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Int J Biometeorol. 2008 Nov;52(8):805-14. doi: 10.1007/s00484-008-0174-3. Epub 2008 Jul 24.

Numerical simulation of birch pollen dispersion with an operational weather forecast system.

Author information

1
Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung, Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe/Universität Karlsruhe, Postfach 3640, 76021, Karlsruhe, Germany. heike.vogel@imk.fzk.de

Abstract

We included a parameterisation of the emissions of pollen grains into the comprehensive model system COSMO-ART. In addition, a detailed density distribution of birch trees within Switzerland was derived. Based on these new developments, we carried out numerical simulations of the dispersion of pollen grains for an episode that occurred in April 2006 over Switzerland and the adjacent regions. Since COSMO-ART is based on the operational forecast model of the German Weather Service, we are presenting a feasibility study of daily pollen forecast based on methods which have been developed during the last two decades for the treatment of anthropogenic aerosol. A comparison of the model results and very detailed pollen counts documents the current possibilities and the shortcomings of the method and gives hints for necessary improvements.

PMID:
18651182
DOI:
10.1007/s00484-008-0174-3
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
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