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Physician's use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

Abstract

This study reports on physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.

PMID:
6457103
DOI:
10.1037//0096-1523.7.4.928
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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