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PLoS Biol. 2017 Mar 10;15(3):e2001307. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2001307. eCollection 2017 Mar.

Increasing efficiency of preclinical research by group sequential designs.

Author information

1
Department of Biostatistics and Clinical Epidemiology, Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
2
Center for Stroke Research, Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
3
NeuroCure Clinical Research Center, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
4
Department of Experimental Neurology, Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
5
Bio-health Informatics Group, School of Computer Science, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
6
Centre for Health Informatics, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia.
7
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
8
Center for Transforming Biomedical Research, Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany.
9
Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS), and Departments of Medicine, of Health Research and Policy, and of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States of America.
10
STREAM Research Group, Biomedical Ethics Unit, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
11
German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Berlin Site, Berlin, Germany.
12
German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK), Berlin site, Berlin, Germany.

Abstract

Despite the potential benefits of sequential designs, studies evaluating treatments or experimental manipulations in preclinical experimental biomedicine almost exclusively use classical block designs. Our aim with this article is to bring the existing methodology of group sequential designs to the attention of researchers in the preclinical field and to clearly illustrate its potential utility. Group sequential designs can offer higher efficiency than traditional methods and are increasingly used in clinical trials. Using simulation of data, we demonstrate that group sequential designs have the potential to improve the efficiency of experimental studies, even when sample sizes are very small, as is currently prevalent in preclinical experimental biomedicine. When simulating data with a large effect size of d = 1 and a sample size of n = 18 per group, sequential frequentist analysis consumes in the long run only around 80% of the planned number of experimental units. In larger trials (n = 36 per group), additional stopping rules for futility lead to the saving of resources of up to 30% compared to block designs. We argue that these savings should be invested to increase sample sizes and hence power, since the currently underpowered experiments in preclinical biomedicine are a major threat to the value and predictiveness in this research domain.

PMID:
28282371
PMCID:
PMC5345756
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pbio.2001307
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article

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