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Human ectoparasite transmission of the plague during the Second Pandemic is only weakly supported by proposed mathematical models.

Park SW, Dushoff J, Earn DJD, Poinar H, Bolker BM.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Aug 21;115(34):E7892-E7893. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1809775115. Epub 2018 Aug 3. No abstract available.


Pandemic Paradox: Early Life H2N2 Pandemic Influenza Infection Enhanced Susceptibility to Death during the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic.

Gagnon A, Acosta E, Hallman S, Bourbeau R, Dillon LY, Ouellette N, Earn DJD, Herring DA, Inwood K, Madrenas J, Miller MS.

MBio. 2018 Jan 16;9(1). pii: e02091-17. doi: 10.1128/mBio.02091-17.


On selection in finite populations.

Molina C, Earn DJD.

J Math Biol. 2018 Feb;76(3):645-678. doi: 10.1007/s00285-017-1151-4. Epub 2017 Jun 29.


Predictors of influenza a molecular viral shedding in Hutterite communities.

Wang B, Russell ML, Fonseca K, Earn DJD, Horsman G, Van Caeseele P, Chokani K, Vooght M, Babiuk L, Walter SD, Loeb M.

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2017 May;11(3):254-262. doi: 10.1111/irv.12448. Epub 2017 Mar 16.


Effect of Influenza Vaccination of Children on Infection Rate in Hutterite Communities: Follow-Up Study of a Randomized Trial.

Wang B, Russell ML, Moss L, Fonseca K, Earn DJ, Aoki F, Horsman G, Caeseele PV, Chokani K, Vooght M, Babiuk L, Webby R, Walter SD, Loeb M.

PLoS One. 2016 Dec 15;11(12):e0167281. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0167281. eCollection 2016.


Live Attenuated Versus Inactivated Influenza Vaccine in Hutterite Children: A Cluster Randomized Blinded Trial.

Loeb M, Russell ML, Manning V, Fonseca K, Earn DJ, Horsman G, Chokani K, Vooght M, Babiuk L, Schwartz L, Neupane B, Singh P, Walter SD, Pullenayegum E.

Ann Intern Med. 2016 Nov 1;165(9):617-624. doi: 10.7326/M16-0513. Epub 2016 Aug 16.


Understanding apparently non-exponential outbreaks Comment on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review" by Gerardo Chowell et al.

Champredon D, Earn DJ.

Phys Life Rev. 2016 Sep;18:105-108. doi: 10.1016/j.plrev.2016.08.012. Epub 2016 Aug 26. No abstract available.


The cohort effect in childhood disease dynamics.

He D, Earn DJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2016 Jul;13(120). pii: 20160156. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2016.0156.


Evolutionary stability in continuous nonlinear public goods games.

Molina C, Earn DJ.

J Math Biol. 2017 Jan;74(1-2):499-529. doi: 10.1007/s00285-016-1017-1. Epub 2016 Jun 14.


The importance of accurately modelling human interactions: Comment on "Coupled disease-behavior dynamics on complex networks: A review" by Z. Wang et al.

Rosati DP, Molina C, Earn DJ.

Phys Life Rev. 2015 Dec;15:51-2. doi: 10.1016/j.plrev.2015.10.005. Epub 2015 Oct 20. No abstract available.


Game theory of pre-emptive vaccination before bioterrorism or accidental release of smallpox.

Molina C, Earn DJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2015 Jun 6;12(107). pii: 20141387. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2014.1387.


A century of transitions in New York City's measles dynamics.

Hempel K, Earn DJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2015 May 6;12(106). pii: 20150024. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2015.0024.


Yersinia pestis and the plague of Justinian 541-543 AD: a genomic analysis.

Wagner DM, Klunk J, Harbeck M, Devault A, Waglechner N, Sahl JW, Enk J, Birdsell DN, Kuch M, Lumibao C, Poinar D, Pearson T, Fourment M, Golding B, Riehm JM, Earn DJ, Dewitte S, Rouillard JM, Grupe G, Wiechmann I, Bliska JB, Keim PS, Scholz HC, Holmes EC, Poinar H.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2014 Apr;14(4):319-26. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(13)70323-2. Epub 2014 Jan 28.


Population-level effects of suppressing fever.

Earn DJ, Andrews PW, Bolker BM.

Proc Biol Sci. 2014 Jan 22;281(1778):20132570. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.2570. Print 2014 Mar 7.


Second-pandemic strain of Vibrio cholerae from the Philadelphia cholera outbreak of 1849.

Devault AM, Golding GB, Waglechner N, Enk JM, Kuch M, Tien JH, Shi M, Fisman DN, Dhody AN, Forrest S, Bos KI, Earn DJ, Holmes EC, Poinar HN.

N Engl J Med. 2014 Jan 23;370(4):334-40. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1308663. Epub 2014 Jan 8.


Estimating initial epidemic growth rates.

Ma J, Dushoff J, Bolker BM, Earn DJ.

Bull Math Biol. 2014 Jan;76(1):245-60. doi: 10.1007/s11538-013-9918-2. Epub 2013 Nov 23.


Patterns of spread of influenza A in Canada.

He D, Dushoff J, Eftimie R, Earn DJ.

Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Sep 11;280(1770):20131174. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1174. Print 2013 Nov 7.


Age-specific mortality during the 1918 influenza pandemic: unravelling the mystery of high young adult mortality.

Gagnon A, Miller MS, Hallman SA, Bourbeau R, Herring DA, Earn DJ, Madrenas J.

PLoS One. 2013 Aug 5;8(8):e69586. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0069586. Print 2013.


Inferring the causes of the three waves of the 1918 influenza pandemic in England and Wales.

He D, Dushoff J, Day T, Ma J, Earn DJ.

Proc Biol Sci. 2013 Sep 7;280(1766):20131345. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2013.1345. Print 2013 Sep 7.


Effects of the infectious period distribution on predicted transitions in childhood disease dynamics.

Krylova O, Earn DJ.

J R Soc Interface. 2013 May 15;10(84):20130098. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2013.0098. Print 2013 Jul 6.

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