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Items: 1 to 50 of 112


Applying optimal control theory to complex epidemiological models to inform real-world disease management.

Bussell EH, Dangerfield CE, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180284. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0284.


Pathogenic modification of plants enhances long-distance dispersal of nonpersistently transmitted viruses to new hosts.

Donnelly R, Cunniffe NJ, Carr JP, Gilligan CA.

Ecology. 2019 Jul;100(7):e02725. doi: 10.1002/ecy.2725. Epub 2019 May 21.


Resource Allocation for Epidemic Control Across Multiple Sub-populations.

Dangerfield CE, Vyska M, Gilligan CA.

Bull Math Biol. 2019 Jun;81(6):1731-1759. doi: 10.1007/s11538-019-00584-2. Epub 2019 Feb 26.


Variability in commercial demand for tree saplings affects the probability of introducing exotic forest diseases.

Alonso Chavez V, Gilligan CA, van den Bosch F.

J Appl Ecol. 2019 Jan;56(1):180-189. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.13242. Epub 2018 Aug 14.


Viral Manipulation of Plant Stress Responses and Host Interactions With Insects.

Carr JP, Donnelly R, Tungadi T, Murphy AM, Jiang S, Bravo-Cazar A, Yoon JY, Cunniffe NJ, Glover BJ, Gilligan CA.

Adv Virus Res. 2018;102:177-197. doi: 10.1016/bs.aivir.2018.06.004. Epub 2018 Jul 25. Review.


Microsatellite Analysis and Urediniospore Dispersal Simulations Support the Movement of Puccinia graminis f. sp. tritici from Southern Africa to Australia.

Visser B, Meyer M, Park RF, Gilligan CA, Burgin LE, Hort MC, Hodson DP, Pretorius ZA.

Phytopathology. 2019 Jan;109(1):133-144. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-04-18-0110-R. Epub 2018 Dec 3.


Control fast or control smart: When should invading pathogens be controlled?

Thompson RN, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Feb 16;14(2):e1006014. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006014. eCollection 2018 Feb.


Considering behaviour to ensure the success of a disease control strategy.

McQuaid CF, Gilligan CA, van den Bosch F.

R Soc Open Sci. 2017 Dec 6;4(12):170721. doi: 10.1098/rsos.170721. eCollection 2017 Dec.


What a Difference a Stochastic Process Makes: Epidemiological-Based Real Options Models of Optimal Treatment of Disease.

Dangerfield CE, Whalley AE, Hanley N, Gilligan CA.

Environ Resour Econ (Dordr). 2018;70(3):691-711. doi: 10.1007/s10640-017-0168-x. Epub 2017 Jun 21.


Evidence-based controls for epidemics using spatio-temporal stochastic models in a Bayesian framework.

Adrakey HK, Streftaris G, Cunniffe NJ, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA, Gibson GJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2017 Nov;14(136). pii: 20170386. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2017.0386.


Quantifying airborne dispersal routes of pathogens over continents to safeguard global wheat supply.

Meyer M, Cox JA, Hitchings MDT, Burgin L, Hort MC, Hodson DP, Gilligan CA.

Nat Plants. 2017 Oct;3(10):780-786. doi: 10.1038/s41477-017-0017-5. Epub 2017 Sep 25.


Large-Scale Atmospheric Dispersal Simulations Identify Likely Airborne Incursion Routes of Wheat Stem Rust Into Ethiopia.

Meyer M, Burgin L, Hort MC, Hodson DP, Gilligan CA.

Phytopathology. 2017 Oct;107(10):1175-1186. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-01-17-0035-FI. Epub 2017 Aug 4.


Spatial dynamics and control of a crop pathogen with mixed-mode transmission.

McQuaid CF, van den Bosch F, Szyniszewska A, Alicai T, Pariyo A, Chikoti PC, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2017 Jul 26;13(7):e1005654. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005654. eCollection 2017 Jul.


Surveillance to Inform Control of Emerging Plant Diseases: An Epidemiological Perspective.

Parnell S, van den Bosch F, Gottwald T, Gilligan CA.

Annu Rev Phytopathol. 2017 Aug 4;55:591-610. doi: 10.1146/annurev-phyto-080516-035334. Epub 2017 Jun 21. Review.


Risk-based management of invading plant disease.

Hyatt-Twynam SR, Parnell S, Stutt RO, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ.

New Phytol. 2017 May;214(3):1317-1329. doi: 10.1111/nph.14488. Epub 2017 Mar 28.


Mathematical models are a powerful method to understand and control the spread of Huanglongbing.

Taylor RA, Mordecai EA, Gilligan CA, Rohr JR, Johnson LR.

PeerJ. 2016 Nov 3;4:e2642. eCollection 2016.


