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Br J Anaesth. 2017 Oct 1;119(4):626-636. doi: 10.1093/bja/aex234.

Epidemiology of sepsis and septic shock in critical care units: comparison between sepsis-2 and sepsis-3 populations using a national critical care database.

Author information

1
Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, ICU Support Offices, 1st Floor, East Wing, St Thomas' Hospital, SE1 7EH, UK.
2
Division of Immunology, Infection and Inflammatory Diseases, Kings College London, SE1 9RT, UK.
3
Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre, Napier House, 24 High Holborn, London WC1V 6AZ, UK.
4
Interdepartmental Division of Critical Care Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, 2075 Bayview Avenue, D5?03, Toronto, Ontario M4N 3M5, Canada.

Abstract

Background:

New sepsis and septic shock definitions could change the epidemiology of sepsis because of differences in criteria. We therefore compared the sepsis populations identified by the old and new definitions.

Methods:

We used a high-quality, national, intensive care unit (ICU) database of 654 918 consecutive admissions to 189 adult ICUs in England, from January 2011 to December 2015. Primary outcome was acute hospital mortality. We compared old (Sepsis-2) and new (Sepsis-3) incidence, outcomes, trends in outcomes, and predictive validity of sepsis and septic shock populations.

Results:

From among 197 724 Sepsis-2 severe sepsis and 197 142 Sepsis-3 sepsis cases, we identified 153 257 Sepsis-2 septic shock and 39 262 Sepsis-3 septic shock cases. The extrapolated population incidence of Sepsis-3 sepsis and Sepsis-3 septic shock was 101.8 and 19.3 per 100 000 person-years, respectively, in 2015. Sepsis-2 severe sepsis and Sepsis-3 sepsis had similar incidence, similar mortality and showed significant risk-adjusted improvements in mortality over time. Sepsis-3 septic shock had a much higher Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, greater mortality and no risk-adjusted trends in mortality improvement compared with Sepsis-2 septic shock. ICU admissions identified either as Sepsis-3 sepsis or septic shock and as Sepsis-2 severe sepsis or septic shock had significantly greater risk-adjusted odds of death compared with non-sepsis admissions (P<0.001). The predictive validity was greatest for Sepsis-3 septic shock.

Conclusions:

In an ICU database, compared with Sepsis-2, Sepsis-3 identifies a similar sepsis population with 92% overlap and much smaller septic shock population with improved predictive validity.

KEYWORDS:

epidemiology; intensive care; outcomes; sepsis; septic shock

PMID:
29121281
DOI:
10.1093/bja/aex234
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
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