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Items: 1 to 50 of 172


Assessing the potential impact of vector-borne disease transmission following heavy rainfall events: a mathematical framework.

Chowell G, Mizumoto K, Banda JM, Poccia S, Perrings C.

Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jun 24;374(1775):20180272. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0272.


Assessing reporting delays and the effective reproduction number: The Ebola epidemic in DRC, May 2018-January 2019.

Tariq A, Roosa K, Mizumoto K, Chowell G.

Epidemics. 2019 Mar;26:128-133. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.01.003. Epub 2019 Feb 3.


A maximum curvature method for estimating epidemic onset of seasonal influenza in Japan.

Cai J, Zhang B, Xu B, Chan KKY, Chowell G, Tian H, Xu B.

BMC Infect Dis. 2019 Feb 20;19(1):181. doi: 10.1186/s12879-019-3777-x.


Numerical solution of a spatio-temporal predator-prey model with infected prey.

Bürger R, Chowell G, Gavilán E, Mulet P, Villada LM.

Math Biosci Eng. 2018 Dec 17;16(1):438-473. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2019021.


Prior dengue virus infection and risk of Zika: A pediatric cohort in Nicaragua.

Gordon A, Gresh L, Ojeda S, Katzelnick LC, Sanchez N, Mercado JC, Chowell G, Lopez B, Elizondo D, Coloma J, Burger-Calderon R, Kuan G, Balmaseda A, Harris E.

PLoS Med. 2019 Jan 22;16(1):e1002726. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002726. eCollection 2019 Jan.


Natality Decline and Spatial Variation in Excess Death Rates During the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, United States.

Dahal S, Mizumoto K, Bolin B, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2577-2584. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy146.


Fogarty International Center collaborative networks in infectious disease modeling: Lessons learnt in research and capacity building.

Nelson MI, Lloyd-Smith JO, Simonsen L, Rambaut A, Holmes EC, Chowell G, Miller MA, Spiro DJ, Grenfell B, Viboud C.

Epidemics. 2019 Mar;26:116-127. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.10.004. Epub 2018 Oct 23. Review.


Spatial infectious disease epidemiology: on the cusp.

Chowell G, Rothenberg R.

BMC Med. 2018 Oct 18;16(1):192. doi: 10.1186/s12916-018-1184-6.


Assessing the relationship between epidemic growth scaling and epidemic size: The 2014-16 Ebola epidemic in West Africa.

Ganyani T, Roosa K, Faes C, Hens N, Chowell G.

Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Oct 15:1-6. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002819. [Epub ahead of print]


Age-Specific Excess Mortality Patterns During the 1918-1920 Influenza Pandemic in Madrid, Spain.

Cilek L, Chowell G, Ramiro Fariñas D.

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2511-2523. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy171.


Assessing inference of the basic reproduction number in an SIR model incorporating a growth-scaling parameter.

Ganyani T, Faes C, Chowell G, Hens N.

Stat Med. 2018 Dec 20;37(29):4490-4506. doi: 10.1002/sim.7935. Epub 2018 Aug 16.


A primer on stable parameter estimation and forecasting in epidemiology by a problem-oriented regularized least squares algorithm.

Smirnova A, Chowell G.

Infect Dis Model. 2017 May 25;2(2):268-275. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2017.05.004. eCollection 2017 May. Review.


Transmission potential of modified measles during an outbreak, Japan, March‒May 2018.

Mizumoto K, Kobayashi T, Chowell G.

Euro Surveill. 2018 Jun;23(24). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.24.1800239.


Differences in Transmission and Disease Severity Between 2 Successive Waves of Chikungunya.

Gordon A, Gresh L, Ojeda S, Chowell G, Gonzalez K, Sanchez N, Saborio S, Mercado JC, Kuan G, Balmaseda A, Harris E.

Clin Infect Dis. 2018 Nov 13;67(11):1760-1767. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciy356.


