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Forecasted Size of Measles Outbreaks Associated With Vaccination Exemptions for Schoolchildren.

Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Roberts MS.

JAMA Netw Open. 2019 Aug 2;2(8):e199768. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768.


Project Tycho 2.0: a repository to improve the integration and reuse of data for global population health.

van Panhuis WG, Cross A, Burke DS.

J Am Med Inform Assoc. 2018 Dec 1;25(12):1608-1617. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocy123.


Changing dynamics of the drug overdose epidemic in the United States from 1979 through 2016.

Jalal H, Buchanich JM, Roberts MS, Balmert LC, Zhang K, Burke DS.

Science. 2018 Sep 21;361(6408). pii: eaau1184. doi: 10.1126/science.aau1184.


Exploring scenarios of chikungunya mitigation with a data-driven agent-based model of the 2014-2016 outbreak in Colombia.

España G, Grefenstette J, Perkins A, Torres C, Campo Carey A, Diaz H, de la Hoz F, Burke DS, van Panhuis WG.

Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 15;8(1):12201. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30647-8.


The Effect of Incomplete Death Certificates on Estimates of Unintentional Opioid-Related Overdose Deaths in the United States, 1999-2015.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Williams KE, Burke DS.

Public Health Rep. 2018 Jul/Aug;133(4):423-431. doi: 10.1177/0033354918774330. Epub 2018 Jun 27.


Improvement in racial disparities in years of life lost in the USA since 1990.

Buchanich JM, Doerfler SM, Lann MF, Marsh GM, Burke DS.

PLoS One. 2018 Apr 25;13(4):e0194308. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194308. eCollection 2018.


Development of antibody biomarkers of long term and recent dengue virus infections.

Nascimento EJM, Huleatt JW, Cordeiro MT, Castanha PMS, George JK, Grebe E, Welte A, Brown M, Burke DS, Marques ETA.

J Virol Methods. 2018 Jul;257:62-68. doi: 10.1016/j.jviromet.2018.04.009. Epub 2018 Apr 21.


Tradition and innovation in development of a Zika vaccine.

Marques ETA, Burke DS.

Lancet. 2018 Feb 10;391(10120):516-517. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33107-0. Epub 2017 Dec 5. No abstract available.


A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting.

Farrow DC, Brooks LC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2017 Mar 10;13(3):e1005248. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005248. eCollection 2017 Mar.


Forecasting the opioid epidemic.

Burke DS.

Science. 2016 Nov 4;354(6312):529. No abstract available.


Correction: Patterns and Trends in Accidental Poisoning Deaths: Pennsylvania's Experience 1979-2014.

Balmert LC, Buchanich JM, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM.

PLoS One. 2016 Jul 13;11(7):e0159469. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159469. eCollection 2016.


Selection of a potential diagnostic biomarker for HIV infection from a random library of non-biological synthetic peptoid oligomers.

Gearhart TL, Montelaro RC, Schurdak ME, Pilcher CD, Rinaldo CR, Kodadek T, Park Y, Islam K, Yurko R, Marques ET Jr, Burke DS.

J Immunol Methods. 2016 Aug;435:85-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jim.2016.05.001. Epub 2016 May 12.


Patterns and trends in accidental poisoning death rates in the US, 1979-2014.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM.

Prev Med. 2016 Aug;89:317-323. doi: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2016.04.007. Epub 2016 Apr 13.


Direct Measurement of the Astrophysical ^{38}K(p,γ)^{39}Ca Reaction and Its Influence on the Production of Nuclides toward the End Point of Nova Nucleosynthesis.

Lotay G, Christian G, Ruiz C, Akers C, Burke DS, Catford WN, Chen AA, Connolly D, Davids B, Fallis J, Hager U, Hutcheon DA, Mahl A, Rojas A, Sun X.

Phys Rev Lett. 2016 Apr 1;116(13):132701. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.116.132701. Epub 2016 Apr 1.


Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease.

Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, Ferguson NM, Burke DS, Grenfell BT.

Lancet. 2016 Aug 13;388(10045):728-30. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30164-7. Epub 2016 Apr 5. No abstract available.


Patterns and Trends in Accidental Poisoning Deaths: Pennsylvania's Experience 1979-2014.

Balmert LC, Buchanich JM, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM.

PLoS One. 2016 Mar 10;11(3):e0151655. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0151655. eCollection 2016. Erratum in: PLoS One. 2016;11(7):e0159469.


Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns.

Dalziel BD, Bjørnstad ON, van Panhuis WG, Burke DS, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT.

PLoS Comput Biol. 2016 Feb 4;12(2):e1004655. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004655. eCollection 2016 Feb.


Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia.

van Panhuis WG, Choisy M, Xiong X, Chok NS, Akarasewi P, Iamsirithaworn S, Lam SK, Chong CK, Lam FC, Phommasak B, Vongphrachanh P, Bouaphanh K, Rekol H, Hien NT, Thai PQ, Duong TN, Chuang JH, Liu YL, Ng LC, Shi Y, Tayag EA, Roque VG Jr, Lee Suy LL, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Velasco JM, Yoon IK, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Oct 20;112(42):13069-74. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1501375112. Epub 2015 Oct 5.


