A maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator for polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays is presented. The estimation relies on the replication efficiencies of the PCR assay and the observed end-point concentration of the PCR product at an arbitrary cycle. This derivation is carried out in view of the stochastic progression of the amplicons, and the assumption that the end-point concentrations for any particular initial value have a jointly Gaussian distribution. In addition, we provide an extension for the estimator which can be applied to various quantitative PCR assays.