Simple multi-scale modeling of the transmission dynamics of the 1905 plague epidemic in Bombay.

Pell B, Phan T, Rutter EM, Chowell G, Kuang Y.

Math Biosci. 2018 Jul;301:83-92. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.04.003. Epub 2018 Apr 16.


Urbanization prolongs hantavirus epidemics in cities.

Tian H, Hu S, Cazelles B, Chowell G, Gao L, Laine M, Li Y, Yang H, Li Y, Yang Q, Tong X, Huang R, Bjornstad ON, Xiao H, Stenseth NC.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 May 1;115(18):4707-4712. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1712767115. Epub 2018 Apr 17.


Introduction to symposium: a century after the 1918 influenza pandemic.

Chowell G, Sullivan P, Rothenberg R.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):265-266. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2018.03.010. Epub 2018 Mar 23. No abstract available.


A review of the 1918 herald pandemic wave: importance for contemporary pandemic response strategies.

Simonsen L, Chowell G, Andreasen V, Gaffey R, Barry J, Olson D, Viboud C.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):281-288. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2018.02.013. Epub 2018 Mar 2.


Excess mortality patterns during 1918-1921 influenza pandemic in the state of Arizona, USA.

Dahal S, Jenner M, Dinh L, Mizumoto K, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):273-280. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.12.005. Epub 2017 Dec 21.


We could learn much more from 1918 pandemic-the (mis)fortune of research relying on original death certificates.

Alonso WJ, Nascimento FC, Chowell G, Schuck-Paim C.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):289-292. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2018.01.002. Epub 2018 Jan 9.


Age-specific excess mortality patterns and transmissibility during the 1889-1890 influenza pandemic in Madrid, Spain.

Ramiro D, Garcia S, Casado Y, Cilek L, Chowell G.

Ann Epidemiol. 2018 May;28(5):267-272. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2017.12.009. Epub 2017 Dec 27.


Growth scaling for the early dynamics of HIV/AIDS epidemics in Brazil and the influence of socio-demographic factors.

Dinh L, Chowell G, Rothenberg R.

J Theor Biol. 2018 Apr 7;442:79-86. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.12.030. Epub 2018 Jan 9.


Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A Primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts.

Chowell G.

Infect Dis Model. 2017 Aug;2(3):379-398. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2017.08.001. Epub 2017 Aug 12.


Forecasting the 2001 Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in the UK.

Shanafelt DW, Jones G, Lima M, Perrings C, Chowell G.

Ecohealth. 2018 Jun;15(2):338-347. doi: 10.1007/s10393-017-1293-2. Epub 2017 Dec 13.


Numerical solution of a spatio-temporal gender-structured model for hantavirus infection in rodents.

Bürger R, Chowell G, Gavilán E, Mulet P, Villada LM.

Math Biosci Eng. 2018 Feb 1;15(1):95-123. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2018004.


The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge special issue: Preface.

Viboud C, Simonsen L, Chowell G, Vespignani A.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:1-2. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.10.003. Epub 2017 Oct 24. No abstract available.


Infectious disease risks among refugees from North Korea.

Nishiura H, Lee H, Yuan B, Endo A, Akhmetzhanov AR, Chowell G.

Int J Infect Dis. 2018 Jan;66:22-25. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2017.10.021. Epub 2017 Nov 7. Review.


The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt.

Viboud C, Sun K, Gaffey R, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Merler S, Zhang Q, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Vespignani A; RAPIDD Ebola Forecasting Challenge group.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:13-21. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.08.002. Epub 2017 Aug 26.


The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation.

Ajelli M, Zhang Q, Sun K, Merler S, Fumanelli L, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Viboud C, Vespignani A.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:3-12. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.09.001. Epub 2017 Sep 20.


Big Data for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Modeling.

Bansal S, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Vespignani A, Viboud C.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S375-S379. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw400.


Elucidating Transmission Patterns From Internet Reports: Ebola and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome as Case Studies.