Modeling when, where, and how to manage a forest epidemic, motivated by sudden oak death in California.

Cunniffe NJ, Cobb RC, Meentemeyer RK, Rizzo DM, Gilligan CA.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 May 17;113(20):5640-5. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1602153113. Epub 2016 May 2.


Detecting Presymptomatic Infection Is Necessary to Forecast Major Epidemics in the Earliest Stages of Infectious Disease Outbreaks.

Thompson RN, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2016 Apr 5;12(4):e1004836. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004836. eCollection 2016 Apr.


Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries.

Thompson RN, Cobb RC, Gilligan CA, Cunniffe NJ.

Ecol Modell. 2016 Mar 24;324:28-32.


Market analyses of livestock trade networks to inform the prevention of joint economic and epidemiological risks.

Moslonka-Lefebvre M, Gilligan CA, Monod H, Belloc C, Ezanno P, Filipe JA, Vergu E.

J R Soc Interface. 2016 Mar;13(116). pii: 20151099. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.1099.


Optimising and communicating options for the control of invasive plant disease when there is epidemiological uncertainty.

Cunniffe NJ, Stutt RO, DeSimone RE, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2015 Apr 13;11(4):e1004211. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004211. eCollection 2015 Apr.


Thirteen challenges in modelling plant diseases.

Cunniffe NJ, Koskella B, Metcalf CJ, Parnell S, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA.

Epidemics. 2015 Mar;10:6-10. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.06.002. Epub 2014 Jul 1.


Phenotypic and Genotypic Characterization of Race TKTTF of Puccinia graminis f. sp. tritici that Caused a Wheat Stem Rust Epidemic in Southern Ethiopia in 2013-14.

Olivera P, Newcomb M, Szabo LJ, Rouse M, Johnson J, Gale S, Luster DG, Hodson D, Cox JA, Burgin L, Hort M, Gilligan CA, Patpour M, Justesen AF, Hovmøller MS, Woldeab G, Hailu E, Hundie B, Tadesse K, Pumphrey M, Singh RP, Jin Y.

Phytopathology. 2015 Jul;105(7):917-28. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-11-14-0302-FI. Epub 2015 Jul 1.


Epidemics in markets with trade friction and imperfect transactions.

Moslonka-Lefebvre M, Monod H, Gilligan CA, Vergu E, Filipe JA.

J Theor Biol. 2015 Jun 7;374:165-78. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.02.025. Epub 2015 Mar 5.


Cost-effective control of plant disease when epidemiological knowledge is incomplete: modelling Bahia bark scaling of citrus.

Cunniffe NJ, Laranjeira FF, Neri FM, DeSimone RE, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2014 Aug 7;10(8):e1003753. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003753. eCollection 2014 Aug.


Bayesian analysis for inference of an emerging epidemic: citrus canker in urban landscapes.

Neri FM, Cook AR, Gibson GJ, Gottwald TR, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2014 Apr 24;10(4):e1003587. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003587. eCollection 2014 Apr.


Bayesian inference for an emerging arboreal epidemic in the presence of control.

Parry M, Gibson GJ, Parnell S, Gottwald TR, Irey MS, Gast TC, Gilligan CA.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Apr 29;111(17):6258-62. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1310997111. Epub 2014 Apr 7.


Quantitative resistance can lead to evolutionary changes in traits not targeted by the resistance QTLs.

Van den Berg F, Lannou C, Gilligan CA, van de Bosch F.

Evol Appl. 2014 Mar;7(3):370-80. doi: 10.1111/eva.12130. Epub 2014 Jan 2.


Estimating the delay between host infection and disease (incubation period) and assessing its significance to the epidemiology of plant diseases.

Leclerc M, Doré T, Gilligan CA, Lucas P, Filipe JA.

PLoS One. 2014 Jan 22;9(1):e86568. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086568. eCollection 2014.


Urban forests on the front line--response.

Boyd IL, Freer-Smith PH, Gilligan CA, Godfray HC.

Science. 2014 Jan 17;343(6168):249. doi: 10.1126/science.343.6168.249-b. No abstract available.


Interference with jasmonic acid-regulated gene expression is a general property of viral suppressors of RNA silencing but only partly explains virus-induced changes in plant-aphid interactions.

Westwood JH, Lewsey MG, Murphy AM, Tungadi T, Bates A, Gilligan CA, Carr JP.

J Gen Virol. 2014 Mar;95(Pt 3):733-9. doi: 10.1099/vir.0.060624-0. Epub 2013 Dec 20.


The consequence of tree pests and diseases for ecosystem services.

Boyd IL, Freer-Smith PH, Gilligan CA, Godfray HC.

Science. 2013 Nov 15;342(6160):1235773. doi: 10.1126/science.1235773. Review.


Optimal control of disease infestations on a lattice.

