Simulations to evaluate a method to distinguish introgression from shared ancestral variation. (
A–C) Combined models were made up of 9,000 sequence windows simulated under the Background topology (brown outline) and 1,000 windows simulated under an Alternate topology (colored line). Three distinct evolutionary scenarios were simulated by varying the split times
t12,
t23,
tGF, and
tSTR; (
A,
E,
I) Gene flow from P
2 to P
3, (
B,
F,
J) gene flow from P
3 to P
2, (
C,
G,
K) ancestral structure. (
D,
H,
L) Null models were made up of 10,000 sequences simulated under the background topology only. (
E–L) Example data from a single simulated data set for each of the four types of models. Split times (in units of 4
N generations) were as follows:
t12 = 0.6 in all four cases,
t23 = 0.8 in all four cases,
tGF = 0.4 in both gene flow models and
tSTR = 1.0. Points show mean and standard deviation for P
2–P
3 dXY calculated over subsets of trees: Simulated Background and Alternate trees (brown and colored points) or nonoutliers and outliers (gray and black points) identified using the
D and

statistics. A significant reduction in P
2–P
3 dXY for the Alternate compared with Background windows, or for outliers compared with nonoutliers, is indicated by astrices. (
E–H) Results of simulations with a population recombination rate (4Nr) of 0.01. (
I–L) Results for the same models, but with a population recombination rate (4Nr) of 0.001.