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Science. 2003 Nov 21;302(5649):1359-61.

The future for fisheries.

Author information

1
Sea Around Us Project, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada. d.pauly@fisheries.ubc.ca

Abstract

Formal analyses of long-term global marine fisheries prospects have yet to be performed, because fisheries research focuses on local, species-specific management issues. Extrapolation of present trends implies expansion of bottom fisheries into deeper waters, serious impact on biodiversity, and declining global catches, the last possibly aggravated by fuel cost increases. Examination of four scenarios, covering various societal development choices, suggests that the negative trends now besetting fisheries can be turned around, and their supporting ecosystems rebuilt, at least partly.

PMID:
14631031
DOI:
10.1126/science.1088667
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
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