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Rev Salud Publica (Bogota). 2013 Jul-Aug;15(4):689-700.

[Modelling respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission children aged less than five years-old].

[Article in Spanish]

Author information

1
Secretaría de Salud Distrital Bogotá, Colombia.
2
Grupo de Matemática Multidisciplinar (GMM), Universidad de los Andes, Mérida, Venezuela.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES:

Studying respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) transmission dynamics in a population of children aged less than 5 years-old using deterministic models.

METHOD:

A deterministic susceptible-infected-removed(SIR) mathematical model with seasonal forcing was used for the simulation.

RESULTS:

A mathematical epidemiological model (SIRS) with seasonal forcing was proposed which explained RSV dynamics between 2005 and 2010 in a population of children aged less than five years-old in Bogotá.

CONCLUSIONS:

The mathematical model (SIRS) with seasonal forcing explained the cyclical pattern of cases of children aged less than five years old infected with RSV in Bogotá, Colombia during the target period.

PMID:
25124134
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
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