Oral cancer develops through a series of histopathological stages: through mild (low grade), moderate, and severe (high grade) dysplasia to carcinoma in situ and then invasive disease. Early detection of those oral premalignant lesions (OPLs) that will develop into invasive tumors is necessary to improve the poor prognosis of oral cancer. Because no tools exist for delineating progression risk in low grade oral lesions, we cannot determine which of these cases require aggressive intervention. We undertook whole genome analysis by tiling-path array comparative genomic hybridization for a rare panel of early and late stage OPLs (n = 62), all of which had extensive longitudinal follow up (>10 years). Genome profiles for oral squamous cell carcinomas (n = 24) were generated for comparison. Parallel analysis of genome alterations and clinical parameters was performed to identify features associated with disease progression. Genome alterations in low grade dysplasias progressing to invasive disease more closely resembled those observed for later stage disease than they did those observed for non-progressing low grade dysplasias. This was despite the histopathological similarity between progressing and non-progressing cases. Strikingly, unbiased computational analysis of genomic alteration data correctly classified nearly all progressing low grade dysplasia cases. Our data demonstrate that high resolution genomic analysis can be used to evaluate progression risk in low grade OPLs, a marked improvement over present histopathological approaches which cannot delineate progression risk. Taken together, our data suggest that whole genome technologies could be used in management strategies for patients presenting with precancerous oral lesions.