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Items: 35

1.

National, regional, and global levels and trends in neonatal mortality between 1990 and 2017, with scenario-based projections to 2030: a systematic analysis.

Hug L, Alexander M, You D, Alkema L; UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

Lancet Glob Health. 2019 Jun;7(6):e710-e720. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30163-9. Erratum in: Lancet Glob Health. 2019 Sep;7(9):e1179.

2.

Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels.

Chao F, Gerland P, Cook AR, Alkema L.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 May 7;116(19):9303-9311. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812593116. Epub 2019 Apr 15. Erratum in: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Jul 2;116(27):13700.

3.

Pregnancies, abortions, and pregnancy intentions: a protocol for modeling and reporting global, regional and country estimates.

Bearak JM, Popinchalk A, Sedgh G, Ganatra B, Moller AB, Tunçalp Ö, Alkema L.

Reprod Health. 2019 Mar 20;16(1):36. doi: 10.1186/s12978-019-0682-0.

4.

Global, regional, and national mortality trends in older children and young adolescents (5-14 years) from 1990 to 2016: an analysis of empirical data.

Masquelier B, Hug L, Sharrow D, You D, Hogan D, Hill K, Liu J, Pedersen J, Alkema L; United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

Lancet Glob Health. 2018 Oct;6(10):e1087-e1099. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30353-X.

5.

National and regional under-5 mortality rate by economic status for low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic assessment.

Chao F, You D, Pedersen J, Hug L, Alkema L.

Lancet Glob Health. 2018 May;6(5):e535-e547. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30059-7.

6.

Global, regional, and subregional trends in unintended pregnancy and its outcomes from 1990 to 2014: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model.

Bearak J, Popinchalk A, Alkema L, Sedgh G.

Lancet Glob Health. 2018 Apr;6(4):e380-e389. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30029-9. Epub 2018 Mar 5.

7.

Modern contraceptive use, unmet need, and demand satisfied among women of reproductive age who are married or in a union in the focus countries of the Family Planning 2020 initiative: a systematic analysis using the Family Planning Estimation Tool.

Cahill N, Sonneveldt E, Stover J, Weinberger M, Williamson J, Wei C, Brown W, Alkema L.

Lancet. 2018 Mar 3;391(10123):870-882. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33104-5. Epub 2017 Dec 5.

8.

Global, regional, and subregional classification of abortions by safety, 2010-14: estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model.

Ganatra B, Gerdts C, Rossier C, Johnson BR Jr, Tunçalp Ö, Assifi A, Sedgh G, Singh S, Bankole A, Popinchalk A, Bearak J, Kang Z, Alkema L.

Lancet. 2017 Nov 25;390(10110):2372-2381. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31794-4. Epub 2017 Sep 27. Erratum in: Lancet. 2017 Nov 25;390(10110):2346.

9.

Setting Ambitious yet Achievable Targets Using Probabilistic Projections: Meeting Demand for Family Planning.

Kantorová V, New JR, Biddlecom A, Alkema L.

Stud Fam Plann. 2017 Sep;48(3):223-233. doi: 10.1111/sifp.12025. Epub 2017 May 18.

PMID:
28518405
10.

[Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting: the GATHER Statement].

Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, Boerma JT, Collins GS, Ezzati M, Grove JT, Hogan DR, Hogan MC, Horton R, Lawn JE, Marušic A, Mathers CD, Murray CJ, Rudan I, Salomon JA, Simpson PJ, Vos T, Welch V; Grupo de trabalho GATHER.

Epidemiol Serv Saude. 2017 Jan-Mar;26(1):215-222. doi: 10.5123/S1679-49742017000100023. Portuguese.

11.
12.

Correction: Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting: the GATHER statement.

Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, Boerma JT, Collins GS, Ezzati M, Grove JT, Hogan DR, Hogan MC, Horton R, Lawn JE, Marušić A, Mathers CD, Murray CJ, Rudan I, Salomon JA, Simpson PJ, Vos T, Welch V; GATHER Working Group.

PLoS Med. 2016 Aug 9;13(8):e1002116. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002116. eCollection 2016 Aug.

13.

Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting: the GATHER statement.

Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, Boerma JT, Collins GS, Ezzati M, Grove JT, Hogan DR, Hogan MC, Horton R, Lawn JE, Marušić A, Mathers CD, Murray CJ, Rudan I, Salomon JA, Simpson PJ, Vos T, Welch V; (The GATHER Working Group).

Lancet. 2016 Dec 10;388(10062):e19-e23. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30388-9. Epub 2016 Jun 28. Review.

14.

Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting: the GATHER statement.

Stevens GA, Alkema L, Black RE, Boerma JT, Collins GS, Ezzati M, Grove JT, Hogan DR, Hogan MC, Horton R, Lawn JE, Marušić A, Mathers CD, Murray CJ, Rudan I, Salomon JA, Simpson PJ, Vos T, Welch V; GATHER Working Group.

PLoS Med. 2016 Jun 28;13(6):e1002056. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002056. eCollection 2016 Jun. Erratum in: PLoS Med. 2016 Aug;13(8):e1002116.

15.

Abortion incidence between 1990 and 2014: global, regional, and subregional levels and trends.

Sedgh G, Bearak J, Singh S, Bankole A, Popinchalk A, Ganatra B, Rossier C, Gerdts C, Tunçalp Ö, Johnson BR Jr, Johnston HB, Alkema L.

Lancet. 2016 Jul 16;388(10041):258-67. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30380-4. Epub 2016 May 11.

16.

The United Nations Probabilistic Population Projections: An Introduction to Demographic Forecasting with Uncertainty.

Alkema L, Gerland P, Raftery A, Wilmoth J.

Foresight (Colch). 2015 Spring;2015(37):19-24.

17.

