Format

Send to

Choose Destination
See comment in PubMed Commons below
BMC Public Health. 2013 Jan 2;13:1. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-1.

A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia.

Author information

1
Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. sam.norton@kcl.ac.uk

Abstract

BACKGROUND:

Population ageing over the first half of this century is likely to lead to dramatic increases in the prevalence of dementia. This will affect all regions of the world, but particularly developing regions. Dementia projections have been used extensively to support policy. It is therefore important these projections are as accurate as possible.

DISCUSSION:

In this paper we provide a commentary on studies projecting the future prevalence of dementia for the world or for individual continents. We identify some important limitations of the methods used in published projections and provide recommendations to improve the accuracy of future projections, and allow for the checking of the accuracy of the predictions.

SUMMARY:

Accurate projections of dementia incidence, at both the global and local level, are essential for healthcare planners.

PMID:
23280303
PMCID:
PMC3547813
DOI:
10.1186/1471-2458-13-1
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article
PubMed Commons home

PubMed Commons

0 comments
How to join PubMed Commons

    Supplemental Content

    Full text links

    Icon for BioMed Central Icon for PubMed Central
    Loading ...
    Support Center