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Med Decis Making. 2006 Nov-Dec;26(6):617-23.

FluSurge--a tool to estimate demand for hospital services during the next pandemic influenza.

Author information

1
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Office of Surveillance, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA. XZhang4@cdc.gov

Abstract

PURPOSE:

To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services.

METHODS:

Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources.

RESULTS:

Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity.

CONCLUSIONS:

Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.

PMID:
17099200
DOI:
10.1177/0272989X06295359
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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