Global, regional, and national levels and trends in maternal mortality between 1990 and 2015, with scenario-based projections to 2030: a systematic analysis by the UN Maternal Mortality Estimation Inter-Agency Group.

Alkema L, Chou D, Hogan D, Zhang S, Moller AB, Gemmill A, Fat DM, Boerma T, Temmerman M, Mathers C, Say L; United Nations Maternal Mortality Estimation Inter-Agency Group collaborators and technical advisory group.

Lancet. 2016 Jan 30;387(10017):462-74. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00838-7. Epub 2015 Nov 13.

18.

Global, regional, and national levels and trends in under-5 mortality between 1990 and 2015, with scenario-based projections to 2030: a systematic analysis by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

You D, Hug L, Ejdemyr S, Idele P, Hogan D, Mathers C, Gerland P, New JR, Alkema L; United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME).

Lancet. 2015 Dec 5;386(10010):2275-86. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00120-8. Epub 2015 Sep 8. Erratum in: Lancet. 2015 Dec 5;386(10010):2256.

PMID:
26361942
19.

Forecasting the burden of type 2 diabetes in Singapore using a demographic epidemiological model of Singapore.

Phan TP, Alkema L, Tai ES, Tan KH, Yang Q, Lim WY, Teo YY, Cheng CY, Wang X, Wong TY, Chia KS, Cook AR.

BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2014 Jun 11;2(1):e000012. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2013-000012. eCollection 2014.

20.

Bayesian Population Projections for the United Nations.

Raftery AE, Alkema L, Gerland P.

Stat Sci. 2014 Feb;29(1):58-68.

21.

National, regional, and global sex ratios of infant, child, and under-5 mortality and identification of countries with outlying ratios: a systematic assessment.

Alkema L, Chao F, You D, Pedersen J, Sawyer CC.

Lancet Glob Health. 2014 Sep;2(9):e521-e530. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(14)70280-3. Epub 2014 Aug 27.

22.

World population stabilization unlikely this century.

Gerland P, Raftery AE, Sevčíková H, Li N, Gu D, Spoorenberg T, Alkema L, Fosdick BK, Chunn J, Lalic N, Bay G, Buettner T, Heilig GK, Wilmoth J.

Science. 2014 Oct 10;346(6206):234-7. doi: 10.1126/science.1257469. Epub 2014 Sep 18.

23.

Global causes of maternal death: a WHO systematic analysis.

Say L, Chou D, Gemmill A, Tunçalp Ö, Moller AB, Daniels J, Gülmezoglu AM, Temmerman M, Alkema L.

Lancet Glob Health. 2014 Jun;2(6):e323-33. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(14)70227-X. Epub 2014 May 5. Review.

24.

Child mortality estimation 2013: an overview of updates in estimation methods by the United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.

Alkema L, New JR, Pedersen J, You D; UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation; Technical Advisory Group.

PLoS One. 2014 Jul 11;9(7):e101112. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0101112. eCollection 2014.

25.

Millennium Development Goals national targets are moving targets and the results will not be known until well after the deadline of 2015.

Oestergaard MZ, Alkema L, Lawn JE.

Int J Epidemiol. 2013 Jun;42(3):645-7. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyt059. No abstract available.

PMID:
23918844
26.

National, regional, and global rates and trends in contraceptive prevalence and unmet need for family planning between 1990 and 2015: a systematic and comprehensive analysis.

Alkema L, Kantorova V, Menozzi C, Biddlecom A.

Lancet. 2013 May 11;381(9878):1642-52. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62204-1. Epub 2013 Mar 12.

PMID:
23489750
27.

Progress toward global reduction in under-five mortality: a bootstrap analysis of uncertainty in Millennium Development Goal 4 estimates.

Alkema L, New JR.

PLoS Med. 2012;9(12):e1001355. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001355. Epub 2012 Dec 11.

28.

Child mortality estimation: a comparison of UN IGME and IHME estimates of levels and trends in under-five mortality rates and deaths.

Alkema L, You D.

PLoS Med. 2012;9(8):e1001288. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001288. Epub 2012 Aug 28.

29.

Estimating trends in the total fertility rate with uncertainty using imperfect data: Examples from West Africa.

Alkema L, Raftery AE, Gerland P, Clark SJ, Pelletier F.

Demogr Res. 2012 Apr 25;26(15). doi: 10.4054/DemRes.2012.26.15.

30.

Estimating the under-five mortality rate using a bayesian hierarchical time series model.

Alkema L, Ann WL.

PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e23954. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0023954. Epub 2011 Sep 28.

31.

Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for all countries.

Alkema L, Raftery AE, Gerland P, Clark SJ, Pelletier F, Buettner T, Heilig GK.

Demography. 2011 Aug;48(3):815-39. doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5.

32.

bayesTFR: An R Package for Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate.

Ševčíková H, Alkema L, Raftery AE.

J Stat Softw. 2011 Jul;43(1):1-29. Epub 2011 Jul 23.

33.

A Bayesian approach to uncertainty analysis of sexually transmitted infection models.

Johnson LF, Alkema L, Dorrington RE.

Sex Transm Infect. 2010 Jun;86(3):169-74. doi: 10.1136/sti.2009.037341. Epub 2009 Nov 1.

34.

Progress and challenges in modelling country-level HIV/AIDS epidemics: the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package 2007.

Brown T, Salomon JA, Alkema L, Raftery AE, Gouws E.

Sex Transm Infect. 2008 Aug;84 Suppl 1:i5-i10. doi: 10.1136/sti.2008.030437.

35.

Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV prevalence estimates.

Alkema L, Raftery AE, Brown T.

Sex Transm Infect. 2008 Aug;84 Suppl 1:i11-i16. doi: 10.1136/sti.2008.029991.

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