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Popul Stud (Camb). 2013 Jul;67(2):185-93. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2012.754486. Epub 2013 Jan 23.

Mortality from the influenza pandemic of 1918-19 in Indonesia.

Author information

1
Asian Studies Center,301InternationalCenter, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA. chandr45@msu.edu

Abstract

The influenza pandemic of 1918-19 was the single most lethal short-term epidemic of the twentieth century. For Indonesia, the world's fourth most populous country, the most widely used estimate of mortality from that pandemic is 1.5 million. We estimated mortality from the influenza pandemic in Java and Madura, home to the majority of Indonesia's population, using panel data methods and data from multiple quinquennial population counts and two decennial censuses. The new estimates suggest that, for Java alone, population loss was in the range of 4.26-4.37 million, or more than twice the established estimate for mortality for all of Indonesia. We conclude that the standing estimates of mortality from influenza in Java and Indonesia need to be revised upward significantly. We also present new findings on geographic patterns of population loss across Java, and pre-pandemic and post-pandemic population growth rates.

PMID:
23339482
PMCID:
PMC3687026
DOI:
10.1080/00324728.2012.754486
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article

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