Clinical prediction score for nasal CPAP failure in pre-term VLBW neonates with early onset respiratory distress

J Trop Pediatr. 2011 Aug;57(4):274-9. doi: 10.1093/tropej/fmq047. Epub 2010 Jun 16.

Abstract

We prospectively observed 62 pre-term very low birth weight neonates initiated on nasal continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) for respiratory distress in the first 24 h of life to devise a clinical score for predicting its failure. CPAP was administered using short binasal prongs with conventional ventilators. On multivariate analysis, we found three variables-gestation <28 weeks [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 6.5; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-28.3], pre-term premature rupture of membranes [adjusted OR 5.3; CI 1.2-24.5], and product of CPAP pressure and fraction of inspired oxygen ≥1.28 at initiation to maintain saturation between 88% and 93% [adjusted OR 3.9; CI 1.0-15.5] to be independently predictive of failure. A prediction model was devised using weighted scores of these three variables and lack of exposure to antenatal steroids. The clinical scoring system thus developed had 75% sensitivity and 70% specificity for prediction of CPAP failure (area under curve: 0.83; 95% CI 0.71-0.94).

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Continuous Positive Airway Pressure* / methods
  • Humans
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Infant, Premature
  • Infant, Very Low Birth Weight*
  • Intensive Care Units
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Newborn / diagnosis
  • Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Newborn / therapy*
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Failure