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Associations between ethnicity, social contact, and pneumococcal carriage three years post-PCV10 in Fiji.

Neal EFG, Flasche S, Nguyen CD, Ratu FT, Dunne EM, Koyamaibole L, Reyburn R, Rafai E, Kama M, Ortika BD, Boelsen LK, Kado J, Tikoduadua L, Devi R, Tuivaga E, Satzke C, Mulholland EK, Edmunds WJ, Russell FM.

Vaccine. 2019 Oct 23. pii: S0264-410X(19)31403-3. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.10.030. [Epub ahead of print]


Varicella vaccine dose depended effectiveness and waning among preschool children in Hong Kong.

Chan YD, Edmunds WJ, Chan HL, Wong ML, Au KA, Chuang SK, van Hoek AJ, Flasche S.

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2019 Oct 23:1-7. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2019.1663121. [Epub ahead of print]


Spatial Effects of Permethrin-Impregnated Bed Nets on Child Mortality: 26 Years on, a Spatial Reanalysis of a Cluster Randomized Trial.

Jarvis CI, Multerer L, Lewis D, Binka F, Edmunds WJ, Alexander N, Smith TA.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2019 Dec;101(6):1434-1441. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.19-0111.


Combining serological and contact data to derive target immunity levels for achieving and maintaining measles elimination.

Funk S, Knapp JK, Lebo E, Reef SE, Dabbagh AJ, Kretsinger K, Jit M, Edmunds WJ, Strebel PM.

BMC Med. 2019 Sep 25;17(1):180. doi: 10.1186/s12916-019-1413-7.


Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study.

O'Reilly KM, Hendrickx E, Kharisma DD, Wilastonegoro NN, Carrington LB, Elyazar IRF, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Flasche S, Pigott DM, Reiner RC Jr, Edmunds WJ, Hay SI, Yakob L, Shepard DS, Brady OJ.

BMC Med. 2019 Sep 9;17(1):172. doi: 10.1186/s12916-019-1396-4.


Vaccine schedules and the effect on humoral and intestinal immunity against poliovirus: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Macklin GR, Grassly NC, Sutter RW, Mach O, Bandyopadhyay AS, Edmunds WJ, O'Reilly KM.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019 Oct;19(10):1121-1128. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30301-9. Epub 2019 Jul 23.


An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool.

Bellan SE, Eggo RM, Gsell PS, Kucharski AJ, Dean NE, Donohue R, Zook M, Edmunds WJ, Odhiambo F, Longini IM Jr, Brisson M, Mahon BE, Henao-Restrepo AM.

Vaccine. 2019 Jul 18;37(31):4376-4381. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.019. Epub 2019 Jun 24.


Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens.

Polonsky JA, Baidjoe A, Kamvar ZN, Cori A, Durski K, Edmunds WJ, Eggo RM, Funk S, Kaiser L, Keating P, de Waroux OLP, Marks M, Moraga P, Morgan O, Nouvellet P, Ratnayake R, Roberts CH, Whitworth J, Jombart T.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180276. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0276.


Control of Ebola virus disease outbreaks: Comparison of health care worker-targeted and community vaccination strategies.

Robert A, Camacho A, Edmunds WJ, Baguelin M, Muyembe Tamfum JJ, Rosello A, Kéïta S, Eggo RM.

Epidemics. 2019 Jun;27:106-114. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.03.001. Epub 2019 Mar 2.


Determinants of Transmission Risk During the Late Stage of the West African Ebola Epidemic.

Robert A, Edmunds WJ, Watson CH, Henao-Restrepo AM, Gsell PS, Williamson E, Longini IM, Sakoba K, Kucharski AJ, Touré A, Nadlaou SD, Diallo B, Barry MS, Fofana TO, Camara L, Kaba IL, Sylla L, Diaby ML, Soumah O, Diallo A, Niare A, Diallo A, Eggo RM.

Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Jul 1;188(7):1319-1327. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwz090.


Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh.

Finger F, Funk S, White K, Siddiqui MR, Edmunds WJ, Kucharski AJ.

BMC Med. 2019 Mar 12;17(1):58. doi: 10.1186/s12916-019-1288-7.


Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15.

Funk S, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Feb 11;15(2):e1006785. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006785. eCollection 2019 Feb.


Health care worker vaccination against Ebola: Vaccine acceptance and employment duration in Sierra Leone.

Jendrossek M, Edmunds WJ, Rohan H, Clifford S, Mooney TA, Eggo RM.

Vaccine. 2019 Feb 14;37(8):1101-1108. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.12.060. Epub 2019 Jan 23.


Spatial Analyses of Oral Polio Vaccine Transmission in an Community Vaccinated With Inactivated Polio Vaccine.

Jarvis CI, Altamirano J, Sarnquist C, Edmunds WJ, Maldonado Y.

