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Nature. 2013 Dec 5;504(7478):44-52. doi: 10.1038/nature12855.

Coastal flooding by tropical cyclones and sea-level rise.

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Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts 01003, USA.


The future impacts of climate change on landfalling tropical cyclones are unclear. Regardless of this uncertainty, flooding by tropical cyclones will increase as a result of accelerated sea-level rise. Under similar rates of rapid sea-level rise during the early Holocene epoch most low-lying sedimentary coastlines were generally much less resilient to storm impacts. Society must learn to live with a rapidly evolving shoreline that is increasingly prone to flooding from tropical cyclones. These impacts can be mitigated partly with adaptive strategies, which include careful stewardship of sediments and reductions in human-induced land subsidence.

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