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Trends Parasitol. 2016 Aug;32(8):635-645. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2016.05.001. Epub 2016 May 26.

Mapping Malaria Risk in Low Transmission Settings: Challenges and Opportunities.

Author information

1
Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA. Electronic address: Hugh.Sturrock@ucsf.edu.
2
Global Health Group, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
3
Oxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
4
Division of HIV, ID, and Global Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Abstract

As malaria transmission declines, it becomes increasingly focal and prone to outbreaks. Understanding and predicting patterns of transmission risk becomes an important component of an effective elimination campaign, allowing limited resources for control and elimination to be targeted cost-effectively. Malaria risk mapping in low transmission settings is associated with some unique challenges. This article reviews the main challenges and opportunities related to risk mapping in low transmission areas including recent advancements in risk mapping low transmission malaria, relevant metrics, and statistical approaches and risk mapping in post-elimination settings.

PMID:
27238200
DOI:
10.1016/j.pt.2016.05.001
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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