Format

Send to

Choose Destination
Eur J Epidemiol. 1994 Aug;10(4):471-4.

A mathematical model for the European spread of influenza.

Author information

1
Faculté de Médecine Saint-Antoine, Paris, France.

Abstract

Following a study modelling the geographical spread of influenza in France, on the basis of population movements through the use of railroad data, we applied the same methodology on a European scale. We simulated an epidemic within a network of 9 European cities (Amsterdam, Berlin, Budapest, Copenhagen, London, Madrid, Milano, Paris, Stockholm), only taking into account regular between-cities air transport. Transportation data were obtained from the International Civil Aviation Organization (1991). The theoretical results show that the time lag for action is probably short (less than one month) after the first detection of an epidemic focus.

PMID:
7843359
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

Supplemental Content

Loading ...
Support Center