Ndeffo Mbah ML, Gilligan CA.

Math Med Biol. 2014 Mar;31(1):87-97. doi: 10.1093/imammb/dqt012. Epub 2013 Jul 18.


Percolation-based risk index for pathogen invasion: application to soilborne disease in propagation systems.

Poggi S, Neri FM, Deytieux V, Bates A, Otten W, Gilligan CA, Bailey DJ.

Phytopathology. 2013 Oct;103(10):1012-9. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-02-13-0033-R.


Host growth can cause invasive spread of crops by soilborne pathogens.

Leclerc M, Doré T, Gilligan CA, Lucas P, Filipe JA.

PLoS One. 2013 May 8;8(5):e63003. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0063003. Print 2013.


Durable resistance to crop pathogens: an epidemiological framework to predict risk under uncertainty.

Lo Iacono G, van den Bosch F, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2013;9(1):e1002870. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002870. Epub 2013 Jan 17.


Prominent effect of soil network heterogeneity on microbial invasion.

Pérez-Reche FJ, Taraskin SN, Otten W, Viana MP, Costa Lda F, Gilligan CA.

Phys Rev Lett. 2012 Aug 31;109(9):098102. Epub 2012 Aug 29.


An epidemiological framework for modelling fungicide dynamics and control.

Castle MD, Gilligan CA.

PLoS One. 2012;7(8):e40941. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0040941. Epub 2012 Aug 10.


Prediction of invasion from the early stage of an epidemic.

Pérez-Reche FJ, Neri FM, Taraskin SN, Gilligan CA.

J R Soc Interface. 2012 Sep 7;9(74):2085-96. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2012.0130. Epub 2012 Apr 18.


Landscape epidemiology and control of pathogens with cryptic and long-distance dispersal: sudden oak death in northern Californian forests.

Filipe JA, Cobb RC, Meentemeyer RK, Lee CA, Valachovic YS, Cook AR, Rizzo DM, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2012 Jan;8(1):e1002328. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002328. Epub 2012 Jan 5.


Time-dependent infectivity and flexible latent and infectious periods in compartmental models of plant disease.

Cunniffe NJ, Stutt RO, van den Bosch F, Gilligan CA.

Phytopathology. 2012 Apr;102(4):365-80. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-12-10-0338.


Applications of percolation theory to fungal spread with synergy.

Ludlam JJ, Gibson GJ, Otten W, Gilligan CA.

J R Soc Interface. 2012 May 7;9(70):949-56. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0506. Epub 2011 Nov 2.


The effect of heterogeneity on invasion in spatial epidemics: from theory to experimental evidence in a model system.

Neri FM, Bates A, Füchtbauer WS, Pérez-Reche FJ, Taraskin SN, Otten W, Bailey DJ, Gilligan CA.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2011 Sep;7(9):e1002174. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002174. Epub 2011 Sep 29.


Resource allocation for epidemic control in metapopulations.

Ndeffo Mbah ML, Gilligan CA.

PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e24577. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024577. Epub 2011 Sep 13.


Synergy in spreading processes: from exploitative to explorative foraging strategies.

Pérez-Reche FJ, Ludlam JJ, Taraskin SN, Gilligan CA.

Phys Rev Lett. 2011 May 27;106(21):218701. Epub 2011 May 24.


Searching for the most cost-effective strategy for controlling epidemics spreading on regular and small-world networks.

Kleczkowski A, Oleś K, Gudowska-Nowak E, Gilligan CA.

J R Soc Interface. 2012 Jan 7;9(66):158-69. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0216. Epub 2011 Jun 8.


Spatial sampling to detect an invasive pathogen outside of an eradication zone.

Demon I, Cunniffe NJ, Marchant BP, Gilligan CA, van den Bosch F.

Phytopathology. 2011 Jun;101(6):725-31. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-05-09-0120.


A theoretical framework for biological control of soil-borne plant pathogens: Identifying effective strategies.

Cunniffe NJ, Gilligan CA.

J Theor Biol. 2011 Jun 7;278(1):32-43. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.02.023. Epub 2011 Mar 5.


Predicting the economic costs and property value losses attributed to sudden oak death damage in California (2010-2020).

Kovacs K, Václavík T, Haight RG, Pang A, Cunniffe NJ, Gilligan CA, Meentemeyer RK.

J Environ Manage. 2011 Apr;92(4):1292-302. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2010.12.018. Epub 2011 Jan 9.


Periodicity in host availability does not account for evolutionary branching as observed in many plant pathogens: an application to Gaeumannomyces graminis var. tritici.

van den Berg F, Gilligan CA, Bailey DJ, van den Bosch F.

Phytopathology. 2010 Nov;100(11):1169-75. doi: 10.1094/PHYTO-10-09-0282.

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