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Predicting the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine programme options in Vietnam.

Le Polain De Waroux O, Edmunds WJ, Takahashi K, Ariyoshi K, Mulholland EK, Goldblatt D, Choi YH, Anh DD, Yoshida LM, Flasche S.

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2018 May 21:1-9. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2018.1467201. [Epub ahead of print]


Characteristics of human encounters and social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact: a survey in Southwest Uganda.

le Polain de Waroux O, Cohuet S, Ndazima D, Kucharski AJ, Juan-Giner A, Flasche S, Tumwesigye E, Arinaitwe R, Mwanga-Amumpaire J, Boum Y 2nd, Nackers F, Checchi F, Grais RF, Edmunds WJ.

BMC Infect Dis. 2018 Apr 11;18(1):172. doi: 10.1186/s12879-018-3073-1.


Questionable efficacy of the rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine - Authors' reply.

Longini IM, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM.

Lancet. 2018 Mar 17;391(10125):1021-1022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30559-2. Epub 2018 Mar 15. No abstract available.


The changing epidemiology of varicella and herpes zoster in Hong Kong before universal varicella vaccination in 2014.

Chan DYW, Edmunds WJ, Chan HL, Chan V, Lam YCK, Thomas SL, van Hoek AJ, Flasche S.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Apr;146(6):723-734. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818000444. Epub 2018 Mar 12.


Self-Swabbing for Virological Confirmation of Influenza-Like Illness Among an Internet-Based Cohort in the UK During the 2014-2015 Flu Season: Pilot Study.

Wenham C, Gray ER, Keane CE, Donati M, Paolotti D, Pebody R, Fragaszy E, McKendry RA, Edmunds WJ.

J Med Internet Res. 2018 Mar 1;20(3):e71. doi: 10.2196/jmir.9084.


Role of Environmental Factors in Shaping Spatial Distribution of Salmonella enterica Serovar Typhi, Fiji.

de Alwis R, Watson C, Nikolay B, Lowry JH, Thieu NTV, Van TT, Ngoc DTT, Rawalai K, Taufa M, Coriakula J, Lau CL, Nilles EJ, Edmunds WJ, Kama M, Baker S, Cano J.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2018 Feb;24(2):284-293. doi: 10.3201/eid2402.170704.


Effect of HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening in England by ethnicity: a modelling study.

Johnson HC, Lafferty EI, Eggo RM, Louie K, Soldan K, Waller J, Edmunds WJ.

Lancet Public Health. 2018 Jan;3(1):e44-e51. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30238-4. Epub 2017 Dec 19.


Social mixing in Fiji: Who-eats-with-whom contact patterns and the implications of age and ethnic heterogeneity for disease dynamics in the Pacific Islands.

Watson CH, Coriakula J, Ngoc DTT, Flasche S, Kucharski AJ, Lau CL, Thieu NTV, le Polain de Waroux O, Rawalai K, Van TT, Taufa M, Baker S, Nilles EJ, Kama M, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS One. 2017 Dec 6;12(12):e0186911. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0186911. eCollection 2017.


Estimating the opportunity costs of bed-days.

Sandmann FG, Robotham JV, Deeny SR, Edmunds WJ, Jit M.

Health Econ. 2018 Mar;27(3):592-605. doi: 10.1002/hec.3613. Epub 2017 Nov 6.


Ring vaccination with rVSV-ZEBOV under expanded access in response to an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Guinea, 2016: an operational and vaccine safety report.

Gsell PS, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Watson CH, Bagayoko A, Nadlaou SD, Dean NE, Diallo A, Diallo A, Honora DA, Doumbia M, Enwere G, Higgs ES, Mauget T, Mory D, Riveros X, Oumar FT, Fallah M, Toure A, Vicari AS, Longini IM, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM, Kieny MP, Kéïta S.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Dec;17(12):1276-1284. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30541-8. Epub 2017 Oct 9. Erratum in: Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Dec;17 (12 ):1232.


Effects of seasonal and pandemic influenza on health-related quality of life, work and school absence in England: Results from the Flu Watch cohort study.

Fragaszy EB, Warren-Gash C, White PJ, Zambon M, Edmunds WJ, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Hayward AC; Flu Watch Group.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2018 Jan;12(1):171-182. doi: 10.1111/irv.12506.


Spatial analysis of cluster randomised trials: a systematic review of analysis methods.

Jarvis C, Di Tanna GL, Lewis D, Alexander N, Edmunds WJ.

Emerg Themes Epidemiol. 2017 Sep 21;14:12. doi: 10.1186/s12982-017-0066-2. eCollection 2017. Review.


Influenzanet: Citizens Among 10 Countries Collaborating to Monitor Influenza in Europe.