Chowell G, Cleaton JM, Viboud C.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S421-S426. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw356. Review.


epiDMS: Data Management and Analytics for Decision-Making From Epidemic Spread Simulation Ensembles.

Liu S, Poccia S, Candan KS, Chowell G, Sapino ML.

J Infect Dis. 2016 Dec 1;214(suppl_4):S427-S432. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw305. Review.


Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection.

Moghadas SM, Shoukat A, Espindola AL, Pereira RS, Abdirizak F, Laskowski M, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Sci Rep. 2017 Jul 19;7(1):5829. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-05013-9.


Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome Virus in Humans, Domesticated Animals, Ticks, and Mosquitoes, Shaanxi Province, China.

Tian H, Yu P, Chowell G, Li S, Wei J, Tian H, Lv W, Han Z, Yang J, Huang S, Zhou S, Brownstein JS, Wang J, Xu B.

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Jun;96(6):1346-1349. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0333.


Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model.

Smirnova A, deCamp L, Chowell G.

Bull Math Biol. 2017 May 2. doi: 10.1007/s11538-017-0284-3. [Epub ahead of print]


Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014-2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward.

Chowell G, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Merler S, Vespignani A.

BMC Med. 2017 Mar 1;15(1):42. doi: 10.1186/s12916-017-0811-y.


Quantifying the fitness of antiviral-resistant influenza strains.

Chowell G, Viboud C.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2017 Mar;17(3):250-251. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)30522-9. Epub 2016 Dec 1. No abstract available.


Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge.

Pell B, Kuang Y, Viboud C, Chowell G.

Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:62-70. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2016.11.002. Epub 2016 Nov 19.


Pandemic influenza and socioeconomic disparities: Lessons from 1918 Chicago.

Chowell G, Viboud C.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Nov 29;113(48):13557-13559. Epub 2016 Nov 22. No abstract available.


Severe mortality impact of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Chile.

Chowell G, Simonsen L, Fuentes R, Flores J, Miller MA, Viboud C.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2017 May;11(3):230-239. doi: 10.1111/irv.12439. Epub 2017 Mar 31.


Estimating the subcritical transmissibility of the Zika outbreak in the State of Florida, USA, 2016.

Dinh L, Chowell G, Mizumoto K, Nishiura H.

Theor Biol Med Model. 2016 Nov 9;13(1):20.


Model estimates of the burden of outpatient visits attributable to influenza in the United States.

Matias G, Haguinet F, Lustig RL, Edelman L, Chowell G, Taylor RJ.

BMC Infect Dis. 2016 Nov 7;16(1):641.


Exploring optimal control strategies in seasonally varying flu-like epidemics.

Lee S, Chowell G.

J Theor Biol. 2017 Jan 7;412:36-47. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2016.09.023. Epub 2016 Sep 28.


Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics.

Chowell G, Viboud C, Simonsen L, Moghadas SM.

J R Soc Interface. 2016 Oct;13(123). pii: 20160659.


Early sub-exponential epidemic growth: Simple models, nonlinear incidence rates, and additional mechanisms: Reply to comments on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review".

Chowell G, Sattenspiel L, Bansal S, Viboud C.

Phys Life Rev. 2016 Sep;18:114-117. doi: 10.1016/j.plrev.2016.08.016. Epub 2016 Sep 8. No abstract available.


Erratum To: Accounting for Behavioral Responses during a Flu Epidemic Using Home Television Viewing.

Springborn M, Chowell G, MacLachlan M, Fenichel EP.

BMC Infect Dis. 2016 Sep 5;16(1):474. No abstract available.


Mortality and transmissibility patterns of the 1957 influenza pandemic in Maricopa County, Arizona.

Cobos AJ, Nelson CG, Jehn M, Viboud C, Chowell G.

BMC Infect Dis. 2016 Aug 11;16(1):405. doi: 10.1186/s12879-016-1716-7.

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