Optimal Size Threshold for MRI-Detected Retropharyngeal Lymph Nodes to Predict Outcomes in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Two-Center Study

BACKGROUND. Retropharyngeal lymph node (RLN) metastases have profound prognostic implications in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the AJCC staging system does not specify a size threshold for determining RLN involvement, resulting in inconsistent thresholds in practice. OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this article was to determine the optimal size threshold for determining the presence of metastatic RLNs on MRI in patients with NPC, in terms of outcome predictions. METHODS. This retrospective study included 1752 patients (median age, 46 years; 1297 men, 455 women) with NPC treated by intensity-modulated radiotherapy (RT) from January 2010 to March 2014 from two hospitals; 438 patients underwent MRI 3-4 months after treatment. Two radiologists measured the minimal axial diameter (MAD) of the largest RLN for each patient using a consensus process. A third radiologist measured MAD in 260 randomly selected patients to assess interobserver agreement. Initial ROC and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were used to derive an optimal MAD threshold for predicting progression-free survival (PFS). The threshold's predictive utility was assessed in multivariable Cox regression analyses, controlling for standard clinical predictors. The threshold's utility for predicting PFS and overall survival (OS) was compared with a 5-mm threshold using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. RESULTS. The intraclass correlation coefficient for MAD was 0.943. ROC and RCS analyses yielded an optimal threshold of 6 mm. In multivariable analyses, MAD of 6 mm and greater independently predicted PFS in all patients (HR = 1.35, p = .02), patients with N0 or N1 disease (HR = 1.80, p = .008), and patients who underwent posttreatment MRI (HR = 1.68, p = .04). In patients with N1 disease without cervical lymph node involvement, 5-year PFS was worse for MAD greater than or equal to 6 mm than for MAD that was greater than or equal to 5 mm but less than 6 mm (77.2% vs 89.7%, p = .03). OS was significantly different in patients with stage I and stage II disease defined using a 6-mm threshold (p = .04), but not using a 5-mm threshold (p = .09). The 5-year PFS rate was associated with a post-RT MAD of 6 mm and greater (HR = 1.68, p = .04) but not a post-RT MAD greater than or equal to 5 mm (HR = 1.09, p = .71). CONCLUSION. The findings support a threshold MAD of 6 mm for determining RLN involvement in patients with NPC. CLINICAL IMPACT. Future AJCC staging updates should consider incorporation of the 6-mm threshold for N-category and tumor-stage determinations.