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Items: 1 to 50 of 70

1.

Estimation and prediction for a mechanistic model of measles transmission using particle filtering and maximum likelihood estimation.

Eilertson KE, Fricks J, Ferrari MJ.

Stat Med. 2019 Sep 20;38(21):4146-4158. doi: 10.1002/sim.8290. Epub 2019 Jul 9.

2.

Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control: Ebola as a case study.

Li SL, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Pannell D, Shea K.

Proc Biol Sci. 2019 Jun 26;286(1905):20190774. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2019.0774. Epub 2019 Jun 19.

3.

Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies.

Probert WJM, Lakkur S, Fonnesbeck CJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180277. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0277.

4.

The statistics of epidemic transitions.

Drake JM, Brett TS, Chen S, Epureanu BI, Ferrari MJ, Marty É, Miller PB, O'Dea EB, O'Regan SM, Park AW, Rohani P.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 May 8;15(5):e1006917. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006917. eCollection 2019 May.

5.

Mapping vaccination coverage to explore the effects of delivery mechanisms and inform vaccination strategies.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J, Cutts FT, Tatem AJ.

Nat Commun. 2019 Apr 9;10(1):1633. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-09611-1.

6.

Manipulation of Aphid Behavior by a Persistent Plant Virus.

Safari M, Ferrari MJ, Roossinck MJ.

J Virol. 2019 Apr 17;93(9). pii: e01781-18. doi: 10.1128/JVI.01781-18. Print 2019 May 1.

7.

Corrigendum: Zucchini Yellow Mosaic Virus Infection Limits Establishment and Severity of Powdery Mildew in Wild Populations of Cucurbita pepo.

Harth JE, Ferrari MJ, Helms AM, Tooker JF, Stephenson AG.

Front Plant Sci. 2018 Dec 10;9:1815. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2018.01815. eCollection 2018.

8.

Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination.

Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J.

Vaccine. 2019 Jan 29;37(5):732-741. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.12.012. Epub 2018 Dec 19.

9.

A spatial regression model for the disaggregation of areal unit based data to high-resolution grids with application to vaccination coverage mapping.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Nilsen K, Takahashi S, Metcalf C, Lessler J, Tatem AJ.

Stat Methods Med Res. 2019 Oct-Nov;28(10-11):3226-3241. doi: 10.1177/0962280218797362. Epub 2018 Sep 19.

10.

Improving measles incidence inference using age-structured serological data.

Prada JM, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Oct;146(13):1699-1706. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002054. Epub 2018 Aug 6.

PMID:
30078387
11.

Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks.

Probert WJM, Jewell CP, Werkman M, Fonnesbeck CJ, Goto Y, Runge MC, Sekiguchi S, Shea K, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Jul 24;14(7):e1006202. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006202. eCollection 2018 Jul.

12.

Zucchini Yellow Mosaic Virus Infection Limits Establishment and Severity of Powdery Mildew in Wild Populations of Cucurbita pepo.

Harth JE, Ferrari MJ, Tooker JF, Stephenson AG.

Front Plant Sci. 2018 Jun 13;9:792. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2018.00792. eCollection 2018. Erratum in: Front Plant Sci. 2018 Dec 10;9:1815.

13.

Changes in parasite traits, rather than intensity, affect the dynamics of infection under external perturbation.

Ghosh S, Ferrari MJ, Pathak AK, Cattadori IM.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Jun 11;14(6):e1006167. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006167. eCollection 2018 Jun.

14.

Revealing Measles Outbreak Risk With a Nested Immunoglobulin G Serosurvey in Madagascar.

Winter AK, Wesolowski AP, Mensah KJ, Ramamonjiharisoa MB, Randriamanantena AH, Razafindratsimandresy R, Cauchemez S, Lessler J, Ferrari MJ, Metcalf CJE, Héraud JM.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Oct 1;187(10):2219-2226. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy114.

15.

Beyond dose: Pulsed antibiotic treatment schedules can maintain individual benefit while reducing resistance.

Baker CM, Ferrari MJ, Shea K.

Sci Rep. 2018 Apr 12;8(1):5866. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-24006-w.

16.

Measles outbreak response decision-making under uncertainty: a retrospective analysis.

Fonnesbeck CJ, Shea K, Carran S, Cassio de Moraes J, Gregory C, Goodson JL, Ferrari MJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2018 Mar;15(140). pii: 20170575. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2017.0575.

17.

Benefits and Challenges in Using Seroprevalence Data to Inform Models for Measles and Rubella Elimination.

