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Euro Surveill. 2002 Dec;7(12):184-7.

Real-time modelling of influenza outbreaks--a linear regression analysis.

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1
Scottish Centre for Infection & Environmental Health, Glasgow, United Kingdom.

Abstract

Seasonal outbreaks of influenza exert a considerable burden on health services, and are notorious for their variability from year to year. Making use of historical data from the Scottish sentinelle surveillance since 1972, a potential candidate model has been derived based on simple linear regression. It was applied with a measure of success in the 1999-2000 winter season.

PMID:
12631985
[Indexed for MEDLINE]
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