Koppeschaar CE, Colizza V, Guerrisi C, Turbelin C, Duggan J, Edmunds WJ, Kjelsø C, Mexia R, Moreno Y, Meloni S, Paolotti D, Perrotta D, van Straten E, Franco AO.

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2017 Sep 19;3(3):e58. doi: 10.2196/publichealth.7429.


Participatory Syndromic Surveillance of Influenza in Europe.

Guerrisi C, Turbelin C, Blanchon T, Hanslik T, Bonmarin I, Levy-Bruhl D, Perrotta D, Paolotti D, Smallenburg R, Koppeschaar C, Franco AO, Mexia R, Edmunds WJ, Sile B, Pebody R, van Straten E, Meloni S, Moreno Y, Duggan J, Kjelsø C, Colizza V.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S386-S392. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw280. Review.


The public health value of vaccines beyond efficacy: methods, measures and outcomes.

Wilder-Smith A, Longini I, Zuber PL, Bärnighausen T, Edmunds WJ, Dean N, Spicher VM, Benissa MR, Gessner BD.

BMC Med. 2017 Jul 26;15(1):138. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0911-8.


Drivers for Rift Valley fever emergence in Mayotte: A Bayesian modelling approach.

Métras R, Fournié G, Dommergues L, Camacho A, Cavalerie L, Mérot P, Keeling MJ, Cêtre-Sossah C, Cardinale E, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Jul 21;11(7):e0005767. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005767. eCollection 2017 Jul.


A cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey of typhoid fever in Fiji.

Watson CH, Baker S, Lau CL, Rawalai K, Taufa M, Coriakula J, Thieu NTV, Van TT, Ngoc DTT, Hens N, Lowry JH, de Alwis R, Cano J, Jenkins K, Mulholland EK, Nilles EJ, Kama M, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Jul 20;11(7):e0005786. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005786. eCollection 2017 Jul.


Assessing the efficiency of catch-up campaigns for the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: a modelling study based on data from PCV10 introduction in Kilifi, Kenya.

Flasche S, Ojal J, Le Polain de Waroux O, Otiende M, O'Brien KL, Kiti M, Nokes DJ, Edmunds WJ, Scott JAG.

BMC Med. 2017 Jun 7;15(1):113. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0882-9.


Short-term changes in the health state of children with group B meningococcal disease: A prospective, national cohort study.

Kennedy ITR, van Hoek AJ, Ribeiro S, Christensen H, Edmunds WJ, Ramsay ME, Ladhani SN.

PLoS One. 2017 May 18;12(5):e0177082. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177082. eCollection 2017.


Evaluating the frequency of asymptomatic Ebola virus infection.

Mbala P, Baguelin M, Ngay I, Rosello A, Mulembakani P, Demiris N, Edmunds WJ, Muyembe JJ.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160303. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0303.


The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia.

Funk S, Ciglenecki I, Tiffany A, Gignoux E, Camacho A, Eggo RM, Kucharski AJ, Edmunds WJ, Bolongei J, Azuma P, Clement P, Alpha TS, Sterk E, Telfer B, Engel G, Parker LA, Suzuki M, Heijenberg N, Reeder B.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160302. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0302.


The 2013-2016 Ebola epidemic: multidisciplinary success conceals a missed opportunity.

Coltart CE, Edmunds WJ, Atkins KE.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160292. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0292. No abstract available.


Aedes aegypti Control Through Modernized, Integrated Vector Management.

Yakob L, Funk S, Camacho A, Brady O, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Curr. 2017 Jan 30;9. pii: ecurrents.outbreaks.45deb8e03a438c4d088afb4fafae8747. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.45deb8e03a438c4d088afb4fafae8747.


Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model.

Funk S, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:56-61. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.003. Epub 2016 Dec 16.


Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.

Camacho A, Eggo RM, Goeyvaerts N, Vandebosch A, Mogg R, Funk S, Kucharski AJ, Watson CH, Vangeneugden T, Edmunds WJ.

Vaccine. 2017 Jan 23;35(4):544-551. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.019. Epub 2016 Dec 23.


Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine in preventing Ebola virus disease: final results from the Guinea ring vaccination, open-label, cluster-randomised trial (Ebola Ça Suffit!).

Henao-Restrepo AM, Camacho A, Longini IM, Watson CH, Edmunds WJ, Egger M, Carroll MW, Dean NE, Diatta I, Doumbia M, Draguez B, Duraffour S, Enwere G, Grais R, Gunther S, Gsell PS, Hossmann S, Watle SV, Kondé MK, Kéïta S, Kone S, Kuisma E, Levine MM, Mandal S, Mauget T, Norheim G, Riveros X, Soumah A, Trelle S, Vicari AS, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP.

Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):505-518. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32621-6. Epub 2016 Dec 23. Erratum in: Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):504. Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):504.


