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Int J Epidemiol. 2017 Apr 1;46(2):746-755. doi: 10.1093/ije/dyw320.

An introduction to multiplicity issues in clinical trials: the what, why, when and how.

Author information

1
Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics.
2
St Joseph's Healthcare Hamilton, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
3
Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
4
Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
5
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands.
6
Department of Epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, Eindhoven, The Netherlands.
7
Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
8
Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada and.
9
Population Health Research Institute, Hamilton Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.

Abstract

In clinical trials it is not uncommon to face a multiple testing problem which can have an impact on both type I and type II error rates, leading to inappropriate interpretation of trial results. Multiplicity issues may need to be considered at the design, analysis and interpretation stages of a trial. The proportion of trial reports not adequately correcting for multiple testing remains substantial. The purpose of this article is to provide an introduction to multiple testing issues in clinical trials, and to reduce confusion around the need for multiplicity adjustments. We use a tutorial, question-and-answer approach to address the key issues of why, when and how to consider multiplicity adjustments in trials. We summarize the relevant circumstances under which multiplicity adjustments ought to be considered, as well as options for carrying out multiplicity adjustments in terms of trial design factors including Population, Intervention/Comparison, Outcome, Time frame and Analysis (PICOTA). Results are presented in an easy-to-use table and flow diagrams. Confusion about multiplicity issues can be reduced or avoided by considering the potential impact of multiplicity on type I and II errors and, if necessary pre-specifying statistical approaches to either avoid or adjust for multiplicity in the trial protocol or analysis plan.

KEYWORDS:

Multiplicity adjustment; experiment-wise error rate; trial; type I error

PMID:
28025257
DOI:
10.1093/ije/dyw320
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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