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Scand J Public Health. 2002;30(4):288-92.

Low back pain as a predictor of long-term work disability.

Author information

1
University of Oslo, Institute of General Practice and Community Medicine, Oslo, Norway. bard.natvig@samfunnsmed.uio.no

Abstract

AIM:

To investigate low back pain (LBP), with and without other musculoskeletal pains, as a predictor of long-term work disability.

METHOD:

A four-year prospective study was conducted. All inhabitants in the municipality of Ullensaker, Norway, born in 1928-30, 1938-40, 1948-50, 1958-60 and 1968-70, received a mailed questionnaire in 1990 and 1994. The present study comprised the 1.788 responders who were working in 1990. Of these, 1426 (80%) returned the questionnaire four years later. The main outcome measure was long-term work disability (>eight weeks) in 1994.

RESULTS:

LBP in 1990 predicted long-term work disability in 1994 (odds ratio (OR) = 1.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.39-2.74). Localized LBP however, did not predict long-term work disability, while LBP accompanied by widespread pain did (OR = 3.52, 95% CI = 1.09-11.37), also after adjustments for demographic, lifestyle, and work-related factors. Other predictors of long-term work disability were high age, sick leave last year, heavy lifting in the job, poor sleep quality and smoking.

CONCLUSION:

LBP in persons with widespread musculoskeletal pain predicted long-term work disability, while localized LBP did not.

PMID:
12680505
DOI:
10.1080/14034940210133951
[Indexed for MEDLINE]

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