Clin Infect Dis. 2018 Oct 30;67(suppl_1):S18-S25. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciy622.


Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis.

O'Reilly KM, Lowe R, Edmunds WJ, Mayaud P, Kucharski A, Eggo RM, Funk S, Bhatia D, Khan K, Kraemer MUG, Wilder-Smith A, Rodrigues LC, Brasil P, Massad E, Jaenisch T, Cauchemez S, Brady OJ, Yakob L.

BMC Med. 2018 Oct 3;16(1):180. doi: 10.1186/s12916-018-1158-8.


Quantifying the impact of social groups and vaccination on inequalities in infectious diseases using a mathematical model.

Munday JD, van Hoek AJ, Edmunds WJ, Atkins KE.

BMC Med. 2018 Sep 26;16(1):162. doi: 10.1186/s12916-018-1152-1.


Using paired serology and surveillance data to quantify dengue transmission and control during a large outbreak in Fiji.

Kucharski AJ, Kama M, Watson CH, Aubry M, Funk S, Henderson AD, Brady OJ, Vanhomwegen J, Manuguerra JC, Lau CL, Edmunds WJ, Aaskov J, Nilles EJ, Cao-Lormeau VM, Hué S, Hibberd ML.

Elife. 2018 Aug 14;7. pii: e34848. doi: 10.7554/eLife.34848.


Identifying human encounters that shape the transmission of Streptococcus pneumoniae and other acute respiratory infections.

le Polain de Waroux O, Flasche S, Kucharski AJ, Langendorf C, Ndazima D, Mwanga-Amumpaire J, Grais RF, Cohuet S, Edmunds WJ.

Epidemics. 2018 Dec;25:72-79. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.008. Epub 2018 May 19.


Predicting the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine programme options in Vietnam.

Le Polain De Waroux O, Edmunds WJ, Takahashi K, Ariyoshi K, Mulholland EK, Goldblatt D, Choi YH, Anh DD, Yoshida LM, Flasche S.

Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2018;14(8):1939-1947. doi: 10.1080/21645515.2018.1467201. Epub 2018 Jun 8.


Characteristics of human encounters and social mixing patterns relevant to infectious diseases spread by close contact: a survey in Southwest Uganda.

le Polain de Waroux O, Cohuet S, Ndazima D, Kucharski AJ, Juan-Giner A, Flasche S, Tumwesigye E, Arinaitwe R, Mwanga-Amumpaire J, Boum Y 2nd, Nackers F, Checchi F, Grais RF, Edmunds WJ.

BMC Infect Dis. 2018 Apr 11;18(1):172. doi: 10.1186/s12879-018-3073-1.


Questionable efficacy of the rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine - Authors' reply.

Longini IM, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM.

Lancet. 2018 Mar 17;391(10125):1021-1022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30559-2. Epub 2018 Mar 15. No abstract available.


The changing epidemiology of varicella and herpes zoster in Hong Kong before universal varicella vaccination in 2014.

Chan DYW, Edmunds WJ, Chan HL, Chan V, Lam YCK, Thomas SL, van Hoek AJ, Flasche S.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Apr;146(6):723-734. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818000444. Epub 2018 Mar 12.


Self-Swabbing for Virological Confirmation of Influenza-Like Illness Among an Internet-Based Cohort in the UK During the 2014-2015 Flu Season: Pilot Study.

Wenham C, Gray ER, Keane CE, Donati M, Paolotti D, Pebody R, Fragaszy E, McKendry RA, Edmunds WJ.

J Med Internet Res. 2018 Mar 1;20(3):e71. doi: 10.2196/jmir.9084.


Role of Environmental Factors in Shaping Spatial Distribution of Salmonella enterica Serovar Typhi, Fiji.

de Alwis R, Watson C, Nikolay B, Lowry JH, Thieu NTV, Van TT, Ngoc DTT, Rawalai K, Taufa M, Coriakula J, Lau CL, Nilles EJ, Edmunds WJ, Kama M, Baker S, Cano J.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2018 Feb;24(2):284-293. doi: 10.3201/eid2402.170704.


Effect of HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening in England by ethnicity: a modelling study.

Johnson HC, Lafferty EI, Eggo RM, Louie K, Soldan K, Waller J, Edmunds WJ.

Lancet Public Health. 2018 Jan;3(1):e44-e51. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(17)30238-4. Epub 2017 Dec 19.


Social mixing in Fiji: Who-eats-with-whom contact patterns and the implications of age and ethnic heterogeneity for disease dynamics in the Pacific Islands.

Watson CH, Coriakula J, Ngoc DTT, Flasche S, Kucharski AJ, Lau CL, Thieu NTV, le Polain de Waroux O, Rawalai K, Van TT, Taufa M, Baker S, Nilles EJ, Kama M, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS One. 2017 Dec 6;12(12):e0186911. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0186911. eCollection 2017.


