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Diabetes Care. 2005 Sep;28(9):2130-5.

The burden of mortality attributable to diabetes: realistic estimates for the year 2000.

Author information

1
Department of Chronic Diseases and Health Promotion, World Health Organization, 20 Avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland. roglicg@who.int

Abstract

OBJECTIVE:

To estimate the global number of excess deaths due to diabetes in the year 2000.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS:

We used a computerized generic formal disease model (DisMod II), used by the World Health Organization to assess disease burden through modeling the relationships between incidence, prevalence, and disease-specific mortality. Baseline input data included population structure, age- and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence, and available published estimates of relative risk of death for people with diabetes compared with people without diabetes. The results were validated with population-based observations and independent estimates of relative risk of death.

RESULTS:

The excess global mortality attributable to diabetes in the year 2000 was estimated to be 2.9 million deaths, equivalent to 5.2% of all deaths. Excess mortality attributable to diabetes accounted for 2-3% of deaths in poorest countries and over 8% in the U.S., Canada, and the Middle East. In people 35-64 years old, 6-27% of deaths were attributable to diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS:

These are the first global estimates of mortality attributable to diabetes. Globally, diabetes is likely to be the fifth leading cause of death.

PMID:
16123478
DOI:
10.2337/diacare.28.9.2130
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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