Winter AK, Martinez ME, Cutts FT, Moss WJ, Ferrari MJ, McKee A, Lessler J, Hayford K, Wallinga J, Metcalf CJE.

J Infect Dis. 2018 Jul 2;218(3):355-364. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiy137. Erratum in: J Infect Dis. 2018 Aug 14;218(6):1014.

18.

Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea.

Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2018 May;98(5):1489-1497. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.17-0218. Epub 2018 Mar 8.

19.

Correlation between measles vaccine doses: implications for the maintenance of elimination.

McKee A, Ferrari MJ, Shea K.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Mar;146(4):468-475. doi: 10.1017/S0950268817003077. Epub 2018 Feb 21.

20.

High resolution age-structured mapping of childhood vaccination coverage in low and middle income countries.

Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J, Tatem AJ.

Vaccine. 2018 Mar 14;36(12):1583-1591. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.02.020. Epub 2018 Feb 14.

21.

Species interactions may help explain the erratic periodicity of whooping cough dynamics.

Bhattacharyya S, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON.

Epidemics. 2018 Jun;23:64-70. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.12.005. Epub 2017 Dec 14.

22.

Evidence of cryptic incidence in childhood diseases.

Gunning CE, Ferrari MJ, Erhardt EB, Wearing HJ.

Proc Biol Sci. 2017 Aug 30;284(1861). pii: 20171268. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2017.1268.

23.

The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region.

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J.

Nat Commun. 2017 May 25;8:15585. doi: 10.1038/ncomms15585.

24.

Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks.

Li SL, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Mummah R, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Probert WJM, Shea K.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 May 30;114(22):5659-5664. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1617482114. Epub 2017 May 15.

25.

Demographic transition and the dynamics of measles in six provinces in China: A modeling study.

Li S, Ma C, Hao L, Su Q, An Z, Ma F, Xie S, Xu A, Zhang Y, Ding Z, Li H, Cairns L, Wang H, Luo H, Wang N, Li L, Ferrari MJ.

PLoS Med. 2017 Apr 4;14(4):e1002255. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002255. eCollection 2017 Apr.

26.

Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns.

Bradbury NV, Probert WJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2017 Feb 16;13(2):e1005318. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005318. eCollection 2017 Feb.

27.

Optimal vaccine schedules to maintain measles elimination with a two-dose routine policy.

McKEE A, Shea K, Ferrari MJ.

Epidemiol Infect. 2017 Jan;145(2):227-235. Epub 2016 Oct 20.

28.

Measuring populations to improve vaccination coverage.

Bharti N, Djibo A, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Ferrari MJ.

Sci Rep. 2016 Oct 5;5:34541. doi: 10.1038/srep34541.

29.

Age-specific mixing generates transient outbreak risk following critical-level vaccination.

Bhattacharyya S, Ferrari MJ.

Epidemiol Infect. 2017 Jan;145(1):12-22. Epub 2016 Sep 28.

PMID:
27678150
30.

Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter.

Probert WJ, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Runge MC, Carpenter TE, Dürr S, Garner MG, Harvey N, Stevenson MA, Webb CT, Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ.

Epidemics. 2016 Jun;15:10-9. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.11.002. Epub 2015 Dec 10.

31.

Effects of virus infection on pollen production and pollen performance: Implications for the spread of resistance alleles.

Harth JE, Winsor JA, Weakland DR, Nowak KJ, Ferrari MJ, Stephenson AG.

Am J Bot. 2016 Mar;103(3):577-83. doi: 10.3732/ajb.1500165. Epub 2016 Feb 23.

32.

Transgenic Virus Resistance in Crop-Wild Cucurbita pepo Does Not Prevent Vertical Transmission of Zucchini yellow mosaic virus.

Simmons HE, Prendeville HR, Dunham JP, Ferrari MJ, Earnest JD, Pilson D, Munkvold GP, Holmes EC, Stephenson AG.

Plant Dis. 2015 Nov;99(11):1616-1621. doi: 10.1094/PDIS-10-14-1062-RE. Epub 2015 Sep 25.

PMID:
30695961
33.

The effects of maternal immunity and age structure on population immunity to measles.

McKee A, Ferrari MJ, Shea K.

Theor Ecol. 2015 May;8(2):261-271.

34.

Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola.

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J.

Science. 2015 Mar 13;347(6227):1240-2. doi: 10.1126/science.aaa3438.

35.

Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia.

Drake JM, Kaul RB, Alexander LW, O'Regan SM, Kramer AM, Pulliam JT, Ferrari MJ, Park AW.

PLoS Biol. 2015 Jan 13;13(1):e1002056. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1002056. eCollection 2015 Jan.

