Send to

Choose Destination
J Public Health Dent. 1988 Fall;48(4):225-32.

The University of North Carolina Caries Risk Assessment Study. I: Rationale and content.

Author information

Department of Dental Ecology, School of Dentistry, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill 27514.


This article presents the rationale and content of a current study that seeks to improve methods to identify children at high risk to dental caries. It summarizes the results of the development of a 12-factor, preliminary caries prediction model based on data derived from the National Preventive Demonstration Program. Despite data limitations, the model produced a sensitivity of .5 and specificity of .8 for four-year caries increment prediction in first- and fifth-grade children. Data on a number of additional potential predictors are being collected in two sites to expand and improve the existing model. These factors are identified.

[Indexed for MEDLINE]

Supplemental Content

Full text links

Icon for Wiley
Loading ...
Support Center