PLoS Biol. 2018 Aug 20;16(8):e2004974. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2004974. eCollection 2018 Aug.

30.

Oral cholera vaccine in cholera prevention and control, Malawi.

M'bangombe M, Pezzoli L, Reeder B, Kabuluzi S, Msyamboza K, Masuku H, Ngwira B, Cavailler P, Grandesso F, Palomares A, Beck N, Shaffer A, MacDonald E, Senbete M, Lessler J, Moore SM, Azman AS.

Bull World Health Organ. 2018 Jun 1;96(6):428-435. doi: 10.2471/BLT.17.207175. Epub 2018 Apr 23.

31.

Revealing Measles Outbreak Risk With a Nested Immunoglobulin G Serosurvey in Madagascar.

Winter AK, Wesolowski AP, Mensah KJ, Ramamonjiharisoa MB, Randriamanantena AH, Razafindratsimandresy R, Cauchemez S, Lessler J, Ferrari MJ, Metcalf CJE, Héraud JM.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Oct 1;187(10):2219-2226. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy114.

32.

Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk.

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Lessler J, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Weg A, Ellison D, Macareo L, Yoon IK, Jarman R, Thomas S, Rothman AL, Endy T, Cauchemez S.

Nature. 2018 May;557(7707):719-723. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0157-4. Epub 2018 May 23.

33.

Micro-Hotspots of Risk in Urban Cholera Epidemics.

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Salje H, Mbaïbardoum NN, Adalbert N, Ali M, Bertuzzo E, Finger F, Toure B, Massing LA, Ramazani R, Saga B, Allan M, Olson D, Leglise J, Porten K, Lessler J.

J Infect Dis. 2018 Aug 24;218(7):1164-1168. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiy283.

34.

Benefits and Challenges in Using Seroprevalence Data to Inform Models for Measles and Rubella Elimination.

Winter AK, Martinez ME, Cutts FT, Moss WJ, Ferrari MJ, McKee A, Lessler J, Hayford K, Wallinga J, Metcalf CJE.

J Infect Dis. 2018 Jul 2;218(3):355-364. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiy137. Erratum in: J Infect Dis. 2018 Aug 14;218(6):1014.

35.

Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea.

Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2018 May;98(5):1489-1497. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.17-0218. Epub 2018 Mar 8.

36.

Mapping the burden of cholera in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for control: an analysis of data across geographical scales.

Lessler J, Moore SM, Luquero FJ, McKay HS, Grais R, Henkens M, Mengel M, Dunoyer J, M'bangombe M, Lee EC, Djingarey MH, Sudre B, Bompangue D, Fraser RSM, Abubakar A, Perea W, Legros D, Azman AS.

Lancet. 2018 May 12;391(10133):1908-1915. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33050-7. Epub 2018 Mar 1.

37.

The potential impact of case-area targeted interventions in response to cholera outbreaks: A modeling study.

Finger F, Bertuzzo E, Luquero FJ, Naibei N, Touré B, Allan M, Porten K, Lessler J, Rinaldo A, Azman AS.

PLoS Med. 2018 Feb 27;15(2):e1002509. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002509. eCollection 2018 Feb.

38.

Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014.

Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Mar 6;115(10):E2175-E2182. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1714457115. Epub 2018 Feb 20.

39.

High resolution age-structured mapping of childhood vaccination coverage in low and middle income countries.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J, Tatem AJ.

Vaccine. 2018 Mar 14;36(12):1583-1591. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.02.020. Epub 2018 Feb 14.

40.

Quantifying the Risk and Cost of Active Monitoring for Infectious Diseases.

Reich NG, Lessler J, Varma JK, Vora NM.

Sci Rep. 2018 Jan 18;8(1):1093. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-19406-x.

41.

Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases.

Halloran ME, Auranen K, Baird S, Basta NE, Bellan SE, Brookmeyer R, Cooper BS, DeGruttola V, Hughes JP, Lessler J, Lofgren ET, Longini IM, Onnela JP, Özler B, Seage GR, Smith TA, Vespignani A, Vynnycky E, Lipsitch M.

BMC Med. 2017 Dec 29;15(1):223. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0985-3.

42.

Quantifying Zika: Advancing the Epidemiology of Zika With Quantitative Models.

Keegan LT, Lessler J, Johansson MA.

J Infect Dis. 2017 Dec 16;216(suppl_10):S884-S890. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jix437. Review.

43.

Rubella vaccination in India: identifying broad consequences of vaccine introduction and key knowledge gaps.

Winter AK, Pramanik S, Lessler J, Ferrari M, Grenfell BT, Metcalf CJE.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Jan;146(1):65-77. doi: 10.1017/S0950268817002527. Epub 2017 Dec 4.

44.

HIV Prevention Efforts and Incidence of HIV in Uganda.

Grabowski MK, Serwadda DM, Gray RH, Nakigozi G, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Lessler J, Lutalo T, Galiwango RM, Makumbi F, Kong X, Kabatesi D, Alamo ST, Wiersma S, Sewankambo NK, Tobian AAR, Laeyendecker O, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Chang LW; Rakai Health Sciences Program.

N Engl J Med. 2017 Nov 30;377(22):2154-2166. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1702150.

45.

Protection against cholera from killed whole-cell oral cholera vaccines: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Bi Q, Ferreras E, Pezzoli L, Legros D, Ivers LC, Date K, Qadri F, Digilio L, Sack DA, Ali M, Lessler J, Luquero FJ, Azman AS; Oral Cholera Vaccine Working Group of The Global Task Force on Cholera Control.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Oct;17(10):1080-1088. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30359-6. Epub 2017 Jul 17. Review.

46.

What is a Hotspot Anyway?

Lessler J, Azman AS, McKay HS, Moore SM.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Jun;96(6):1270-1273. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0427.

47.

High Hepatitis E Seroprevalence Among Displaced Persons in South Sudan.

Azman AS, Bouhenia M, Iyer AS, Rumunu J, Laku RL, Wamala JF, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Gignoux E, Luquero FJ, Leung DT, Gurley ES, Ciglenecki I.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Jun;96(6):1296-1301. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0620.

48.

Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases.

Metcalf CJE, Lessler J.

Science. 2017 Jul 14;357(6347):149-152. doi: 10.1126/science.aam8335. Review.

49.

Bacterial Infections in Neonates Following Mupirocin-Based MRSA Decolonization: A Multicenter Cohort Study.

Pierce R, Bryant K, Elward A, Lessler J, Milstone AM.

Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2017 Aug;38(8):930-936. doi: 10.1017/ice.2017.108. Epub 2017 Jun 5.

50.

The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region.

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J.

Nat Commun. 2017 May 25;8:15585. doi: 10.1038/ncomms15585.

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