Association of Baseline Viral Serology and Sirolimus Regimens With Kidney Transplant Outcomes: A 14-Year Registry-Based Cohort Study in the United States

Transplantation. 2017 Feb;101(2):377-386. doi: 10.1097/TP.0000000000001520.

Abstract

Background: The risks for transplant outcomes associated with baseline viral serostatus in kidney transplant recipients (KTR) on sirolimus have not been widely studied.

Methods: We performed a cohort-study of 61 590 adult KTR in 2000 to 2013. We used Cox regression models to determine the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of patient death, death-censored graft loss and posttransplant malignancy associated with the baseline serostatus (+ or -: hepatitis B core [HBc], hepatitis C virus [HCV], Epstein-Barr virus [EBV], or cytomegalovirus [CMV]) in KTR on sirolimus (SRL) + mycophenolate (MPA) or SRL + tacrolimus (Tac), relative to the control-regimen: Tac + MPA.

Results: Compared with Tac + MPA, SRL + MPA, and SRL + Tac were associated with higher risks of 5-year mortality (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.23-1.60 and aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.38-1.83, respectively) and death-censored graft loss (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.24-1.60 and aHR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.21-1.57, respectively). In KTR with negative pretransplant EBV, CMV, HBc, or HCV serostatus, SRL + MPA not SRL + Tac was associated with a lower risk of posttransplant malignancy compared with control (aHR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.72; aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.43-0.88; aHR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.64-0.97; and aHR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.65-0.98, respectively, for SRL + MPA and aHR, 0.98: 95% CI, 0.52-1.80; aHR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.46-1.06; aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.66-1.06 and aHR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.67-1.07, respectively, for SRL + Tac). In KTR with positive serostatus to any of the above viruses, SRL + MPA or SRL + Tac was not associated with a different malignancy risk compared with control.

Conclusions: Compared with Tac + MPA, SRL regimens were associated with higher risks for patient death and graft loss, although SRL + MPA was associated with a lower risk for posttransplant malignancy in kidney allograft recipients with negative pretransplant HBc, HCV, EBV, or CMV serology.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Allografts
  • Antibodies, Viral / blood*
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Cytomegalovirus Infections / blood
  • Cytomegalovirus Infections / diagnosis
  • Cytomegalovirus Infections / immunology*
  • Cytomegalovirus Infections / mortality
  • Drug Therapy, Combination
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections / blood
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections / diagnosis
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections / immunology*
  • Epstein-Barr Virus Infections / mortality
  • Female
  • Graft Survival / drug effects
  • Hepatitis B / blood
  • Hepatitis B / diagnosis
  • Hepatitis B / immunology*
  • Hepatitis B / mortality
  • Hepatitis C / blood
  • Hepatitis C / diagnosis
  • Hepatitis C / immunology*
  • Hepatitis C / mortality
  • Humans
  • Immunocompromised Host
  • Immunosuppressive Agents / adverse effects
  • Immunosuppressive Agents / therapeutic use*
  • Kidney Transplantation* / adverse effects
  • Kidney Transplantation* / mortality
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasms / etiology
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Registries
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Serologic Tests
  • Sirolimus / adverse effects
  • Sirolimus / therapeutic use*
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • United States

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral
  • Biomarkers
  • Immunosuppressive Agents
  • Sirolimus