Estimating the opportunity costs of bed-days.

Sandmann FG, Robotham JV, Deeny SR, Edmunds WJ, Jit M.

Health Econ. 2018 Mar;27(3):592-605. doi: 10.1002/hec.3613. Epub 2017 Nov 6.


Ring vaccination with rVSV-ZEBOV under expanded access in response to an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Guinea, 2016: an operational and vaccine safety report.

Gsell PS, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Watson CH, Bagayoko A, Nadlaou SD, Dean NE, Diallo A, Diallo A, Honora DA, Doumbia M, Enwere G, Higgs ES, Mauget T, Mory D, Riveros X, Oumar FT, Fallah M, Toure A, Vicari AS, Longini IM, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM, Kieny MP, Kéïta S.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Dec;17(12):1276-1284. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30541-8. Epub 2017 Oct 9. Erratum in: Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Dec;17 (12 ):1232.


Effects of seasonal and pandemic influenza on health-related quality of life, work and school absence in England: Results from the Flu Watch cohort study.

Fragaszy EB, Warren-Gash C, White PJ, Zambon M, Edmunds WJ, Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Hayward AC; Flu Watch Group.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2018 Jan;12(1):171-182. doi: 10.1111/irv.12506.


Spatial analysis of cluster randomised trials: a systematic review of analysis methods.

Jarvis C, Di Tanna GL, Lewis D, Alexander N, Edmunds WJ.

Emerg Themes Epidemiol. 2017 Sep 21;14:12. doi: 10.1186/s12982-017-0066-2. eCollection 2017. Review.


Influenzanet: Citizens Among 10 Countries Collaborating to Monitor Influenza in Europe.

Koppeschaar CE, Colizza V, Guerrisi C, Turbelin C, Duggan J, Edmunds WJ, Kjelsø C, Mexia R, Moreno Y, Meloni S, Paolotti D, Perrotta D, van Straten E, Franco AO.

JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2017 Sep 19;3(3):e66. doi: 10.2196/publichealth.7429.


Participatory Syndromic Surveillance of Influenza in Europe.

Guerrisi C, Turbelin C, Blanchon T, Hanslik T, Bonmarin I, Levy-Bruhl D, Perrotta D, Paolotti D, Smallenburg R, Koppeschaar C, Franco AO, Mexia R, Edmunds WJ, Sile B, Pebody R, van Straten E, Meloni S, Moreno Y, Duggan J, Kjelsø C, Colizza V.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S386-S392. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw280. Review.


The public health value of vaccines beyond efficacy: methods, measures and outcomes.

Wilder-Smith A, Longini I, Zuber PL, Bärnighausen T, Edmunds WJ, Dean N, Spicher VM, Benissa MR, Gessner BD.

BMC Med. 2017 Jul 26;15(1):138. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0911-8.


Drivers for Rift Valley fever emergence in Mayotte: A Bayesian modelling approach.

Métras R, Fournié G, Dommergues L, Camacho A, Cavalerie L, Mérot P, Keeling MJ, Cêtre-Sossah C, Cardinale E, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Jul 21;11(7):e0005767. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005767. eCollection 2017 Jul.


A cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey of typhoid fever in Fiji.

Watson CH, Baker S, Lau CL, Rawalai K, Taufa M, Coriakula J, Thieu NTV, Van TT, Ngoc DTT, Hens N, Lowry JH, de Alwis R, Cano J, Jenkins K, Mulholland EK, Nilles EJ, Kama M, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2017 Jul 20;11(7):e0005786. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005786. eCollection 2017 Jul.


Assessing the efficiency of catch-up campaigns for the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine: a modelling study based on data from PCV10 introduction in Kilifi, Kenya.

Flasche S, Ojal J, Le Polain de Waroux O, Otiende M, O'Brien KL, Kiti M, Nokes DJ, Edmunds WJ, Scott JAG.

BMC Med. 2017 Jun 7;15(1):113. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0882-9.


Short-term changes in the health state of children with group B meningococcal disease: A prospective, national cohort study.

Kennedy ITR, van Hoek AJ, Ribeiro S, Christensen H, Edmunds WJ, Ramsay ME, Ladhani SN.

PLoS One. 2017 May 18;12(5):e0177082. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0177082. eCollection 2017.


Evaluating the frequency of asymptomatic Ebola virus infection.

Mbala P, Baguelin M, Ngay I, Rosello A, Mulembakani P, Demiris N, Edmunds WJ, Muyembe JJ.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160303. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0303.


The impact of control strategies and behavioural changes on the elimination of Ebola from Lofa County, Liberia.

