Format

Send to

Choose Destination
See comment in PubMed Commons below
PLoS One. 2011 Apr 18;6(4):e18491. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018491.

A quantitative model of honey bee colony population dynamics.

Author information

1
School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

Abstract

Since 2006 the rate of honey bee colony failure has increased significantly. As an aid to testing hypotheses for the causes of colony failure we have developed a compartment model of honey bee colony population dynamics to explore the impact of different death rates of forager bees on colony growth and development. The model predicts a critical threshold forager death rate beneath which colonies regulate a stable population size. If death rates are sustained higher than this threshold rapid population decline is predicted and colony failure is inevitable. The model also predicts that high forager death rates draw hive bees into the foraging population at much younger ages than normal, which acts to accelerate colony failure. The model suggests that colony failure can be understood in terms of observed principles of honey bee population dynamics, and provides a theoretical framework for experimental investigation of the problem.

PMID:
21533156
PMCID:
PMC3078911
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0018491
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article
PubMed Commons home

PubMed Commons

0 comments
How to join PubMed Commons

    Supplemental Content

    Full text links

    Icon for Public Library of Science Icon for PubMed Central
    Loading ...
    Support Center