Derivation of freshwater quality criteria for zinc using interspecies correlation estimation models to protect aquatic life in China

Species sensitivity distributions (SSDs) are usually used in the development of water quality criteria and require a large number of toxicity values to define a hazard level to protect the majority of species. However, some toxicity data for certain chemicals are limited, especially for endangered and threatened species. Thus, it is important to predict the unknown species toxicity data using available toxicity data. To address this need, interspecies correlation estimation (ICE) models were developed by US EPA to predict acute toxicity of chemicals to diverse species based on a more limited data set of surrogate species toxicity data. Use of SSDs generated from ICE models allows for the prediction of protective water quality criteria, such as the HC5 (hazard concentration, 5th percentile). In the present study, we tested this concept using toxicity data collected for zinc. ICE-based-SSDs were generated using three surrogate species (common carp (Cyprinus carpio), rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss), and Daphnia magna) and compared with the measured-based SSD and corresponding HC5. The results showed that no significant differences were observed between the ICE- and the measured-based SSDs and HC5s. Furthermore, the examination of species placements within the SSDs indicated that the most sensitive species to zinc were invertebrates, especially crustaceans. Given the similarity of SSD and HC5s for zinc, the use of ICE to derive potential water quality criteria for diverse chemicals in China is proposed. Further, a combination of measured and ICE-derived data will prove useful for assessing water quality and chemical risks in the near future.