Format

Send to

Choose Destination
J Theor Biol. 1985 Jan 21;112(2):403-27.

Nearly one dimensional dynamics in an epidemic.

Abstract

The incidence of measles in New York City and Baltimore was studied using recently developed techniques in nonlinear dynamics. The data, monthly case reports for the years 1928-1963, suggest almost two dimensional, chaotic flows whose essential attributes are captured by one dimensional, unimodal maps. The effects of noise, inevitable in ecological and epidemiological systems are discussed.

PMID:
3982045
DOI:
10.1016/s0022-5193(85)80294-0
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

Supplemental Content

Full text links

Icon for Elsevier Science
Loading ...
Support Center