Send to

Choose Destination
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2013 Nov;89(5):840-9. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.13-0028. Epub 2013 Sep 23.

Mapping malaria transmission intensity in Malawi, 2000-2010.

Author information

Center for Applied Malaria Research and Evaluation, Department of Global Health Systems and Development, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana; Department of Statistics, University of Namibia, Windhoek, Namibia; Malaria Alert Centre, Malawi College of Medicine, Blantyre, Malawi; Malaria Public Health Department, Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust-University of Oxford Collaborative Programme, Nairobi, Kenya; National Malaria Control Programme, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi; Centre for Tropical Medicine, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.


Substantial development assistance has been directed towards reducing the high malaria burden in Malawi over the past decade. We assessed changes in transmission over this period of malaria control scale-up by compiling community Plasmodium falciparum rate (PfPR) data during 2000-2011 and used model-based geostatistical methods to predict mean PfPR2-10 in 2000, 2005, and 2010. In addition, we calculated population-adjusted prevalences and populations at risk by district to inform malaria control program priority setting. The national population-adjusted PfPR2-10 was 37% in 2010, and we found no evidence of change over this period of scale-up. The entire population of Malawi is under meso-endemic transmission risk, with those in districts along the shore of Lake Malawi and Shire River Valley under highest risk. The lack of change in prevalence confirms modeling predictions that when compared with lower transmission, prevalence reductions in high transmission settings require greater investment and longer time scales.

[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article

Supplemental Content

Full text links

Icon for Ingenta plc Icon for PubMed Central
Loading ...
Support Center