Resistance to protease inhibitors in a model of HIV-1 infection with impulsive drug effects

Bull Math Biol. 2014 Jan;76(1):59-97. doi: 10.1007/s11538-013-9903-9. Epub 2013 Nov 5.

Abstract

Background: The emergence of drug resistance is one of the most prevalent reasons for treatment failure in HIV therapy. This has severe implications for the cost of treatment, survival and quality of life.

Methods: We use mathematical modelling to describe the interaction between T cells, HIV-1 and protease inhibitors. We use impulsive differential equations to examine the effects of different levels of protease inhibitors in a T cell. We classify three different regimes according to whether the drug efficacy is low, intermediate or high. The model includes two strains: the wild-type strain, which initially dominates in the absence of drugs, and the mutant strain, which is the less efficient competitor, but has more resistance to the drugs.

Results: Drug regimes may take trajectories through one, two or all three regimes, depending on the dosage and the dosing schedule. Stability analysis shows that resistance does not emerge at low drug levels. At intermediate drug levels, drug resistance is guaranteed to emerge. At high drug levels, either the drug-resistant strain will dominate or, in the absence of longer-lived reservoirs of infected cells, a region exists where viral elimination could theoretically occur. We provide estimates of a range of dosages and dosing schedules where the trajectories lie either solely within a region or cross multiple regions.

Conclusion: Under specific circumstances, if the drug level is physiologically tolerable, elimination of free virus is theoretically possible. This forms the basis for theoretical control using combination therapy and for understanding the effects of partial adherence.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes / drug effects
  • CD4-Positive T-Lymphocytes / virology
  • Computer Simulation
  • Dose-Response Relationship, Drug
  • Drug Resistance, Viral / genetics
  • HIV Infections / drug therapy*
  • HIV Infections / immunology
  • HIV Infections / virology
  • HIV Protease Inhibitors / administration & dosage
  • HIV Protease Inhibitors / pharmacology*
  • HIV-1* / drug effects
  • HIV-1* / genetics
  • Humans
  • Lymphocyte Count
  • Mathematical Concepts
  • Models, Biological*
  • Mutation

Substances

  • HIV Protease Inhibitors