Differential efficacy of dengue vaccine by immune status.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Ferguson N, Burke DS, Cummings DAT.

Lancet. 2015 May 2;385(9979):1726. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60889-3. No abstract available.


Computational Characterization of Transient Strain-Transcending Immunity against Influenza A.

Farrow DC, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R.

PLoS One. 2015 May 1;10(5):e0125047. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125047. eCollection 2015.


The availability and consistency of dengue surveillance data provided online by the World Health Organization.

Ruberto I, Marques E, Burke DS, Van Panhuis WG.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Apr 14;9(4):e0003511. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003511. eCollection 2015 Apr.


A systematic review of barriers to data sharing in public health.

van Panhuis WG, Paul P, Emerson C, Grefenstette J, Wilder R, Herbst AJ, Heymann D, Burke DS.

BMC Public Health. 2014 Nov 5;14:1144. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-14-1144. Review.


A large-scale immuno-epidemiological simulation of influenza A epidemics.

Lukens S, DePasse J, Rosenfeld R, Ghedin E, Mochan E, Brown ST, Grefenstette J, Burke DS, Swigon D, Clermont G.

BMC Public Health. 2014 Sep 29;14:1019. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-14-1019.


A gorilla reservoir for human T-lymphotropic virus type 4.

LeBreton M, Switzer WM, Djoko CF, Gillis A, Jia H, Sturgeon MM, Shankar A, Zheng H, Nkeunen G, Tamoufe U, Nana A, Le Doux Diffo J, Tafon B, Kiyang J, Schneider BS, Burke DS, Wolfe ND.

Emerg Microbes Infect. 2014 Jan;3(1):e7. doi: 10.1038/emi.2014.7. Epub 2014 Jan 22.


Contagious diseases in the United States from 1888 to the present.

van Panhuis WG, Grefenstette J, Jung SY, Chok NS, Cross A, Eng H, Lee BY, Zadorozhny V, Brown S, Cummings D, Burke DS.

N Engl J Med. 2013 Nov 28;369(22):2152-8. doi: 10.1056/NEJMms1215400. No abstract available.


Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Schwartz IB, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

Vaccine. 2014 Jan 16;32(4):514-20. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.11.020. Epub 2013 Nov 19.


Household transmission of influenza A and B in a school-based study of non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Azman AS, Stark JH, Althouse BM, Vukotich CJ Jr, Stebbins S, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

Epidemics. 2013 Dec;5(4):181-6. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2013.09.001. Epub 2013 Sep 26.


Kumar et al. respond.

Kumar S, Grefenstette JJ, Galloway D, Albert SM, Burke DS.

Am J Public Health. 2014 Jan;104(1):e1-2. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301676. Epub 2013 Nov 14. No abstract available.


Dynamic simulation of crime perpetration and reporting to examine community intervention strategies.

Yonas MA, Burke JG, Brown ST, Borrebach JD, Garland R, Burke DS, Grefenstette JJ.

Health Educ Behav. 2013 Oct;40(1 Suppl):87S-97S. doi: 10.1177/1090198113493090.


FRED (a Framework for Reconstructing Epidemic Dynamics): an open-source software system for modeling infectious diseases and control strategies using census-based populations.

Grefenstette JJ, Brown ST, Rosenfeld R, DePasse J, Stone NT, Cooley PC, Wheaton WD, Fyshe A, Galloway DD, Sriram A, Guclu H, Abraham T, Burke DS.

BMC Public Health. 2013 Oct 8;13:940. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-940.


Challenges in the interpretation of dengue vaccine trial results.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2013 Aug 29;7(8):e2126. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002126. eCollection 2013. No abstract available.


A model international partnership for community-based research on vaccine-preventable diseases: the Kamphaeng Phet-AFRIMS Virology Research Unit (KAVRU).

Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Yoon IK, Tannitisupawong D, Rungsimunpaiboon K, Vaughn DW, Endy TP, Innis BL, Burke DS, Mammen MP Jr, Scott RM, Thomas SJ, Hoke CH Jr.

Vaccine. 2013 Sep 23;31(41):4487-500. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.07.082. Epub 2013 Aug 8. Review.


Toward an integrated meta-model of public health dynamics for preparedness decision support.

Burke DS, Grefenstette JJ.

J Public Health Manag Pract. 2013 Sep-Oct;19 Suppl 2:S12-5. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0b013e31828a842f. No abstract available.


Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity.

Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

J R Soc Interface. 2013 Jul 3;10(86):20130414. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2013.0414. Print 2013 Sep 6.


Policies to reduce influenza in the workplace: impact assessments using an agent-based model.

Kumar S, Grefenstette JJ, Galloway D, Albert SM, Burke DS.

Am J Public Health. 2013 Aug;103(8):1406-11. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2013.301269. Epub 2013 Jun 13.


Assessment of serosurveys for H5N1.

Toner ES, Adalja AA, Nuzzo JB, Inglesby TV, Henderson DA, Burke DS.

