Histogram-Based Densitometry Index to Assess the Severity of Interstitial Lung Disease in Systemic Sclerosis in Standard and Low-Dose Computed Tomography

Objective: Mean lung attenuation, skewness, and kurtosis are histogram-based densitometry variables that quantify systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) and were recently merged into a computerized integrated index (CII). Our work tested the CII in low-dose 9-slice (reduced) and standard high-resolution computed tomography (CT) scans to evaluate extensive SSc-ILD and predict mortality.

Methods: CT scans from patients with SSc-ILD were assessed using the software Horos to compute standard and reduced CIIs. Extensive ILD was determined following the Goh staging system. The association between CIIs and extensive ILD was analyzed with a generalized estimating equation regression model, the predictive ability of CIIs by the area under the receiver-operation characteristic curve (AUC), and the association between CIIs and death by Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Results: Among 243 patients with standard and reduced CT scans available, 157 CT scans from 119 patients with SSc-ILD constituted the derivation cohort. The validation cohort included 116 standard and 175 reduced CT scans. Both CIIs from standard (odds ratio [OR] 0.53, 95% CI 0.37-0.75; AUC 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.87) and reduced CT scans (OR 0.54, 95% CI 0.35-0.82; AUC 0.78, 95% CI 0.70-0.87) were significantly associated with extensive ILD. A threshold of CII ≤ -0.96 for standard CT scans and CII ≤ -1.85 for reduced CT scans detected extensive ILD with high sensitivity in both derivation and validation cohorts. Extensive ILD according to Goh staging (OR 2.94, 95% CI 1.10-7.82) and standard CII ≤ -0.96 (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.24-2.56) significantly predicted mortality; a marginal P value was observed for reduced CII ≤ -1.85 (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.93-1.75).

Conclusion: Thresholds for both standard and reduced CII to identify extensive ILD were developed and validated, with an additional association with mortality. CIIs might help in clinical practice when radiology expertise is missing.