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PLoS One. 2011 Mar 30;6(3):e17680. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0017680.

Collective response of human populations to large-scale emergencies.

Author information

1
Center for Complex Network Research, Department of Physics, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America. bagrowjp@gmail.com

Abstract

Despite recent advances in uncovering the quantitative features of stationary human activity patterns, many applications, from pandemic prediction to emergency response, require an understanding of how these patterns change when the population encounters unfamiliar conditions. To explore societal response to external perturbations we identified real-time changes in communication and mobility patterns in the vicinity of eight emergencies, such as bomb attacks and earthquakes, comparing these with eight non-emergencies, like concerts and sporting events. We find that communication spikes accompanying emergencies are both spatially and temporally localized, but information about emergencies spreads globally, resulting in communication avalanches that engage in a significant manner the social network of eyewitnesses. These results offer a quantitative view of behavioral changes in human activity under extreme conditions, with potential long-term impact on emergency detection and response.

PMID:
21479206
PMCID:
PMC3068136
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0017680
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
Free PMC Article

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