Clin Infect Dis. 2013 May;56(9):1206-12. doi: 10.1093/cid/cit047. Epub 2013 Feb 5.


SIVagm infection in wild African green monkeys from South Africa: epidemiology, natural history, and evolutionary considerations.

Ma D, Jasinska A, Kristoff J, Grobler JP, Turner T, Jung Y, Schmitt C, Raehtz K, Feyertag F, Martinez Sosa N, Wijewardana V, Burke DS, Robertson DL, Tracy R, Pandrea I, Freimer N, Apetrei C; International Vervet Research Consortium.

PLoS Pathog. 2013 Jan;9(1):e1003011. doi: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1003011. Epub 2013 Jan 17.


School closure as an influenza mitigation strategy: how variations in legal authority and plan criteria can alter the impact.

Potter MA, Brown ST, Cooley PC, Sweeney PM, Hershey TB, Gleason SM, Lee BY, Keane CR, Grefenstette J, Burke DS.

BMC Public Health. 2012 Nov 14;12:977. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-977.


Local variations in spatial synchrony of influenza epidemics.

Stark JH, Cummings DA, Ermentrout B, Ostroff S, Sharma R, Stebbins S, Burke DS, Wisniewski SR.

PLoS One. 2012;7(8):e43528. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0043528. Epub 2012 Aug 16.


Phase I safety and immunogenicity evaluations of an alphavirus replicon HIV-1 subtype C gag vaccine in healthy HIV-1-uninfected adults.

Wecker M, Gilbert P, Russell N, Hural J, Allen M, Pensiero M, Chulay J, Chiu YL, Abdool Karim SS, Burke DS; HVTN 040/059 Protocol Team; NIAID HIV Vaccine Trials Network.

Clin Vaccine Immunol. 2012 Oct;19(10):1651-60. Epub 2012 Aug 22.


Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population.

Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DA.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Jun 12;109(24):9535-8. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1120621109. Epub 2012 May 29.


Preparedness for pandemics: does variation among states affect the nation as a whole?

Potter MA, Brown ST, Lee BY, Grefenstette J, Keane CR, Lin CJ, Quinn SC, Stebbins S, Sweeney PM, Burke DS.

J Public Health Manag Pract. 2012 May-Jun;18(3):233-40. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0b013e3182295138.


Local spatial and temporal processes of influenza in Pennsylvania, USA: 2003-2009.

Stark JH, Sharma R, Ostroff S, Cummings DA, Ermentrout B, Stebbins S, Burke DS, Wisniewski SR.

PLoS One. 2012;7(3):e34245. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0034245. Epub 2012 Mar 28.


Failure to detect simian immunodeficiency virus infection in a large Cameroonian cohort with high non-human primate exposure.

Djoko CF, Wolfe ND, Aghokeng AF, Lebreton M, Liegeois F, Tamoufe U, Schneider BS, Ortiz N, Mbacham WF, Carr JK, Rimoin AW, Fair JN, Pike BL, Mpoudi-Ngole E, Delaporte E, Burke DS, Peeters M.

Ecohealth. 2012 Mar;9(1):17-23. doi: 10.1007/s10393-012-0751-0. Epub 2012 Mar 7.


A nonlinear programming approach for estimation of transmission parameters in childhood infectious disease using a continuous time model.

Word DP, Cummings DA, Burke DS, Iamsirithaworn S, Laird CD.

J R Soc Interface. 2012 Aug 7;9(73):1983-97. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0829. Epub 2012 Feb 15.


Long-term care facilities: important participants of the acute care facility social network?

Lee BY, Song Y, Bartsch SM, Kim DS, Singh A, Avery TR, Brown ST, Yilmaz SL, Wong KF, Potter MA, Burke DS, Platt R, Huang SS.

PLoS One. 2011;6(12):e29342. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0029342. Epub 2011 Dec 27.


A game dynamic model for vaccine skeptics and vaccine believers: measles as an example.

Shim E, Grefenstette JJ, Albert SM, Cakouros BE, Burke DS.

J Theor Biol. 2012 Feb 21;295:194-203. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.11.005. Epub 2011 Nov 15.


Impact of introducing the pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines into the routine immunization program in Niger.

Lee BY, Assi TM, Rajgopal J, Norman BA, Chen SI, Brown ST, Slayton RB, Kone S, Kenea H, Welling JS, Connor DL, Wateska AR, Jana A, Wiringa AE, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS.

Am J Public Health. 2012 Feb;102(2):269-76. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300218. Epub 2011 Nov 28.


Maintaining vaccine delivery following the introduction of the rotavirus and pneumococcal vaccines in Thailand.

Lee BY, Assi TM, Rookkapan K, Wateska AR, Rajgopal J, Sornsrivichai V, Chen SI, Brown ST, Welling J, Norman BA, Connor DL, Bailey RR, Jana A, Van Panhuis WG, Burke DS.

PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e24673. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024673. Epub 2011 Sep 13.


Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic.

Fraser C, Cummings DA, Klinkenberg D, Burke DS, Ferguson NM.

Am J Epidemiol. 2011 Sep 1;174(5):505-14. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwr122. Epub 2011 Jul 11.

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