Impact and Cost-effectiveness of Selective Human Papillomavirus Vaccination of Men Who Have Sex With Men.

Lin A, Ong KJ, Hobbelen P, King E, Mesher D, Edmunds WJ, Sonnenberg P, Gilson R, Bains I, Choi YH, Tanton C, Soldan K, Jit M.

Clin Infect Dis. 2017 Mar 1;64(5):580-588. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciw845.


Persistence and clearance of Ebola virus RNA from seminal fluid of Ebola virus disease survivors: a longitudinal analysis and modelling study.

Sissoko D, Duraffour S, Kerber R, Kolie JS, Beavogui AH, Camara AM, Colin G, Rieger T, Oestereich L, Pályi B, Wurr S, Guedj J, Nguyen THT, Eggo RM, Watson CH, Edmunds WJ, Bore JA, Koundouno FR, Cabeza-Cabrerizo M, Carter LL, Kafetzopoulou LE, Kuisma E, Michel J, Patrono LV, Rickett NY, Singethan K, Rudolf M, Lander A, Pallasch E, Bockholt S, Rodríguez E, Di Caro A, Wölfel R, Gabriel M, Gurry C, Formenty P, Keïta S, Malvy D, Carroll MW, Anglaret X, Günther S.

Lancet Glob Health. 2017 Jan;5(1):e80-e88. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30243-1.


Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus.

Funk S, Kucharski AJ, Camacho A, Eggo RM, Yakob L, Murray LM, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 Dec 7;10(12):e0005173. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173. eCollection 2016 Dec.


The projected effectiveness of Clostridium difficile vaccination as part of an integrated infection control strategy.

van Kleef E, Deeny SR, Jit M, Cookson B, Goldenberg SD, Edmunds WJ, Robotham JV.

Vaccine. 2016 Nov 4;34(46):5562-5570. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.09.046. Epub 2016 Oct 7.


Low risk of a sexually-transmitted Zika virus outbreak.

Yakob L, Kucharski A, Hue S, Edmunds WJ.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2016 Oct;16(10):1100-1102. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30324-3. Epub 2016 Sep 19. No abstract available.


Oral Human Papillomavirus Infection in Men Who Have Sex with Men: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

King EM, Oomeer S, Gilson R, Copas A, Beddows S, Soldan K, Jit M, Edmunds WJ, Sonnenberg P.

PLoS One. 2016 Jul 6;11(7):e0157976. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157976. eCollection 2016. Review.


The Epidemiology of Rift Valley Fever in Mayotte: Insights and Perspectives from 11 Years of Data.

Métras R, Cavalerie L, Dommergues L, Mérot P, Edmunds WJ, Keeling MJ, Cêtre-Sossah C, Cardinale E.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 Jun 22;10(6):e0004783. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004783. eCollection 2016 Jun.


Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus in Island Populations: A Modelling Analysis of the 2013-14 French Polynesia Outbreak.

Kucharski AJ, Funk S, Eggo RM, Mallet HP, Edmunds WJ, Nilles EJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 May 17;10(5):e0004726. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004726. eCollection 2016 May.


Changes in the primary outcome in Ebola vaccine trial--Authors' reply.

Kieny MP, Longini IM, Henao-Restrepo AM, Watson CH, Egger M, Edmunds WJ.

Lancet. 2016 Apr 9;387(10027):1509-10. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00686-3. Epub 2016 Apr 7. No abstract available.


Cohort Profile: The Flu Watch Study.

Fragaszy EB, Warren-Gash C, Wang L, Copas A, Dukes O, Edmunds WJ, Goonetilleke N, Harvey G, Johnson AM, Kovar J, Lim MS, McMichael A, Millett ER, Nazareth I, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Tabassum F, Watson JM, Wurie F, Zambon M, Hayward AC; Flu Watch Group.

Int J Epidemiol. 2017 Apr 1;46(2):e18. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyv370. No abstract available.


Effect of pre-exposure prophylaxis and combination HIV prevention for men who have sex with men in the UK: a mathematical modelling study.

Punyacharoensin N, Edmunds WJ, De Angelis D, Delpech V, Hart G, Elford J, Brown A, Gill ON, White RG.

Lancet HIV. 2016 Feb;3(2):e94-e104. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(15)00056-9. Epub 2016 Jan 14.


Cost-effectiveness of Ward Closure to Control Outbreaks of Norovirus Infection in United Kingdom National Health Service Hospitals.

Sadique Z, Lopman B, Cooper BS, Edmunds WJ.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Feb 1;213 Suppl 1:S19-26. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiv410.


Ebola vaccination - Authors' reply.

Longini IM, Egger M, Dean NE, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM; study steering group.

Lancet. 2015 Dec 19;386(10012):2480. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00951-4. Epub 2015 Dec 18. No abstract available.


Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination as Control Strategy for Ebola Virus Disease.

Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Watson CH, Camacho A, Funk S, Edmunds WJ.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2016 Jan;22(1):105-8. doi: 10.3201/eid2201.151410.


Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections.

Eggo RM, Watson CH, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Funk S, Edmunds WJ.

Euro Surveill. 2015;20(48):30083. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2015.20.48.30083.


Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach.

Camacho A, Eggo RM, Funk S, Watson CH, Kucharski AJ, Edmunds WJ.

BMJ Open. 2015 Dec 15;5(12):e009346. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009346.


Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014.

Rosello A, Mossoko M, Flasche S, Van Hoek AJ, Mbala P, Camacho A, Funk S, Kucharski A, Ilunga BK, Edmunds WJ, Piot P, Baguelin M, Tamfum JJ.

Elife. 2015 Nov 3;4. pii: e09015. doi: 10.7554/eLife.09015.


Measuring the impact of Ebola control measures in Sierra Leone.

Kucharski AJ, Camacho A, Flasche S, Glover RE, Edmunds WJ, Funk S.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Nov 17;112(46):14366-71. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1508814112. Epub 2015 Oct 12.


Extending the elderly- and risk-group programme of vaccination against seasonal influenza in England and Wales: a cost-effectiveness study.

Baguelin M, Camacho A, Flasche S, Edmunds WJ.

BMC Med. 2015 Oct 13;13:236. doi: 10.1186/s12916-015-0452-y.


Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine expressing Ebola surface glycoprotein: interim results from the Guinea ring vaccination cluster-randomised trial.

Henao-Restrepo AM, Longini IM, Egger M, Dean NE, Edmunds WJ, Camacho A, Carroll MW, Doumbia M, Draguez B, Duraffour S, Enwere G, Grais R, Gunther S, Hossmann S, Kondé MK, Kone S, Kuisma E, Levine MM, Mandal S, Norheim G, Riveros X, Soumah A, Trelle S, Vicari AS, Watson CH, Kéïta S, Kieny MP, Røttingen JA.

Lancet. 2015 Aug 29;386(9996):857-66. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)61117-5. Epub 2015 Aug 3.


The Efficacy and Duration of Protection of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines Against Nasopharyngeal Carriage: A Meta-regression Model.

Le Polain De Waroux O, Flasche S, Prieto-Merino D, Goldblatt D, Edmunds WJ.

Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2015 Aug;34(8):858-64. doi: 10.1097/INF.0000000000000717. Erratum in: Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2016 May;35(5):591.


The Potential for Reducing the Number of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Doses While Sustaining Herd Immunity in High-Income Countries.

Flasche S, Van Hoek AJ, Goldblatt D, Edmunds WJ, O'Brien KL, Scott JA, Miller E.

PLoS Med. 2015 Jun 9;12(6):e1001839. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001839. eCollection 2015 Jun. No abstract available.


The social contact hypothesis under the assumption of endemic equilibrium: Elucidating the transmission potential of VZV in Europe.

Santermans E, Goeyvaerts N, Melegaro A, Edmunds WJ, Faes C, Aerts M, Beutels P, Hens N.

Epidemics. 2015 Jun;11:14-23. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2014.12.005. Epub 2015 Jan 10.


Phylogeographical analysis of the dominant multidrug-resistant H58 clade of Salmonella Typhi identifies inter- and intracontinental transmission events.

Wong VK, Baker S, Pickard DJ, Parkhill J, Page AJ, Feasey NA, Kingsley RA, Thomson NR, Keane JA, Weill FX, Edwards DJ, Hawkey J, Harris SR, Mather AE, Cain AK, Hadfield J, Hart PJ, Thieu NT, Klemm EJ, Glinos DA, Breiman RF, Watson CH, Kariuki S, Gordon MA, Heyderman RS, Okoro C, Jacobs J, Lunguya O, Edmunds WJ, Msefula C, Chabalgoity JA, Kama M, Jenkins K, Dutta S, Marks F, Campos J, Thompson C, Obaro S, MacLennan CA, Dolecek C, Keddy KH, Smith AM, Parry CM, Karkey A, Mulholland EK, Campbell JI, Dongol S, Basnyat B, Dufour M, Bandaranayake D, Naseri TT, Singh SP, Hatta M, Newton P, Onsare RS, Isaia L, Dance D, Davong V, Thwaites G, Wijedoru L, Crump JA, De Pinna E, Nair S, Nilles EJ, Thanh DP, Turner P, Soeng S, Valcanis M, Powling J, Dimovski K, Hogg G, Farrar J, Holt KE, Dougan G.

Nat Genet. 2015 Jun;47(6):632-9. doi: 10.1038/ng.3281. Epub 2015 May 11.

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