36.

Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response.

Lofgren ET, Halloran ME, Rivers CM, Drake JM, Porco TC, Lewis B, Yang W, Vespignani A, Shaman J, Eisenberg JN, Eisenberg MC, Marathe M, Scarpino SV, Alexander KA, Meza R, Ferrari MJ, Hyman JM, Meyers LA, Eubank S.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Dec 23;111(51):18095-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1421551111. Epub 2014 Dec 10. No abstract available.

37.

Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology.

Shea K, Tildesley MJ, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Ferrari MJ.

PLoS Biol. 2014 Oct 21;12(10):e1001970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1001970. eCollection 2014 Oct.

38.

Time is (still) of the essence: quantifying the impact of emergency meningitis vaccination response in Katsina State, Nigeria.

Ferrari MJ, Fermon F, Nackers F, Llosa A, Magone C, Grais RF.

Int Health. 2014 Dec;6(4):282-90. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihu062. Epub 2014 Sep 5.

39.

Think globally, act locally: the role of local demographics and vaccination coverage in the dynamic response of measles infection to control.

Ferrari MJ, Grenfell BT, Strebel PM.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2013 Jun 24;368(1623):20120141. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0141. Print 2013 Aug 5.

40.

Explaining seasonal fluctuations of measles in Niger using nighttime lights imagery.

Bharti N, Tatem AJ, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT.

Science. 2011 Dec 9;334(6061):1424-7. doi: 10.1126/science.1210554.

41.

Bridging taxonomic and disciplinary divides in infectious disease.

Borer ET, Antonovics J, Kinkel LL, Hudson PJ, Daszak P, Ferrari MJ, Garrett KA, Parrish CR, Read AF, Rizzo DM.

Ecohealth. 2011 Sep;8(3):261-7. doi: 10.1007/s10393-011-0718-6. Epub 2011 Nov 16.

42.

Spatial dynamics of meningococcal meningitis in Niger: observed patterns in comparison with measles.

Bharti N, Broutin H, Grais RF, Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT.

Epidemiol Infect. 2012 Aug;140(8):1356-65. doi: 10.1017/S0950268811002032. Epub 2011 Oct 5.

43.

Pathogens, social networks, and the paradox of transmission scaling.

Ferrari MJ, Perkins SE, Pomeroy LW, Bjørnstad ON.

Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis. 2011;2011:267049. doi: 10.1155/2011/267049. Epub 2011 Mar 9.

44.

Pollinator Behavior Mediates Negative Interactions between Two Congeneric Invasive Plant Species.

Yang S, Ferrari MJ, Shea K.

Am Nat. 2011 Jan;177(1):110-8. doi: 10.1086/657433. Epub 2010 Nov 30.

PMID:
21117967
45.

The epidemiology of rubella in Mexico: seasonality, stochasticity and regional variation.

Metcalf CJ, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Klepac P, Bharti N, Lopez-Gatell H, Grenfell BT.

Epidemiol Infect. 2011 Jul;139(7):1029-38. doi: 10.1017/S0950268810002165. Epub 2010 Sep 15.

46.

Rural-urban gradient in seasonal forcing of measles transmission in Niger.

Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Grais RF, Bharti N, Grenfell BT, Bjornstad ON.

Proc Biol Sci. 2010 Sep 22;277(1695):2775-82. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.0536. Epub 2010 Apr 28.

47.

Protocols for sampling viral sequences to study epidemic dynamics.

Stack JC, Welch JD, Ferrari MJ, Shapiro BU, Grenfell BT.

J R Soc Interface. 2010 Jul 6;7(48):1119-27. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2009.0530. Epub 2010 Feb 10.

48.

Measles hotspots and epidemiological connectivity.

Bharti N, Djibo A, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Tatem AJ, McCabe CA, Bjornstad ON, Grenfell BT.

Epidemiol Infect. 2010 Sep;138(9):1308-16. doi: 10.1017/S0950268809991385. Epub 2010 Jan 25.

49.

Indirect costs of a nontarget pathogen mitigate the direct benefits of a virus-resistant transgene in wild Cucurbita.

Sasu MA, Ferrari MJ, Du D, Winsor JA, Stephenson AG.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009 Nov 10;106(45):19067-71. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0905106106. Epub 2009 Oct 26.

50.

Episodic outbreaks bias estimates of age-specific force of infection: a corrected method using measles as an example.

Ferrari MJ, Djibo A, Grais RF, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON.

Epidemiol Infect. 2010 Jan;138(1):108-16. doi: 10.1017/S0950268809990173. Epub 2009 Jun 19.

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