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Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2015 Mar;107(3):424-32. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2014.09.059. Epub 2014 Oct 8.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus incidence in Chinese: contributions of overweight and obesity.

Author information

1
Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, China; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
2
Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, China; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China; Department of Food and Environment, School of Public Health, Qiqihar Medical University, Qiqihar, China.
3
Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital and Cardiovascular Institute, Guangzhou, China.
4
Sichuan Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu, China.
5
Yuxian People's Hospital, Yuxian, China.
6
Fujian Provincial People's Hospital, Fuzhou, China.
7
Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, China; Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China. Electronic address: gudongfeng@vip.sina.com.

Abstract

AIMS:

To estimate the incidence of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and the number of those with T2DM attributable to overweight and obesity in China.

METHODS:

We conducted a prospective cohort study among 15680 participants (46.4%, men) aged 35-74 years. The mean duration of follow-up was 8.0 years. We examined the relationship between overweight, obesity and risk of T2DM by Cox proportional hazards models. Population attributable risk (PAR) of overweight and obesity was also calculated. Moreover, we estimated the number of T2DM events attributed to overweight and obesity using PAR, incidence of T2DM and the population size of China in 2010.

RESULTS:

During a mean follow-up of 8.0 years, the age-standardized incidence of T2DM was 9.5 per 1000 person-years in men and 9.2 in women. Overweight accounted for 28.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 20.1, 36.2) of incident T2DM among men and 31.3% (95% CI: 25.5, 36.9) among women. The corresponding PAR of obesity was 10.1% (95% CI: 6.0, 14.2) among men and 16.8% (95% CI: 12.0, 21.6) among women. Approximately 3.32 million (95% CI: 2.47, 4.24) incident T2DM were attributable to overweight and obesity in Chinese adults who were 35 to 74 years in 2010.

CONCLUSION:

Our results indicate that incident T2DM is mainly attributable to overweight and obesity in China. It is extremely important to advocate healthy lifestyle and prevent excessive weight gain for reducing T2DM burden in China.

KEYWORDS:

Obesity body mass index; Overweight; Population attributable risk; Type 2 diabetes mellitus

PMID:
25649908
DOI:
10.1016/j.diabres.2014.09.059
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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