Funk S, Ciglenecki I, Tiffany A, Gignoux E, Camacho A, Eggo RM, Kucharski AJ, Edmunds WJ, Bolongei J, Azuma P, Clement P, Alpha TS, Sterk E, Telfer B, Engel G, Parker LA, Suzuki M, Heijenberg N, Reeder B.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160302. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0302.


The 2013-2016 Ebola epidemic: multidisciplinary success conceals a missed opportunity.

Coltart CE, Edmunds WJ, Atkins KE.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721). pii: 20160292. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0292. No abstract available.


Aedes aegypti Control Through Modernized, Integrated Vector Management.

Yakob L, Funk S, Camacho A, Brady O, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Curr. 2017 Jan 30;9. pii: ecurrents.outbreaks.45deb8e03a438c4d088afb4fafae8747. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.45deb8e03a438c4d088afb4fafae8747.


Real-time forecasting of infectious disease dynamics with a stochastic semi-mechanistic model.

Funk S, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:56-61. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.003. Epub 2016 Dec 16.


Real-time dynamic modelling for the design of a cluster-randomized phase 3 Ebola vaccine trial in Sierra Leone.

Camacho A, Eggo RM, Goeyvaerts N, Vandebosch A, Mogg R, Funk S, Kucharski AJ, Watson CH, Vangeneugden T, Edmunds WJ.

Vaccine. 2017 Jan 23;35(4):544-551. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.12.019. Epub 2016 Dec 23.


Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine in preventing Ebola virus disease: final results from the Guinea ring vaccination, open-label, cluster-randomised trial (Ebola Ça Suffit!).

Henao-Restrepo AM, Camacho A, Longini IM, Watson CH, Edmunds WJ, Egger M, Carroll MW, Dean NE, Diatta I, Doumbia M, Draguez B, Duraffour S, Enwere G, Grais R, Gunther S, Gsell PS, Hossmann S, Watle SV, Kondé MK, Kéïta S, Kone S, Kuisma E, Levine MM, Mandal S, Mauget T, Norheim G, Riveros X, Soumah A, Trelle S, Vicari AS, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP.

Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):505-518. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32621-6. Epub 2016 Dec 23. Erratum in: Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):504. Lancet. 2017 Feb 4;389(10068):504.


Impact and Cost-effectiveness of Selective Human Papillomavirus Vaccination of Men Who Have Sex With Men.

Lin A, Ong KJ, Hobbelen P, King E, Mesher D, Edmunds WJ, Sonnenberg P, Gilson R, Bains I, Choi YH, Tanton C, Soldan K, Jit M.

Clin Infect Dis. 2017 Mar 1;64(5):580-588. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciw845.


Persistence and clearance of Ebola virus RNA from seminal fluid of Ebola virus disease survivors: a longitudinal analysis and modelling study.

Sissoko D, Duraffour S, Kerber R, Kolie JS, Beavogui AH, Camara AM, Colin G, Rieger T, Oestereich L, Pályi B, Wurr S, Guedj J, Nguyen THT, Eggo RM, Watson CH, Edmunds WJ, Bore JA, Koundouno FR, Cabeza-Cabrerizo M, Carter LL, Kafetzopoulou LE, Kuisma E, Michel J, Patrono LV, Rickett NY, Singethan K, Rudolf M, Lander A, Pallasch E, Bockholt S, Rodríguez E, Di Caro A, Wölfel R, Gabriel M, Gurry C, Formenty P, Keïta S, Malvy D, Carroll MW, Anglaret X, Günther S.

Lancet Glob Health. 2017 Jan;5(1):e80-e88. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30243-1.


Comparative Analysis of Dengue and Zika Outbreaks Reveals Differences by Setting and Virus.

Funk S, Kucharski AJ, Camacho A, Eggo RM, Yakob L, Murray LM, Edmunds WJ.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2016 Dec 7;10(12):e0005173. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005173. eCollection 2016 Dec.


The projected effectiveness of Clostridium difficile vaccination as part of an integrated infection control strategy.

van Kleef E, Deeny SR, Jit M, Cookson B, Goldenberg SD, Edmunds WJ, Robotham JV.

Vaccine. 2016 Nov 4;34(46):5562-5570. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.09.046. Epub 2016 Oct 7.


Low risk of a sexually-transmitted Zika virus outbreak.

Yakob L, Kucharski A, Hue S, Edmunds WJ.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2016 Oct;16(10):1100-1102. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30324-3. Epub 2016 Sep 19. No abstract available.


Oral Human Papillomavirus Infection in Men Who Have Sex with Men: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

King EM, Oomeer S, Gilson R, Copas A, Beddows S, Soldan K, Jit M, Edmunds WJ, Sonnenberg P.

PLoS One. 2016 Jul 6;11(7):e0157976. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157976. eCollection 2016. Review.

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