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Acta Otolaryngol. 1988 Jul-Aug;106(1-2):94-101.

The Bayesian approach to the evaluation of risk factors in acute and recurrent acute otitis media.

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Department of Clinical Sciences, University of Tampere, Finland.


A multivariant modelling method was used to analyse the risk, associated with 22 different factors, of contracting acute otitis media (AOM) in a prospective cohort of 1294 urban children followed up to the age of 17-32 (mean 25) months. By far the most important risk factor was the caring of the child at a day-care centre. The importance of this factor further increased with increasing recurrence of the attacks. Next in order came the existence of sibling(s) with AOM attacks during the follow-up. Prolongation of breastfeeding increased the protection against AOM during the first year of life. The frequency of AOM attacks was lowest around midsummer and highest in early winter.

[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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