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Rev Esp Cardiol (Engl Ed). 2018 Nov 23. pii: S1885-5857(18)30440-7. doi: 10.1016/j.rec.2018.10.010. [Epub ahead of print]

Excess Weight in Spain: Current Situation, Projections for 2030, and Estimated Direct Extra Cost for the Spanish Health System.

[Article in English, Spanish]

Author information

1
Grupo de Investigación en Riesgo Cardiovascular, Nutrición y Envejecimiento, Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Blanquerna, Universitat Ramón Llull, Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Fisiopatología de la Obesidad y Nutrición (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
2
Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud Blanquerna, Universitat Ramón Llull, Barcelona, Spain; Grupo de Investigación en Riesgo Cardiovascular y Nutrición-REGICOR, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain; Programa de Doctorado en Alimentación y Nutrición, Facultat de Farmàcia, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
3
Grupo de investigación REGICOR, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Enfermedades Cardiovasculares (CIBERCV), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
4
CIBER de Fisiopatología de la Obesidad y Nutrición (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Grupo de Investigación en Riesgo Cardiovascular y Nutrición-REGICOR, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain; Servicio de Endocrinología, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain; Departamento de Medicina, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
5
Grupo de investigación REGICOR, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
6
CIBER de Enfermedades Cardiovasculares (CIBERCV), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Unidad de Lípidos y Arteriosclerosis, Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario Miguel Servet, IIS Aragón, Universidad de Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
7
CIBER de Fisiopatología de la Obesidad y Nutrición (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; Departamento de Bioquímica y Biomedicina Molecular, Institut de Biomedicina IBUB, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
8
Grupo de investigación REGICOR, Institut Hospital del Mar d'Investigacions Mèdiques (IMIM), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER de Enfermedades Cardiovasculares (CIBERCV), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: jmarrugat@imim.es.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES:

Excess weight promotes the development of several chronic diseases and decreases quality of life. Its prevalence is increasing globally. Our aim was to estimate the trend in excess weight between 1987 and 2014 in Spanish adults, calculate cases of excess weight and its direct extra costs in 2006 and 2016, and project its trend to 2030.

METHODS:

We selected 47 articles in a systematic literature search to determine the progression of the prevalence of overweight, nonmorbid obesity, and morbid obesity and average body mass index between 1987 and 2014. We projected the expected number of cases in 2006, 2016, and 2030 and the associated direct extra medical costs.

RESULTS:

Between 1987 and 2014, the prevalence of overweight, obesity, and morbid obesity increased by 0.28%/y (P=.004), 0.50%/y (P <.001) and 0.030%/y (P=.006) in men, and by 0.10%/y (P=.123), 0.25%/y (P=.078), and 0.042%/y (P=.251) in women. The mean body mass index increased by 0.10 kg/m2/y in men (P <.001) and 0.26 kg/m2/y in women (significantly only between 1987 and 2002, P <.001). We estimated 23 500 000 patients with excess weight in 2016, generating 1.95 billion €/y in direct extra medical costs. If the current trend continues, between 2016 and 2030, there will be 3 100 000 new cases of excess weight, leading to 3.0 billion €/y of direct extra medical costs in 2030.

CONCLUSIONS:

Excess weight in Spanish adults has risen since the creation of population registries, generating direct extra medical costs that represent 2% of the 2016 health budget. If this trend continues, we expect 16% more cases in 2030 and 58% more direct extra medical costs.

KEYWORDS:

Medical extra costs; Morbid obesity; Obesidad; Obesidad mórbida; Obesity; Overweight; Previsión; Projection; Revisión bibliográfica sistemática; Sobrecostes médicos; Sobrepeso; Systematic literature search

PMID:
30473259
DOI:
10.1016/j.rec.2018.10.010

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