Weibull survival prediction models showing the association between hippocampal (HIP) CMRglc during normal aging and the time to decline to AD. In cognitively normal 70-year-old subjects, for HIP CMRglc ≤ 24 μmol/g/min, the predicted median time to decline is 7 years; for CMRglc = 25–28 μmol/g/min, the predicted time to decline is 9.5 years; and for CMRglc ≥ 29 μmol/g/min, the predicted time to decline is 12 years. In comparison, in cognitively normal 60-year-old subjects, HIP CMR-glc ≤ 24 μmol/g/min predicts a median time to decline of 11 years; for CMRglc = 25–28 μmol/g/min, the predicted time to decline is 13 years; and for CMRglc ≥ 29 μmol/g/min, the predicted time to decline is 18 years.