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Int J Infect Dis. 2012 Aug;16(8):e597-602. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2012.03.012. Epub 2012 Jun 1.

Analysis of variables and interactions among variables associated with a sustained virological response to pegylated interferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin in hepatitis C virus genotype 3-infected patients.

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Diagnostic Department, Nuclear Medicine Oncology and Radiotherapy Institute, Hanna Road, Islamabad, 44000 Pakistan.



The recommended standard therapeutic regimen for chronic hepatitis patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 3 is pegylated interferon plus ribavirin for 24 weeks. The aim of the present study was to evaluate treatment efficacy and variables predictive of treatment success, interactions among variables contributing to a response to therapy, and the utility of the rapid virological response (RVR; week 4 virological response) to predict treatment outcomes in HCV genotype 3-infected patients in routine clinical practice.


We prospectively studied baseline and during-treatment factors associated with a sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV genotype 3-infected patients who received pegylated interferon alfa-2a (PEG-IFN α2a) 180 μg/week plus ribavirin 800 mg daily for 24 weeks and who were followed for 24 weeks after the completion of treatment.


Four hundred and twenty-six treated patients were included in the analysis; 320 (75.1%) showed an SVR. The following factors were assessed for their ability to predict SVR by means of univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis: patient age, sex, pre-treatment viral load, pre-treatment alanine aminotransferase (ALT), body mass index (BMI), and RVR. Four factors - age, pre-treatment viral load, pre-treatment ALT, and RVR - were statistically significant predictors of SVR (p<0.05) in the univariable analysis. Factors showing a significant association with SVR were assessed by multivariable logistic regression analysis. In the multivariable analysis, independent factors associated with SVR were the attainment of RVR (odds ratio (OR) 11, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.15-20.69; p<0.0001), patient age ≤40 years (OR 4.2, 95% CI 2.30-7.96, p<0.0001), and a low pre-treatment viral load (≤8 × 10(5) IU/ml; OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.87-6.25; p<0.0001). The effect of RVR in patients aged >40 years was more pronounced than in those aged ≤40 years: 81.1% of patients aged >40 years who achieved an RVR had an SVR, whereas only 7.5% of patients aged >40 years who did not achieve an RVR had an SVR (p<0.05).


RVR is an independent variable that is predictive of SVR. Moreover older patients (>40 years) who achieve an RVR are likely to have an SVR, while patients who do not achieve an RVR and who have a high pre-treatment viral load (>8 × 10(5) IU/ml) are unlikely to have an SVR.

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